US · GGB
Gerdau S.A.
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Steel
- Headquarters
- São Paulo, SP 05425-070
- Website
- www2.gerdau.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$4.51
Market cap 8.1B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $0.70 | -84.48% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.59 | -64.75% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.70 | -40.13% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1.60 | -64.52% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.72 | $4.49 | $0.02 | $1.90 | $4.40 |
| 2012 | $3.91 | $3.99 | $0.00 | $1.70 | $2.20 |
| 2013 | $2.91 | $3.63 | $0.00 | $2.10 | $2.10 |
| 2014 | $1.64 | $2.94 | $0.00 | $2.10 | $2.10 |
| 2015 | $0.73 | $2.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $1.92 | $3.50 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1.50 |
| 2017 | $2.53 | $3.87 | $0.00 | $1.30 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $2.01 | $3.62 | $0.00 | $2.00 | $7.80 |
| 2019 | $1.86 | $3.45 | $0.00 | $1.70 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $2.68 | $4.46 | $0.21 | $2.80 | $4.50 |
| 2021 | $3.62 | $12.04 | $269.25 | $2.90 | $135.10 |
| 2022 | $3.62 | $7.42 | $102.13 | $0.40 | $15.20 |
| 2023 | $3.33 | $4.88 | $14.78 | $3.10 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $2.89 | $4.14 | $0.00 | $3.80 | $2.20 |
| 2025 | $3.98 | $3.61 | $0.00 | $2.70 | $1.60 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Gerdau S.A.'s (GGB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $0.70
- Current price
- $4.51
- AI upside
- -84.48%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.59
-64.75% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.70
-40.13% upside
Graham Formula
$1.60
-64.52% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GGB | Gerdau S.A. | $4.51 | 8.1B | -20% | -65% | -40% | -65% | 30.86 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 5.60 | — | 1.05 | 11.41% | 8.35% | 1.99% | 2.49% | 5.15% | 1.65% | 0.29 | — | 2.89 | 1.13 | 1.04 | -6835.00% | 422.00% | -7597.00% | 3.05% | 0.81 | 2.05% | 3.00% | 92.70% | 5.74% | 8.91 | 39.82 | 0.74 | 2.68 |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems Lt… | $33.41 | 7.13B | +32% | -59% | -66% | -72% | 18.62 | 3.00 | 1.38 | 9.49 | — | -11.81 | 32.52% | 14.36% | 7.39% | 17.75% | 10.29% | 5.09% | 1.45 | 4.18 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 2.65 | -225.00% | -301.00% | 390.00% | 6.44% | 0.47 | 9.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.13% | 13.29 | 21.57 | 1.91 | 2.41 |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $10.66 | 6.08B | +29% | -57% | — | — | -3.93 | 0.92 | 0.30 | -304.99 | -4.31 | 1.77 | -4.10% | -7.29% | -7.94% | -22.35% | -6.73% | -6.97% | 1.34 | -2.28 | 1.95 | 0.45 | -180.31 | 9108.00% | -300.00% | 7339.00% | -18.23% | -0.14 | -7.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -10.12 | -13.42 | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| CMC | Commercial Metals Company | $73.30 | 8.13B | -24% | -68% | -64% | -93% | 43.65 | 1.58 | 0.85 | 15.80 | — | 1.84 | 15.65% | 6.67% | 1.09% | 3.57% | 8.96% | 2.17% | 0.32 | 11.43 | 2.78 | 1.78 | 0.71 | -8213.00% | -161.00% | -4574.00% | 4.71% | 0.57 | 6.84% | 1.23% | 53.70% | 4.68% | 13.34 | 22.21 | 0.89 | 3.92 |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | $75.51 | 8.61B | +2% | -60% | — | -91% | 18.22 | 1.45 | 0.99 | 10.20 | — | 6.51 | 21.07% | 10.64% | 5.42% | 8.07% | 7.53% | 3.15% | 0.85 | 4.48 | 1.37 | 0.59 | 3.50 | -4654.00% | -671.00% | -3837.00% | 4.91% | 0.37 | 4.10% | 4.41% | 80.40% | 5.57% | 14.12 | 31.00 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | $35.09 | 8.55B | +12% | -60% | -97% | -74% | 43.99 | 3.14 | 3.29 | 19.04 | — | -37.37 | 41.96% | 13.41% | 7.48% | 7.55% | 9.00% | 3.83% | 0.61 | 6.41 | 3.68 | 2.66 | 2.03 | -2178.00% | 384.00% | -2248.00% | 2.71% | 0.67 | 5.99% | 0.93% | 40.80% | 7.74% | 27.45 | 41.27 | 3.68 | 2.83 |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | $223.80 | 7.18B | -38% | -59% | -63% | -50% | 14.38 | 4.57 | 2.95 | 9.99 | 1223.13 | 7.74 | 29.78% | 26.51% | 20.50% | 33.52% | 18.39% | 14.92% | 0.88 | 14.18 | 2.73 | 0.99 | 1.58 | 118.00% | 5.00% | -2037.00% | 5.30% | 2.24 | 13.84% | 0.51% | 7.30% | 5.07% | 13.22 | 22.42 | 3.50 | 4.29 |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | $28.33 | 11.22B | +8% | -7% | -47% | -14% | 18.28 | 3.28 | 4.80 | 10.86 | 2.90 | 3.36 | 29.07% | 25.53% | 26.28% | 20.02% | 10.08% | 9.89% | 0.34 | 7.49 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 63000.00% | 891.00% | -3763.00% | 1.87% | 0.55 | 5.73% | 0.05% | 1.00% | 1.16% | 19.75 | 56.09 | 5.04 | 2.87 |
| IAG | IAMGOLD Corporation | $24.57 | 14.58B | +78% | -61% | -46% | +295% | 20.63 | 3.33 | 4.80 | 9.19 | — | 3.33 | 41.22% | 38.91% | 23.29% | 17.98% | 19.51% | 11.55% | 0.20 | 10.38 | 1.75 | 0.94 | 0.27 | -2267.00% | 7776.00% | -65460.00% | 5.53% | 2.07 | 17.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.14% | 12.72 | 18.62 | 4.95 | 5.30 |
| NEU | NewMarket Corporation | $626.01 | 5.88B | 0% | -58% | -77% | -57% | 14.02 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 10.14 | — | 7.01 | 31.46% | 19.95% | 15.37% | 25.85% | 15.91% | 12.65% | 0.54 | 13.70 | 2.53 | 1.19 | 1.33 | -784.00% | -220.00% | 629.00% | 8.37% | 1.36 | 19.25% | 1.80% | 25.30% | 4.78% | 12.42 | 13.75 | 2.48 | 4.24 |
| TX | Ternium S.A. | $43.47 | 8.53B | -12% | -60% | -28% | — | 20.04 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 5.63 | — | 0.78 | 15.00% | 4.52% | 2.72% | 3.56% | 3.08% | 1.82% | 0.22 | 3.28 | 2.49 | 1.19 | 0.76 | -91481.00% | -1156.00% | -55959.00% | -2.20% | 0.59 | -1.76% | 6.22% | 124.60% | 6.22% | 11.33 | -42.70 | 0.51 | 1.74 |
About Gerdau S.A.
Gerdau S.A. provides steel products and services. The company operates through Brazil Business, North America Business, South America Business, and Special Steel Business segments. It offers semi-finished products, including billets, blooms, and slabs; common long rolled products, such as rebars, wire rods, merchant bars, light shapes, and profiles to the construction and manufacturing industries; finished industrial products, including commercial rolled-steel bars, and light profiles and wires; agricultural products that include stakes and smooth wire products; and drawn products comprises barbed and barbless fence wires, galvanized wires, fences, concrete reinforcing wire meshes, nails, and clamps. The company also produces special steel products used in auto parts, light and heavy vehicles, and agricultural machinery, as well as the oil and gas, wind energy, machinery and equipment, mining and rail, and other markets. In addition, it offers flat products, including hot rolled coils and heavy plates; and resells flat steel products, as well as mines and produces iron ore. It sells its products through independent distributors, direct sales from the mills, and through its retail network. The company was founded in 1901 and is based in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
- CEO
- Gustavo Werneck Da Cunha
- Employees
- 30K
- Beta
- 0.93
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.59 ÷ $4.51) − 1 = -64.75% (DCF, example).