Price · as of 2025-12-31
$43.39
Market cap 8.53B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $38.31 | -11.71% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $17.36 | -59.99% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $31.18 | -28.15% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $12.15 | $23.05 | $1,006.43 | $20.36 | $81.11 |
| 2012 | $10.92 | $10.43 | $485.08 | $15.31 | $1.70 |
| 2013 | $16.11 | $19.04 | $60.45 | $20.58 | $16.64 |
| 2014 | $9.68 | $11.00 | $0.00 | $23.82 | $23.59 |
| 2015 | $10.38 | $8.62 | $0.00 | $3.88 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $15.92 | $18.99 | $3.44 | $20.66 | $0.87 |
| 2017 | $22.07 | $18.47 | $311.28 | $29.72 | $184.38 |
| 2018 | $18.37 | $34.14 | $528.41 | $51.07 | $194.54 |
| 2019 | $11.33 | $23.54 | $2.36 | $26.68 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $25.09 | $52.48 | $0.00 | $53.56 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $30.55 | $159.62 | $1,328.95 | $104.22 | $1,727.73 |
| 2022 | $33.75 | $63.86 | $607.50 | $61.49 | $90.43 |
| 2023 | $34.74 | $49.73 | $1,531.56 | $33.61 | $51.72 |
| 2024 | $29.42 | $44.22 | $0.00 | $9.73 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $43.40 | $38.31 | $0.00 | $31.18 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ternium S.A.'s (TX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $38.31
- Current price
- $43.39
- AI upside
- -11.71%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$17.36
-59.99% upside
Graham-Dodd
$31.18
-28.15% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TX | Ternium S.A. | $43.39 | 8.53B | -12% | -60% | -28% | — | 20.04 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 5.63 | — | 0.78 | 15.00% | 4.52% | 2.72% | 3.56% | 3.08% | 1.82% | 0.22 | 3.28 | 2.49 | 1.19 | 0.76 | -91481.00% | -1156.00% | -55959.00% | -2.20% | 0.59 | -1.76% | 6.22% | 124.60% | 6.22% | 11.33 | -42.70 | 0.51 | 1.74 |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems Lt… | $33.41 | 7.13B | +32% | -59% | -66% | -72% | 18.62 | 3.00 | 1.38 | 9.49 | — | -11.81 | 32.52% | 14.36% | 7.39% | 17.75% | 10.29% | 5.09% | 1.45 | 4.18 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 2.65 | -225.00% | -301.00% | 390.00% | 6.44% | 0.47 | 9.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.13% | 13.29 | 21.57 | 1.91 | 2.41 |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $10.66 | 6.08B | +29% | -57% | — | — | -3.93 | 0.92 | 0.30 | -304.99 | -4.31 | 1.77 | -4.10% | -7.29% | -7.94% | -22.35% | -6.73% | -6.97% | 1.34 | -2.28 | 1.95 | 0.45 | -180.31 | 9108.00% | -300.00% | 7339.00% | -18.23% | -0.14 | -7.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -10.12 | -13.42 | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| CMC | Commercial Metals Company | $73.30 | 8.13B | -24% | -68% | -64% | -93% | 43.65 | 1.58 | 0.85 | 15.80 | — | 1.84 | 15.65% | 6.67% | 1.09% | 3.57% | 8.96% | 2.17% | 0.32 | 11.43 | 2.78 | 1.78 | 0.71 | -8213.00% | -161.00% | -4574.00% | 4.71% | 0.57 | 6.84% | 1.23% | 53.70% | 4.68% | 13.34 | 22.21 | 0.89 | 3.92 |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | $75.51 | 8.61B | +2% | -60% | — | -91% | 18.22 | 1.45 | 0.99 | 10.20 | — | 6.51 | 21.07% | 10.64% | 5.42% | 8.07% | 7.53% | 3.15% | 0.85 | 4.48 | 1.37 | 0.59 | 3.50 | -4654.00% | -671.00% | -3837.00% | 4.91% | 0.37 | 4.10% | 4.41% | 80.40% | 5.57% | 14.12 | 31.00 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | $35.09 | 8.55B | +12% | -60% | -97% | -74% | 43.99 | 3.14 | 3.29 | 19.04 | — | -37.37 | 41.96% | 13.41% | 7.48% | 7.55% | 9.00% | 3.83% | 0.61 | 6.41 | 3.68 | 2.66 | 2.03 | -2178.00% | 384.00% | -2248.00% | 2.71% | 0.67 | 5.99% | 0.93% | 40.80% | 7.74% | 27.45 | 41.27 | 3.68 | 2.83 |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | $223.80 | 7.18B | -38% | -59% | -63% | -50% | 14.38 | 4.57 | 2.95 | 9.99 | 1223.13 | 7.74 | 29.78% | 26.51% | 20.50% | 33.52% | 18.39% | 14.92% | 0.88 | 14.18 | 2.73 | 0.99 | 1.58 | 118.00% | 5.00% | -2037.00% | 5.30% | 2.24 | 13.84% | 0.51% | 7.30% | 5.07% | 13.22 | 22.42 | 3.50 | 4.29 |
| GGB | Gerdau S.A. | $4.04 | 8.1B | -11% | -61% | -33% | -60% | 30.86 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 5.60 | — | 1.05 | 11.41% | 8.35% | 1.99% | 2.49% | 5.15% | 1.65% | 0.29 | — | 2.89 | 1.13 | 1.04 | -6835.00% | 422.00% | -7597.00% | 3.05% | 0.81 | 2.05% | 3.00% | 92.70% | 5.74% | 8.91 | 39.82 | 0.74 | 2.68 |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | $28.33 | 11.24B | +8% | -7% | -47% | -14% | 18.28 | 3.28 | 4.80 | 10.86 | 2.90 | 3.36 | 29.07% | 25.53% | 26.28% | 20.02% | 10.08% | 9.89% | 0.34 | 7.49 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 63000.00% | 891.00% | -3763.00% | 1.87% | 0.55 | 5.73% | 0.05% | 1.00% | 1.16% | 19.75 | 56.09 | 5.04 | 2.87 |
| IAG | IAMGOLD Corporation | $24.57 | 14.58B | +78% | -61% | -46% | +295% | 20.63 | 3.33 | 4.80 | 9.19 | — | 3.33 | 41.22% | 38.91% | 23.29% | 17.98% | 19.51% | 11.55% | 0.20 | 10.38 | 1.75 | 0.94 | 0.27 | -2267.00% | 7776.00% | -65460.00% | 5.53% | 2.07 | 17.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.14% | 12.72 | 18.62 | 4.95 | 5.30 |
| NEU | NewMarket Corporation | $626.01 | 5.88B | 0% | -58% | -77% | -57% | 14.02 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 10.14 | — | 7.01 | 31.46% | 19.95% | 15.37% | 25.85% | 15.91% | 12.65% | 0.54 | 13.70 | 2.53 | 1.19 | 1.33 | -784.00% | -220.00% | 629.00% | 8.37% | 1.36 | 19.25% | 1.80% | 25.30% | 4.78% | 12.42 | 13.75 | 2.48 | 4.24 |
About Ternium S.A.
Ternium S.A. manufactures, processes, and sells various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Paraguay, Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Brazil, the United States, Colombia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador, and Nicaragua. It operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers slabs, billets and round bars, hot rolled flat products, merchant bars, reinforcing bars, stirrups and rods, tin plate and galvanized products, tubes, beams, insulated panels, roofing and cladding, roof tiles, steel decks, pre-engineered metal building systems, and pig iron products; and sells energy. The Mining segment sells iron ore and pellets. The company also provides medical and social; scrap; and engineering and other services, as well as operates as a distribution company. It serves various companies and small businesses in the construction, automotive, home appliances, agro, packaging, transport, and energy industries. The company was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l.
- CEO
- Maximo Vedoya
- Employees
- 33.95K
- Beta
- 1.26
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($17.36 ÷ $43.39) − 1 = -59.99% (DCF, example).