US · HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.
- Sector
- Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities
- Headquarters
- Nashville, TN 37203
- Website
- hcahealthcare.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$433.09
Market cap 118.45B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $389.62 | -10.04% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $231.10 | -46.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $76.75 | -82.28% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $435.96 | +0.66% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $20.59 | $130.95 | $0.62 | $7.56 | $71.73 |
| 2012 | $34.63 | $144.56 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $34.99 |
| 2013 | $46.13 | $139.27 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $40.97 |
| 2014 | $66.74 | $141.19 | $2.36 | $0.00 | $70.38 |
| 2015 | $69.67 | $148.98 | $4.92 | $0.00 | $81.20 |
| 2016 | $79.71 | $160.89 | $5.03 | $2.21 | $97.73 |
| 2017 | $96.91 | $166.33 | $2.48 | $0.00 | $82.95 |
| 2018 | $117.68 | $163.66 | $3.24 | $0.00 | $163.74 |
| 2019 | $121.55 | $173.87 | $3.40 | $0.00 | $181.77 |
| 2020 | $181.41 | $211.76 | $2.85 | $26.04 | $94.15 |
| 2021 | $257.92 | $283.07 | $34.91 | $47.48 | $463.03 |
| 2022 | $240.66 | $285.09 | $2.57 | $21.90 | $206.35 |
| 2023 | $320.44 | $320.44 | $3.54 | $18.04 | $300.03 |
| 2024 | $327.69 | $354.49 | $12.84 | $23.90 | $364.32 |
| 2025 | $532.92 | $389.62 | $37.73 | $76.75 | $435.96 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s (HCA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $389.62
- Current price
- $433.09
- AI upside
- -10.04%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$231.10
-46.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$76.75
-82.28% upside
Graham Formula
$435.96
+0.66% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HCA | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | $433.09 | 118.45B | -10% | -47% | -82% | +1% | 18.12 | -20.40 | 1.63 | 11.03 | 62.49 | -7.53 | 41.50% | 15.83% | 8.97% | -159.14% | 22.59% | 11.28% | -8.33 | 5.32 | 0.83 | 0.73 | 3.15 | 2900.00% | 708.00% | 3641.00% | 6.26% | 0.77 | 18.35% | 0.55% | 10.00% | 8.74% | 14.38 | 22.37 | 2.28 | 2.87 |
| BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb Comp… | $62.37 | 127.01B | +7% | -50% | — | -56% | 18.03 | 6.89 | 2.64 | 11.25 | — | -5.68 | 67.65% | 26.34% | 14.63% | 40.54% | 17.21% | 7.73% | 2.55 | 8.41 | 1.26 | 1.08 | 2.54 | -17823.00% | -22.00% | -787.00% | 10.10% | 0.60 | 23.02% | 3.97% | 71.50% | 7.05% | 12.89 | 12.74 | 3.40 | 2.41 |
| CVS | CVS Health Corporation | $79.90 | 101.65B | -34% | -49% | — | -73% | 58.52 | 1.38 | 0.26 | 18.90 | — | -2.89 | 13.77% | 2.58% | 0.44% | 2.35% | 5.50% | 0.69% | 1.24 | 3.33 | 0.84 | 0.57 | 8.63 | -6202.00% | 785.00% | 2341.00% | 7.55% | 0.12 | 5.11% | 3.28% | 192.10% | 3.28% | 17.95 | 23.88 | 0.46 | 2.27 |
| GSK | GSK plc | $59.13 | 119.27B | 0% | -48% | — | -38% | 15.76 | 5.39 | 2.76 | 8.81 | 13.21 | -11.95 | 72.54% | 21.95% | 17.50% | 37.25% | 20.70% | 9.28% | 1.08 | 10.23 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 1.23 | 11935.00% | 183.00% | 6306.00% | 6.61% | 0.33 | 20.23% | 2.85% | 44.90% | 2.85% | 14.61 | 17.58 | 3.21 | 2.24 |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | $987.37 | 121.87B | -46% | +187% | — | -38% | 26.01 | -43.65 | 0.25 | 17.57 | 174.88 | -6.68 | 3.48% | 1.22% | 0.92% | -172.11% | 1514.70% | 4.88% | -3.56 | 17.08 | 0.90 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 1487.00% | 1622.00% | 4409.00% | 5.77% | 0.10 | 2267.25% | 0.38% | 9.90% | 5.08% | 21.10 | 17.65 | 0.26 | 5.91 |
| MDT | Medtronic plc | $97.66 | 125.38B | — | -51% | — | -81% | 41.30 | 2.92 | 4.98 | 22.00 | — | -18.12 | 65.19% | 14.89% | 11.97% | — | — | — | 0.51 | 4.85 | 2.65 | 1.91 | 3.03 | — | — | — | 3.26% | 0.73 | — | 2.08% | 86.00% | 2.52% | 36.91 | 33.88 | 5.50 | 3.26 |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | $27.65 | 157.21B | +59% | -45% | -66% | -67% | 19.93 | 1.79 | 2.48 | 13.65 | — | -4.02 | 70.33% | 24.67% | 12.42% | 8.90% | 11.33% | 3.69% | 0.75 | 5.78 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 4.22 | -355.00% | -165.00% | -773.00% | 5.86% | 0.32 | 6.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.48% | 13.35 | 22.71 | 3.29 | 2.12 |
| SNY | Sanofi | $48.66 | 117.52B | -6% | +222% | -59% | +2% | 12.72 | 1.39 | 2.13 | 8.95 | — | 26.05 | 72.34% | 13.58% | 16.72% | 10.50% | 6.06% | 6.02% | 0.31 | 11.73 | 1.09 | 0.28 | 1.11 | -731.00% | 549.00% | 5107.00% | 8.95% | 0.38 | 10.28% | 4.61% | 58.70% | 9.47% | 17.90 | 12.77 | 2.43 | 1.64 |
| SYK | Stryker Corporation | $387.46 | 148.28B | -24% | -56% | — | -59% | 45.57 | 6.60 | 5.89 | 25.13 | 552.53 | -57.96 | 63.96% | 19.47% | 12.92% | 15.08% | 11.08% | 7.15% | 0.66 | 8.05 | 1.89 | 1.04 | 1.72 | 825.00% | 1116.00% | 2283.00% | 2.90% | 0.65 | 13.50% | 0.87% | 39.60% | 0.87% | 32.46 | 37.05 | 6.32 | 4.53 |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare Corporat… | $239.39 | 21.04B | -32% | -53% | -100% | -28% | 15.18 | 5.06 | 1.00 | 7.36 | — | -2.57 | 41.41% | 16.46% | 6.60% | 33.54% | 19.78% | 4.80% | 3.12 | — | 1.76 | 1.22 | 2.39 | -5263.00% | 312.00% | 12670.00% | 11.85% | 0.79 | 16.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.50% | 9.02 | 12.51 | 1.48 | 2.07 |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals In… | $496.83 | 126.19B | -25% | -45% | -71% | -46% | 31.44 | 6.66 | 10.29 | 24.47 | — | 7.25 | 85.03% | 39.43% | 32.74% | 22.54% | 28.97% | 16.24% | 0.21 | 357.95 | 2.90 | 2.24 | -0.24 | -83654.00% | 957.00% | -50413.00% | 2.57% | 0.94 | 22.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.62% | 25.53 | 38.06 | 10.07 | 12.10 |
About HCA Healthcare, Inc.
HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services company in the United States. The company operates general and acute care hospitals that offers medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy. It also operates outpatient health care facilities consisting of freestanding ambulatory surgery centers, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, physician practices, and various other facilities. In addition, the company operates psychiatric hospitals, which provide therapeutic programs comprising child, adolescent and adult psychiatric care, adolescent and adult alcohol, drug abuse treatment, and counseling services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 182 hospitals, including 175 general and acute care hospitals, five psychiatric hospitals, and two rehabilitation hospitals; 125 freestanding surgery centers; and 21 freestanding endoscopy centers in 20 states and England. The company was formerly known as HCA Holdings, Inc. HCA Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
- CEO
- Samuel N. Hazen
- Employees
- 226K
- Beta
- 1.36
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($231.10 ÷ $433.09) − 1 = -46.64% (DCF, example).