US · HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75205
- Website
- hilltop-holdings.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$38.03
Market cap 2.3B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $26.22 | -31.05% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $113.58 | +198.66% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $32.66 | -14.12% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $35.11 | -7.67% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $6.98 | $57.24 | $10.29 | $10.60 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $10.78 | $853.42 | $17.82 | $14.75 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $19.50 | $169.01 | $240,939.45 | $19.45 | $596.89 |
| 2014 | $16.99 | $39.29 | $46,538.57 | $18.76 | $11.31 |
| 2015 | $15.84 | $43.93 | $22,062.72 | $25.10 | $98.38 |
| 2016 | $23.61 | $70.91 | $237.19 | $22.98 | $22.55 |
| 2017 | $22.08 | $22.63 | $18.55 | $20.34 | $9.01 |
| 2018 | $15.48 | $39.48 | $15.79 | $19.64 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $19.54 | $28.87 | $19.11 | $27.26 | $56.71 |
| 2020 | $35.60 | $86.15 | $111.64 | $42.65 | $203.91 |
| 2021 | $28.10 | $39.05 | $30.69 | $43.90 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $28.07 | $41.49 | $24.28 | $24.13 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $30.29 | $42.67 | $26.39 | $27.36 | $31.77 |
| 2024 | $30.97 | $38.80 | $29.93 | $28.06 | $18.15 |
| 2025 | $38.30 | $26.22 | $39.86 | $32.66 | $35.11 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Hilltop Holdings Inc.'s (HTH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $26.22
- Current price
- $38.03
- AI upside
- -31.05%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$113.58
+198.66% upside
Graham-Dodd
$32.66
-14.12% upside
Graham Formula
$35.11
-7.67% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | $38.03 | 2.3B | -31% | +199% | -14% | -8% | 14.50 | 1.11 | 1.48 | 10.10 | 28.04 | 1.27 | 78.42% | 13.60% | 10.19% | 7.60% | 18.67% | 1.03% | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.76 | 5172.00% | 545.00% | -13564.00% | -3.96% | -0.02 | -10.32% | 1.89% | 27.40% | 9.55% | 10.10 | -23.48 | 1.37 | 0.08 |
| BANR | Banner Corporation | $58.85 | 2.01B | -15% | -6% | -24% | -30% | 10.57 | 1.06 | 2.52 | 8.76 | 67.87 | 1.31 | 79.04% | 29.45% | 23.84% | 10.50% | 10.00% | 1.20% | 0.19 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.75 | 1557.00% | -95.00% | -5127.00% | 6.59% | 0.01 | 6.90% | 3.27% | 34.60% | 4.80% | 9.17 | 16.25 | 2.70 | -0.76 |
| BUSE | First Busey Corporation | $25.36 | 2.24B | -10% | +3,704% | +18% | +278% | 16.92 | 0.93 | 2.19 | 1.42 | — | 1.15 | 63.88% | 17.88% | 12.96% | 7.02% | 68.36% | 0.90% | 0.19 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.80 | -2576.00% | 5756.00% | 1207.00% | 8.41% | 0.05 | 97.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.55 | 1.51 | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | $67.44 | 2.31B | -4% | +374% | +33% | +16% | 10.54 | 1.12 | 1.67 | 5.88 | 48.32 | 1.12 | 51.59% | 21.97% | 15.84% | 11.34% | -65.45% | 0.95% | 0.81 | 0.51 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 4.67 | 2181.00% | 394.00% | 50225.00% | 20.37% | 0.03 | -130.40% | 0.46% | 4.80% | 6.73% | 6.65 | 4.30 | 1.46 | 0.39 |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Serv… | $57.10 | 2.11B | -16% | +92% | -48% | +87% | 10.57 | 1.04 | 2.33 | 6.59 | 106.39 | 1.33 | 68.43% | 31.10% | 22.07% | 10.42% | 12.52% | 1.22% | 0.00 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.01 | -0.71 | 994.00% | 1203.00% | -6842.00% | 3.56% | 0.01 | 4.71% | 4.77% | 50.40% | 5.43% | 6.77 | 25.35 | 2.11 | -0.73 |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | $56.79 | 2.35B | -37% | -17% | -50% | -51% | 21.59 | 1.45 | 4.41 | 1.79 | 47.30 | 2.07 | 70.11% | 26.56% | 20.45% | 7.16% | -16.27% | 0.89% | 0.05 | 0.91 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.47 | 4565.00% | 232.00% | 1042.00% | 7.93% | 0.02 | -26.94% | 1.55% | 33.60% | 1.60% | 1.92 | 1.46 | 0.51 | -0.38 |
| FRME | First Merchants Corporati… | $39.08 | 2.46B | -37% | -10% | -29% | -22% | 10.05 | 0.92 | 2.16 | 6.17 | 72.92 | 1.30 | 60.96% | 24.67% | 21.52% | 9.47% | 12.33% | 1.21% | 0.41 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 3.17 | 1378.00% | -32.00% | 655.00% | 12.49% | 0.04 | 15.48% | 3.73% | 37.50% | 5.80% | 6.87 | 6.28 | 1.70 | -0.11 |
| NBTB | NBT Bancorp Inc. | $42.72 | 2.23B | -20% | +70% | -40% | +52% | 11.91 | 1.06 | 2.32 | 1.34 | 95.27 | 1.45 | 72.14% | 25.30% | 19.51% | 9.89% | 19.95% | 1.14% | 0.17 | 1.05 | 13.83 | 13.83 | 0.65 | 1250.00% | 1036.00% | -4040.00% | 5.23% | 0.71 | 12.43% | 3.60% | 42.90% | 3.60% | 1.34 | 2.80 | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partne… | $90.76 | 6.98B | -38% | +1% | -18% | +56% | 16.94 | 1.25 | 2.82 | 2.43 | — | 1.76 | 49.08% | 20.37% | 16.65% | 7.62% | 39.84% | 0.94% | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.21 | 0.21 | -1.19 | -1653.00% | 1532.00% | 10175.00% | 10.03% | 0.02 | 67.70% | 1.05% | 17.70% | 19.13% | 2.85 | 2.05 | 0.58 | -0.50 |
| SYBT | Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | $64.14 | 1.89B | -39% | +44% | -46% | +50% | 13.54 | 1.76 | 3.36 | 5.83 | 61.26 | 2.18 | 69.18% | 31.56% | 24.83% | 13.90% | 48.01% | 1.52% | 0.02 | 1.07 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -4.82 | 2211.00% | 1269.00% | -7091.00% | 2.04% | 0.01 | 13.25% | 1.95% | 26.50% | 69.23% | 5.83 | 26.84 | 1.84 | -0.26 |
| TRMK | Trustmark Corporation | $42.59 | 2.55B | -37% | +160% | -21% | +261% | 11.68 | 1.23 | 2.34 | 3.65 | 605.87 | 1.47 | 70.96% | 25.51% | 20.01% | 10.98% | 36.00% | 1.21% | 0.53 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.38 | 193.00% | 3475.00% | 16256.00% | 8.86% | 0.07 | 37.25% | 2.23% | 26.10% | 5.29% | 4.16 | 5.13 | 1.06 | 0.29 |
About Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Hilltop Holdings Inc. provides business and consumer banking, and financial products and services. It operates through three segments: Banking, Broker-Dealer, and Mortgage Origination. The Banking segment offers savings, checking, interest-bearing checking, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; lines and letters of credit, home improvement and equity loans, loans for purchasing and carrying securities, equipment loans and leases, agricultural and commercial real estate loans, and other loans; and commercial and industrial loans, and term and construction finance. This segment also provides treasury management, wealth management, asset management, check cards, safe deposit boxes, online banking, bill pay, trust, and overdraft services; and estate planning, management and administration, investment portfolio management, employee benefit accounts, and individual retirement accounts, as well as automated teller machines. The Broker-Dealer segment offers public finance services that assist public entities in originating, syndicating, and distributing securities of municipalities and political subdivisions; specialized advisory and investment banking services; advice and guidance to arbitrage rebate compliance, portfolio management, and local government investment pool administration; structured finance services, which include advisory services for derivatives and commodities; sells, trades in, and underwrites U.S. government and government agency bonds, corporate bonds, and municipal bonds, as well as mortgage-backed, asset-backed, and commercial mortgage-backed securities and structured products. This segment also provides asset and liability management advisory, clearing, retail, and securities lending services. The Mortgage Origination segment offers mortgage, jumbo, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Affairs, and United States Department of Agriculture loans. Hilltop Holdings Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- Jeremy Blue Ford
- Employees
- 3.62K
- Beta
- 0.92
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($113.58 ÷ $38.03) − 1 = +198.66% (DCF, example).