US · NBTB
NBT Bancorp Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Norwich, NY 13815
- Website
- nbtbancorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$44.21
Market cap 2.23B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $34.16 | -22.73% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $72.52 | +64.04% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $25.48 | -42.37% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $64.95 | +46.9% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $13.97 | $32.63 | $9.01 | $8.60 | $4.77 |
| 2012 | $14.70 | $34.86 | $24.15 | $9.02 | $16.37 |
| 2013 | $16.95 | $25.59 | $23.80 | $8.51 | $31.64 |
| 2014 | $17.87 | $32.47 | $20.20 | $9.62 | $17.83 |
| 2015 | $20.33 | $29.82 | $21.12 | $9.70 | $17.14 |
| 2016 | $30.32 | $31.58 | $25.01 | $10.54 | $21.30 |
| 2017 | $29.33 | $31.30 | $26.83 | $11.49 | $26.94 |
| 2018 | $29.91 | $31.52 | $23.54 | $15.06 | $44.17 |
| 2019 | $27.59 | $34.14 | $25.61 | $17.36 | $46.76 |
| 2020 | $36.46 | $26.70 | $28.15 | $16.50 | $12.11 |
| 2021 | $33.95 | $26.11 | $46.42 | $23.68 | $31.73 |
| 2022 | $33.85 | $37.94 | $42.40 | $21.11 | $57.93 |
| 2023 | $33.21 | $33.93 | $32.08 | $18.42 | $81.47 |
| 2024 | $42.92 | $39.48 | $37.18 | $19.78 | $77.30 |
| 2025 | $42.78 | $34.16 | $81.25 | $25.48 | $64.94 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates NBT Bancorp Inc.'s (NBTB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $34.16
- Current price
- $44.21
- AI upside
- -22.73%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$72.52
+64.04% upside
Graham-Dodd
$25.48
-42.37% upside
Graham Formula
$64.95
+46.9% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NBTB | NBT Bancorp Inc. | $44.21 | 2.23B | -23% | +64% | -42% | +47% | 11.91 | 1.06 | 2.32 | 1.34 | 95.27 | 1.45 | 72.14% | 25.30% | 19.51% | 9.89% | 19.95% | 1.14% | 0.17 | 1.05 | 13.83 | 13.83 | 0.65 | 1250.00% | 1036.00% | -4040.00% | 5.23% | 0.71 | 12.43% | 3.60% | 42.90% | 3.60% | 1.34 | 2.80 | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| BANR | Banner Corporation | $58.85 | 2.01B | -15% | -6% | -24% | -30% | 10.57 | 1.06 | 2.52 | 8.76 | 67.87 | 1.31 | 79.04% | 29.45% | 23.84% | 10.50% | 10.00% | 1.20% | 0.19 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.75 | 1557.00% | -95.00% | -5127.00% | 6.59% | 0.01 | 6.90% | 3.27% | 34.60% | 4.80% | 9.17 | 16.25 | 2.70 | -0.76 |
| BUSE | First Busey Corporation | $25.36 | 2.24B | -10% | +3,704% | +18% | +278% | 16.92 | 0.93 | 2.19 | 1.42 | — | 1.15 | 63.88% | 17.88% | 12.96% | 7.02% | 68.36% | 0.90% | 0.19 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.80 | -2576.00% | 5756.00% | 1207.00% | 8.41% | 0.05 | 97.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.55 | 1.51 | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | $67.44 | 2.31B | -4% | +374% | +33% | +16% | 10.54 | 1.12 | 1.67 | 5.88 | 48.32 | 1.12 | 51.59% | 21.97% | 15.84% | 11.34% | -65.45% | 0.95% | 0.81 | 0.51 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 4.67 | 2181.00% | 394.00% | 50225.00% | 20.37% | 0.03 | -130.40% | 0.46% | 4.80% | 6.73% | 6.65 | 4.30 | 1.46 | 0.39 |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | $56.79 | 2.35B | -37% | -17% | -50% | -51% | 21.59 | 1.45 | 4.41 | 1.79 | 47.30 | 2.07 | 70.11% | 26.56% | 20.45% | 7.16% | -16.27% | 0.89% | 0.05 | 0.91 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.47 | 4565.00% | 232.00% | 1042.00% | 7.93% | 0.02 | -26.94% | 1.55% | 33.60% | 1.60% | 1.92 | 1.46 | 0.51 | -0.38 |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp. | $28.07 | 2.94B | +24% | +2% | -43% | +4% | 10.47 | 0.97 | 2.12 | -0.83 | 96.64 | 1.73 | 68.43% | 25.51% | 20.30% | 9.82% | -3313.74% | 1.29% | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 2.94 | 1083.00% | 275.00% | 3153.00% | 11.85% | 0.02 | -4111.03% | 3.54% | 37.00% | 3.54% | -0.89 | -0.90 | -0.23 | -0.41 |
| FRME | First Merchants Corporati… | $39.08 | 2.46B | -37% | -10% | -29% | -22% | 10.05 | 0.92 | 2.16 | 6.17 | 72.92 | 1.30 | 60.96% | 24.67% | 21.52% | 9.47% | 12.33% | 1.21% | 0.41 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 3.17 | 1378.00% | -32.00% | 655.00% | 12.49% | 0.04 | 15.48% | 3.73% | 37.50% | 5.80% | 6.87 | 6.28 | 1.70 | -0.11 |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | $37.43 | 2.3B | -30% | +203% | -13% | -6% | 14.50 | 1.11 | 1.48 | 10.10 | 28.04 | 1.27 | 78.42% | 13.60% | 10.19% | 7.60% | 18.67% | 1.03% | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.76 | 5172.00% | 545.00% | -13564.00% | -3.96% | -0.02 | -10.32% | 1.89% | 27.40% | 9.55% | 10.10 | -23.48 | 1.37 | 0.08 |
| PFS | Provident Financial Servi… | $21.04 | 2.75B | +36% | +500% | +56% | +201% | 9.64 | 0.99 | 2.03 | 4.78 | 8.58 | 1.37 | 62.69% | 29.52% | 21.06% | 10.72% | 14.47% | 1.19% | 0.89 | 0.80 | — | — | 5.65 | 11238.00% | 2125.00% | 133.00% | 15.34% | — | 21.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.78 | 4.53 | 1.41 | 0.42 |
| SYBT | Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | $64.14 | 1.89B | -39% | +44% | -46% | +50% | 13.54 | 1.76 | 3.36 | 5.83 | 61.26 | 2.18 | 69.18% | 31.56% | 24.83% | 13.90% | 48.01% | 1.52% | 0.02 | 1.07 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -4.82 | 2211.00% | 1269.00% | -7091.00% | 2.04% | 0.01 | 13.25% | 1.95% | 26.50% | 69.23% | 5.83 | 26.84 | 1.84 | -0.26 |
| TRMK | Trustmark Corporation | $42.59 | 2.55B | -37% | +160% | -21% | +261% | 11.68 | 1.23 | 2.34 | 3.65 | 605.87 | 1.47 | 70.96% | 25.51% | 20.01% | 10.98% | 36.00% | 1.21% | 0.53 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.38 | 193.00% | 3475.00% | 16256.00% | 8.86% | 0.07 | 37.25% | 2.23% | 26.10% | 5.29% | 4.16 | 5.13 | 1.06 | 0.29 |
About NBT Bancorp Inc.
NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services. Its deposit products include demand deposit, savings, negotiable order of withdrawal, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts. The company's loan portfolio comprises commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, agricultural, and commercial construction loans; indirect and direct consumer, home equity, mortgages, business banking loans, and commercial loans; and residential real estate loans. It also provides trust and investment services; financial planning and life insurance services; and retirement plan consulting and recordkeeping services. In addition, the company offers insurance products comprising personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance, as well as other products and services through 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels that enable customers to check balances, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, access statements, apply for loans, and access various other products and services. As of December 31, 2021, it had 140 branches and 164 ATMs in New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Connecticut, and Maine. NBT Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Norwich, New York.
- CEO
- Scott A. Kingsley
- Employees
- 2.08K
- Beta
- 0.50
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($72.52 ÷ $44.21) − 1 = +64.04% (DCF, example).