US · KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
- Headquarters
- Burlington, MA 01803
- Website
- keurigdrpepper.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$29.09
Market cap 41.14B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $38.80 | +33.38% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $14.30 | -50.84% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $24.45 | -15.94% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.32 | $38.73 | $8.59 | $0.00 | $35.25 |
| 2012 | $5.15 | $37.35 | $6.17 | $0.00 | $29.60 |
| 2013 | $6.33 | $37.43 | $2.00 | $0.00 | $25.00 |
| 2014 | $9.54 | $50.01 | $3.73 | $0.00 | $36.59 |
| 2015 | $11.60 | $52.97 | $12.06 | $0.00 | $42.49 |
| 2016 | $12.36 | $69.32 | $14.11 | $0.00 | $48.51 |
| 2017 | $15.78 | $63.85 | $9.57 | $0.00 | $69.56 |
| 2018 | $22.32 | $36.57 | $8.13 | $1.81 | $10.16 |
| 2019 | $23.00 | $41.57 | $48.73 | $0.00 | $49.37 |
| 2020 | $29.46 | $37.60 | $31.94 | $0.00 | $11.62 |
| 2021 | $33.15 | $41.46 | $17.67 | $0.84 | $25.66 |
| 2022 | $31.58 | $38.98 | $3.78 | $0.00 | $18.71 |
| 2023 | $27.51 | $36.52 | $4.08 | $0.00 | $20.72 |
| 2024 | $32.32 | $38.15 | $2.97 | $0.00 | $12.24 |
| 2025 | $29.97 | $38.80 | $4.28 | $0.00 | $24.45 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s (KDP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $38.80
- Current price
- $29.09
- AI upside
- +33.38%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$14.30
-50.84% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$24.45
-15.94% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | $29.09 | 41.14B | +33% | -51% | — | -16% | 19.58 | 1.60 | 2.45 | 13.31 | 42.83 | -2.21 | 52.41% | 21.97% | 12.52% | 8.36% | 6.91% | 3.82% | 0.63 | 4.84 | 0.64 | 0.33 | 3.60 | 4571.00% | 816.00% | -912.00% | 3.70% | 0.24 | 3.69% | 3.07% | 60.10% | 7.14% | 15.30 | 37.09 | 3.36 | 1.41 |
| ABEV | Ambev S.A. | $3.16 | 49.35B | +87% | -48% | — | -59% | 16.60 | 2.93 | 2.92 | 9.03 | 188.80 | 7.28 | 47.86% | 22.68% | 17.57% | 16.62% | 22.70% | 9.98% | 0.06 | 21.09 | 0.96 | 0.67 | -0.49 | 879.00% | -135.00% | -698.00% | 7.72% | 0.54 | 27.35% | 7.95% | 132.00% | 8.70% | 12.11 | 12.20 | 2.75 | 3.80 |
| CCEP | Coca-Cola Europacific Par… | $110.43 | 49.6B | -36% | -57% | — | -72% | 22.59 | 5.38 | 2.10 | 15.10 | 68.88 | -4.59 | 34.87% | 12.87% | 9.29% | 22.86% | 10.99% | 6.12% | 1.43 | 8.79 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 2.97 | 3279.00% | -177.00% | -1419.00% | 4.62% | 0.35 | 10.76% | 2.11% | 47.70% | 4.50% | 20.29 | 26.90 | 2.61 | 2.50 |
| EL | The Estée Lauder Companie… | $109.47 | 39.52B | -31% | -65% | — | — | -28.05 | 8.22 | 2.22 | 198.43 | — | -15.66 | 73.89% | 6.70% | -7.93% | -24.69% | 8.66% | -5.45% | 2.44 | 2.37 | 1.30 | 0.82 | 33.77 | -39167.00% | -846.00% | -5350.00% | 2.11% | 0.23 | 6.06% | 1.94% | -54.50% | 2.05% | 39.98 | 57.16 | 2.68 | 2.99 |
| HSY | The Hershey Company | $236.28 | 47.91B | -42% | -59% | — | -77% | 54.30 | 10.34 | 4.10 | 36.19 | — | -57.44 | 33.27% | 12.12% | 7.55% | 18.89% | 11.12% | 6.62% | 1.17 | 6.83 | 1.19 | 0.55 | 3.09 | -6033.00% | 438.00% | -917.00% | 3.65% | 0.76 | 18.86% | 2.26% | 122.90% | 2.76% | 37.01 | 29.98 | 4.48 | 4.40 |
| K | Kellanova | $83.44 | 29.03B | -21% | -55% | — | -74% | 20.42 | 7.33 | 2.17 | 14.04 | 50.32 | -9.27 | 36.78% | 15.86% | 10.53% | 39.02% | 17.52% | 8.68% | 1.68 | 5.71 | 0.81 | 0.48 | 2.38 | 4058.00% | -284.00% | 1694.00% | 4.09% | 0.38 | 12.01% | 2.80% | 57.20% | 4.98% | 16.49 | 29.45 | 2.61 | 3.43 |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark Corporatio… | $111.44 | 36.99B | -22% | -61% | — | — | 17.84 | 24.34 | 2.12 | 13.85 | — | -88.30 | 35.61% | 14.46% | 11.74% | 174.98% | 24.20% | 12.13% | 4.77 | 9.72 | 0.75 | 0.36 | 2.09 | -1960.00% | -1417.00% | -3478.00% | 4.48% | 0.39 | 20.86% | 4.54% | 81.00% | 6.06% | 17.29 | 26.26 | 2.50 | 3.54 |
| KR | The Kroger Co. | $68.24 | 45.22B | -34% | -61% | -88% | -66% | 17.89 | 5.77 | 0.32 | 8.85 | 74.58 | 10.01 | 22.70% | 2.62% | 1.81% | 26.85% | 11.02% | 5.18% | 3.03 | 8.39 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 2.76 | 2399.00% | -194.00% | -3838.00% | 3.72% | 0.36 | 6.36% | 1.85% | 33.00% | 12.63% | 17.57 | 38.05 | 0.46 | 4.43 |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc. | $19.12 | 36.63B | +85% | -56% | -77% | -76% | 24.63 | 3.36 | 2.39 | 14.88 | 60.47 | -4.87 | 58.13% | 17.88% | 9.72% | 14.39% | 11.19% | 5.58% | 0.79 | 7.13 | 0.96 | 0.18 | 2.54 | 4074.00% | -214.00% | 2899.00% | 4.76% | 0.37 | 9.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.52% | 16.15 | 25.36 | 2.89 | 2.20 |
| SYY | Sysco Corporation | $91.16 | 43.66B | -43% | -64% | — | -54% | 21.71 | 21.69 | 0.49 | 12.84 | — | -8.86 | 18.40% | 3.80% | 2.25% | 99.08% | 15.92% | 7.07% | 7.92 | 4.86 | 1.21 | 0.66 | 3.25 | -411.00% | 320.00% | -1743.00% | 4.49% | 0.27 | 12.13% | 2.52% | 54.70% | 5.67% | 17.20 | 29.82 | 0.65 | 5.15 |
| TGT | Target Corporation | $113.79 | 51.71B | +8% | -66% | -93% | -42% | 9.98 | 2.78 | 0.38 | 6.47 | — | 2.91 | 28.21% | 5.22% | 3.84% | 29.12% | 14.66% | 7.23% | 1.36 | 13.54 | 0.94 | 0.30 | 1.75 | -89.00% | -79.00% | 1733.00% | 10.96% | 0.35 | 15.16% | 5.01% | 50.00% | 9.26% | 10.05 | 12.50 | 0.53 | 2.90 |
About Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. operates as a beverage company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages segments. The Coffee Systems segment manufactures and distributes various finished goods related to its coffee systems, K-Cup pods, and brewers, as well as specialty coffee. This segment sells its brewers through third-party distributors and retail partners, as well as through its website at keurig.com. The Packaged Beverages segment engages in the manufacture and distribution of packaged beverages of its brands; contract manufacturing of various private label and emerging brand beverages; and distribution of packaged beverages for its partner brands. The Beverage Concentrates segment manufactures and sells beverage concentrates primarily under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, A&W, 7UP, Sunkist, Squirt, Big Red, RC Cola, Vernors, Snapple, Mott's, Bai, Hawaiian Punch, Clamato, Yoo-Hoo, Core, ReaLemon, evian, Vita Coco, and Mr and Mrs T mixers brands. This segment also manufactures beverage concentrates into syrup. The Latin America Beverages segment manufactures and distributes carbonated mineral water, flavored carbonated soft drinks, bottled water, and vegetable juice products under the Peñafiel, Clamato, Squirt, Dr Pepper, Crush, and Aguafiel brands. The company serves retailers, bottlers and distributors, restaurants, hotel chains, office coffee distributors, and end-use consumers. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
- CEO
- Timothy Cofer
- Employees
- 29K
- Beta
- 0.35
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($14.30 ÷ $29.09) − 1 = -50.84% (DCF, example).