US · MNSO
MINISO Group Holding Limited
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- Guangzhou 510140
- Website
- miniso.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$14.86
Market cap 5.61B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $4.20 | -71.74% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $13.41 | -9.76% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.10 | -85.87% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $785.50 | +5,186% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2021 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2022 | $2.60 | $0.00 | |||
| 2023 | $5.50 | $489.70 | |||
| 2024 | $19.49 | $29.71 | $112,781.73 | $2.10 | $785.50 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MINISO Group Holding Limited's (MNSO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $4.20
- Current price
- $14.86
- AI upside
- -71.74%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$13.41
-9.76% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.10
-85.87% upside
Graham Formula
$785.50
+5,186% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MNSO | MINISO Group Holding Limi… | $14.86 | 5.61B | +100% | -10% | -86% | +5,186% | 16.43 | 4.20 | 2.55 | 12.31 | 2.53 | 5.01 | 44.94% | 19.51% | 15.40% | 27.05% | 49.62% | 16.17% | 0.30 | 256.83 | 2.04 | 1.50 | -1.00 | 65000.00% | 68876.00% | -1560.00% | 3.25% | 0.38 | 26.72% | 2.87% | 47.20% | 3.60% | 11.98 | 28.26 | 2.34 | 5.61 |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | $22.76 | 4.69B | +125% | -54% | — | +5% | 7.09 | -4.08 | 0.77 | 6.13 | — | -2.60 | 44.26% | 17.33% | 10.92% | -52.99% | 34.11% | 15.44% | -3.58 | 4.06 | 1.48 | 0.71 | 2.64 | -574.00% | -164.00% | 61.00% | 11.67% | 0.72 | 22.91% | 3.13% | 22.20% | 13.82% | 7.85 | 15.06 | 1.36 | 2.59 |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorpora… | $91.93 | 6.41B | +26% | -29% | -81% | -14% | 17.24 | -32.78 | 2.27 | 6.96 | — | -32.78 | 33.58% | 25.17% | 12.98% | 87.52% | 16.60% | 9.68% | -3.96 | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | -634.00% | 701.00% | 11927.00% | 7.45% | 8.66 | 15.41% | 0.46% | 8.00% | 66.17% | 10.11 | 15.05 | 2.55 | 12.09 |
| ETSY | Etsy, Inc. | $54.88 | 5.42B | +59% | -61% | — | -68% | 32.52 | -4.83 | 1.84 | 13.28 | — | -3.70 | 71.64% | 9.23% | 5.65% | -17.55% | -25.38% | 6.21% | -0.68 | 28.15 | 1.44 | 1.34 | -1.96 | -4085.00% | 268.00% | -816.00% | 12.79% | 0.51 | -97.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 56.73% | 16.62 | 6.52 | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| FND | Floor & Decor Holdings, I… | $69.09 | 7.44B | +11% | -61% | -57% | -63% | 34.47 | 2.99 | 1.54 | 20.69 | 3274.67 | 3.59 | 41.15% | 5.95% | 4.45% | 9.11% | 4.61% | 3.97% | 1.51 | 28.83 | 1.33 | 0.30 | 6.62 | 105.00% | 512.00% | -5901.00% | 0.89% | 0.33 | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37.94 | 165.03 | 2.26 | 2.99 |
| GLBE | Global-e Online Ltd. | $34.97 | 5.94B | +50% | +207% | -86% | -60% | 86.18 | 6.31 | 6.11 | 57.23 | — | 11.65 | 45.34% | 7.45% | 7.10% | 7.48% | 17.45% | 5.01% | 0.04 | 61.20 | 1.93 | 1.33 | -2.20 | -18667.00% | 2782.00% | 6802.00% | 4.77% | 0.56 | 70.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.23% | 73.99 | 18.89 | 5.51 | 7.36 |
| HRB | H&R Block, Inc. | $30.62 | 3.88B | +110% | +50% | — | +79% | 11.10 | 75.66 | 1.79 | 8.27 | 169.42 | -6.92 | 44.53% | 22.01% | 16.11% | 674.99% | 48.24% | 18.69% | 26.41 | 10.60 | 0.90 | 0.82 | 1.38 | 655.00% | 417.00% | -888.00% | 8.90% | 0.52 | 44.74% | 2.93% | 32.60% | 9.43% | 9.75 | 13.48 | 2.15 | 3.22 |
| IBP | Installed Building Produc… | $327.76 | 8.84B | -30% | -60% | -97% | -73% | 33.08 | 12.37 | 2.96 | 19.19 | 493.49 | 51.58 | 33.97% | 13.01% | 8.93% | 37.51% | 21.00% | 12.86% | 1.40 | 12.19 | 3.03 | 2.23 | 1.36 | 670.00% | 100.00% | 1965.00% | 3.43% | 1.08 | 21.99% | 1.00% | 33.00% | 2.96% | 24.45 | 31.41 | 3.18 | 7.04 |
| KMX | CarMax, Inc. | $43.17 | 6.34B | +155% | -39% | +28% | -39% | 20.51 | 1.64 | 0.36 | 27.03 | 326.03 | 1.68 | 11.43% | 2.80% | 1.77% | 8.13% | 2.35% | 1.83% | 3.11 | 7.31 | 2.31 | 0.20 | 17.61 | 629.00% | -2.00% | -243931.00% | 1.52% | 0.28 | 0.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.17% | 37.32 | 188.16 | 1.04 | 1.76 |
| LNW | Light & Wonder, Inc. | $99.75 | 8.43B | — | — | — | -34% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70.80% | 20.95% | 10.54% | 47.97% | 12.36% | 6.12% | 6.16 | 2.28 | 1.61 | 1.06 | 3.41 | 11029.00% | 986.00% | -287.00% | — | 0.86 | 7.83% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| MUSA | Murphy USA Inc. | $390.74 | 7.24B | -12% | -59% | -73% | -74% | 16.53 | 12.48 | 0.40 | 11.00 | — | 49.81 | 5.01% | 3.81% | 2.43% | 64.31% | 16.30% | 10.16% | 5.22 | 6.67 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 3.22 | -4.00% | -425.00% | -390.00% | 4.81% | 0.88 | 10.68% | 0.53% | 8.80% | 8.89% | 14.89 | 29.40 | 0.57 | 6.95 |
About MINISO Group Holding Limited
MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of lifestyle products in China, Asia, the Americas, and Europe. The company offers products in various categories, including home decor products, small electronics, textiles, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care products, snacks, fragrances and perfumes, and stationeries and gifts under the MINISO and WonderLife brand names; and blind boxes, toy bricks, model figures, model kits, collectible dolls, Ichiban Kuji, sculptures, and other popular toys under the TOP TOY brand. As of June 30, 2021, it operated a network of approximately 4,749 MINISO stores, as well as online sales channels. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
- CEO
- Guofu Ye
- Employees
- 7K
- Beta
- 0.16
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($13.41 ÷ $14.86) − 1 = -9.76% (DCF, example).