US · MP
MP Materials Corp.
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
- Headquarters
- Las Vegas, NV 89119
- Website
- mpmaterials.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$66.63
Market cap 10.43B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $139.28 | +109.03% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $30.73 | -53.88% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $9.11 | -86.33% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2020 | $42.28 | $184.53 | $243.03 | $9.35 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $43.73 | $117.60 | $3.66 | $9.71 | $115.94 |
| 2022 | $29.34 | $80.55 | $4.79 | $15.62 | $105.71 |
| 2023 | $15.24 | $32.00 | $5.07 | $8.39 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $24.98 | $33.41 | $3.56 | $4.36 | $4.16 |
| 2025 | $63.73 | $139.28 | $9.35 | $9.11 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MP Materials Corp.'s (MP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $139.28
- Current price
- $66.63
- AI upside
- +109.03%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$30.73
-53.88% upside
Graham-Dodd
$9.11
-86.33% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | $66.63 | 10.43B | +109% | -54% | -86% | — | -126.26 | 5.48 | 39.36 | 3052.89 | — | 5.48 | -2.40% | -44.57% | -31.18% | -5.66% | -13.42% | -2.77% | 0.03 | -3.90 | 7.24 | 6.61 | -369.40 | -1228.00% | 3512.00% | 8959.00% | -3.03% | -0.52 | -49.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.96% | -73.95 | -27.67 | 32.96 | 5.05 |
| AA | Alcoa Corporation | $62.08 | 16.08B | -39% | -53% | -36% | -11% | 14.77 | 2.73 | 1.31 | 8.11 | 0.99 | 2.73 | 13.58% | 7.62% | 9.01% | 20.05% | 17.07% | 7.48% | 0.00 | 6.15 | 1.45 | 0.76 | -0.86 | 148571.00% | 453.00% | 125000.00% | 3.39% | 0.31 | 9.97% | 0.63% | 9.30% | 20.22% | 15.58 | 26.67 | 1.19 | 2.09 |
| ALB | Albemarle Corporation | $178.67 | 21.06B | -50% | -60% | -99% | — | -45.08 | 2.20 | 4.08 | 30.03 | — | 2.68 | 13.06% | 1.82% | -9.93% | -4.77% | 0.79% | -2.82% | 0.35 | 0.45 | 2.23 | 1.33 | 2.23 | -4866.00% | -437.00% | -16976.00% | 3.30% | 0.71 | 5.87% | 1.70% | -76.80% | 5.26% | 241.51 | 32.71 | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. | $27.15 | 17.43B | +87% | +295% | -67% | +241% | 29.21 | 5.17 | 8.27 | 16.55 | 5.84 | 6.37 | 39.30% | 36.27% | 28.30% | 26.41% | 26.88% | 16.75% | 0.11 | 24.26 | 2.00 | 1.58 | -0.18 | 50000.00% | 9641.00% | -753486.00% | 3.89% | 2.26 | 27.77% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.35% | 22.55 | 25.43 | 8.18 | 7.76 |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining Compa… | $22.75 | 14.21B | -48% | +191% | -64% | +60% | 10.69 | 3.19 | 2.08 | 5.44 | 15.78 | 3.19 | 39.65% | 27.55% | 19.47% | 32.32% | 36.90% | 20.85% | 0.05 | — | 1.72 | 1.38 | -0.41 | 6774.00% | 2039.00% | 4881.00% | 7.02% | 1.83 | 28.51% | 1.34% | 14.30% | 6.85% | 7.02 | 13.24 | 1.93 | 5.40 |
| JHX | James Hardie Industries p… | $24.35 | 14.12B | +60% | +51% | -61% | -73% | 26.17 | 5.13 | 2.86 | 13.01 | — | 6.09 | 38.81% | 16.92% | 10.93% | 21.09% | 15.67% | 8.36% | 0.56 | 16.00 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 0.71 | -1552.00% | -149.00% | -1813.00% | 3.43% | 0.99 | 13.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.10% | 17.90 | 30.85 | 3.03 | 3.99 |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company | $27.84 | 8.84B | -31% | -57% | +8% | -1% | 15.17 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 3.53 | 7.26 | 0.79 | 15.08% | 8.71% | 4.49% | 4.88% | 3.52% | 2.43% | 0.06 | 4.82 | 1.32 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 20909.00% | 836.00% | -122785.00% | -6.12% | 0.21 | -3.79% | 3.21% | 48.70% | 45.53% | 8.78 | -17.23 | 0.76 | 1.93 |
| RGLD | Royal Gold, Inc. | $299.79 | 19.66B | -49% | -59% | -63% | +14% | 44.80 | 2.95 | 20.50 | 28.23 | 137.94 | 2.95 | 69.27% | 64.50% | 45.25% | 9.18% | 10.10% | 7.29% | 0.13 | 28.40 | 3.12 | 2.87 | 0.95 | 3248.00% | 4457.00% | 6509.00% | 3.34% | 5.83 | 13.04% | 0.56% | 25.10% | 0.56% | 32.88 | 31.01 | 21.21 | 5.99 |
| SUZ | Suzano S.A. | $11.33 | 14B | +35% | -46% | -8% | +103% | 5.63 | 1.69 | 1.51 | 6.96 | — | 2.40 | 31.11% | 22.81% | 26.75% | 34.56% | 6.06% | 7.88% | 2.43 | 1.71 | 3.19 | 2.47 | 4.09 | -29016.00% | 365.00% | 3650.00% | 7.51% | 1.29 | 4.56% | 2.93% | 16.50% | 14.45% | 13.84 | 27.91 | 3.16 | 1.09 |
| WLK | Westlake Corporation | $105.38 | 13.52B | -52% | -59% | — | — | -9.36 | 1.57 | 1.23 | -56.96 | — | 1.57 | 2.59% | -14.13% | -13.50% | -15.23% | -14.72% | -7.23% | 0.06 | -9.80 | 12.51 | 8.92 | 11.19 | -35280.00% | -801.00% | -27320.00% | -3.85% | 0.94 | -5.51% | 1.98% | -18.50% | 35.72% | -7.18 | -21.39 | 1.01 | 1.42 |
About MP Materials Corp.
MP Materials Corp. owns and operates rare earth mining and processing facilities. It owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine located in the Western Hemisphere. The company holds the mineral rights to the Mountain Pass mine and surrounding areas, as well as intellectual property rights related to the processing and development of rare earth minerals. It offers cerium, lanthanum, neodymium, praseodymium, and samarium. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
- CEO
- James Henry Litinsky
- Employees
- 804
- Beta
- 1.56
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($30.73 ÷ $66.63) − 1 = -53.88% (DCF, example).