US · MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Headquarters
- Broomfield, CO 80021
- Website
- vailresorts.com
Price · as of 2025-07-31
$125.86
Market cap 4.88B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $223.36 | +77.47% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $60.77 | -51.72% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $81.46 | -35.28% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $27.09 | $46.64 | $1.24 | $18.13 | $35.64 |
| 2012 | $40.18 | $26.59 | $0.72 | $6.97 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $48.69 | $23.86 | $5.10 | $6.65 | $18.02 |
| 2014 | $59.52 | $31.85 | $4.56 | $0.00 | $15.54 |
| 2015 | $79.62 | $46.14 | $29.32 | $0.00 | $60.71 |
| 2016 | $117.80 | $74.88 | $127.31 | $0.00 | $90.42 |
| 2017 | $168.03 | $139.98 | $212.19 | $0.00 | $142.13 |
| 2018 | $196.82 | $163.12 | $130.96 | $0.00 | $125.03 |
| 2019 | $183.74 | $185.93 | $143.07 | $0.00 | $153.50 |
| 2020 | $201.73 | $171.17 | $9.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $286.88 | $154.71 | $26.75 | $11.24 | $17.30 |
| 2022 | $187.14 | $199.94 | $44.54 | $0.00 | $334.73 |
| 2023 | $188.19 | $235.17 | $169.22 | $0.00 | $146.84 |
| 2024 | $159.03 | $224.07 | $121.43 | $0.00 | $48.45 |
| 2025 | $144.26 | $223.36 | $5.14 | $0.00 | $81.45 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Vail Resorts, Inc.'s (MTN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $223.36
- Current price
- $125.86
- AI upside
- +77.47%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$60.77
-51.72% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$81.46
-35.28% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | $125.86 | 4.88B | +77% | -52% | — | -35% | 17.99 | 12.63 | 1.81 | 9.61 | 74.79 | -3.46 | 42.78% | 18.89% | 9.45% | 51.91% | 12.06% | 5.19% | 8.11 | 3.26 | 0.63 | 0.49 | 3.45 | 2405.00% | 274.00% | -1488.00% | 5.96% | 0.33 | 9.30% | 6.12% | 110.10% | 11.16% | 14.94 | 26.16 | 2.82 | 1.52 |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming Corporation | $83.23 | 6.28B | +73% | -46% | +47% | +229% | 3.66 | 2.58 | 1.65 | 3.46 | 1.38 | 38.40 | 42.14% | 21.43% | 45.05% | 87.98% | 12.92% | 27.83% | 1.25 | 5.56 | 0.54 | 0.45 | 1.04 | 26446.00% | 412.00% | -3022.00% | 5.76% | 1.00 | 7.25% | 0.86% | 3.20% | 22.83% | 11.01 | 24.85 | 2.36 | 2.43 |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorpora… | $91.93 | 6.41B | +26% | -29% | -81% | -14% | 17.24 | -32.78 | 2.27 | 6.96 | — | -32.78 | 33.58% | 25.17% | 12.98% | 87.52% | 16.60% | 9.68% | -3.96 | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | -634.00% | 701.00% | 11927.00% | 7.45% | 8.66 | 15.41% | 0.46% | 8.00% | 66.17% | 10.11 | 15.05 | 2.55 | 12.09 |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | $131.25 | 6.98B | -17% | -61% | -58% | -51% | 12.97 | 1.36 | 0.29 | 13.63 | — | 2.17 | 6.47% | 3.34% | 1.88% | 11.11% | 7.78% | 3.65% | 0.81 | 7.71 | 1.35 | 0.87 | 4.23 | -914.00% | -18.00% | -609.00% | 7.71% | 0.19 | 6.77% | 2.41% | 31.30% | 7.17% | 12.73 | 18.77 | 0.43 | 2.91 |
| LNW | Light & Wonder, Inc. | $99.75 | 8.43B | — | — | — | -34% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70.80% | 20.95% | 10.54% | 47.97% | 12.36% | 6.12% | 6.16 | 2.28 | 1.61 | 1.06 | 3.41 | 11029.00% | 986.00% | -287.00% | — | 0.86 | 7.83% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| LTH | Life Time Group Holdings,… | $27.00 | 5.95B | +10% | -61% | -36% | +38% | 15.43 | 1.84 | 1.92 | 14.08 | 12.41 | 3.37 | 88.68% | 16.07% | 12.48% | 13.03% | 4.49% | 4.69% | 2.16 | 5.85 | 0.63 | 0.44 | 7.47 | 12432.00% | 1428.00% | -14143.00% | -0.36% | 1.43 | -0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25.52 | -586.03 | 4.10 | 1.09 |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Product… | $24.81 | 5.22B | +22% | -61% | — | -49% | 16.98 | 2.27 | 1.37 | 10.96 | — | -8.74 | 24.56% | 13.22% | 8.09% | 13.70% | 9.83% | 6.14% | 0.78 | 5.72 | 1.93 | 0.89 | 2.64 | -1437.00% | 70.00% | -1436.00% | 6.18% | 0.83 | 8.24% | 3.76% | 63.80% | 4.52% | 13.68 | 21.30 | 1.81 | 2.58 |
| SGHC | Super Group (SGHC) Limite… | $10.70 | 5.41B | +243% | -49% | -93% | -37% | 25.15 | 5.12 | 1.75 | 10.95 | — | 15.53 | 49.59% | 15.51% | 6.67% | 20.45% | 53.49% | 10.95% | 0.13 | 43.27 | 1.25 | 1.07 | -1.30 | -113774.00% | 1816.00% | 15174.00% | 6.72% | 0.66 | 67.47% | 1.55% | 39.00% | 4.23% | 10.04 | 13.24 | 1.56 | 6.26 |
| THO | Thor Industries, Inc. | $96.13 | 5.08B | -20% | -59% | -58% | -81% | 20.18 | 1.22 | 0.54 | 9.02 | — | 3.09 | 13.99% | 4.36% | 2.70% | 6.19% | 7.77% | 3.67% | 0.22 | 8.63 | 1.75 | 0.82 | 0.55 | -202.00% | -462.00% | 1208.00% | 8.72% | 0.36 | 9.76% | 2.03% | 41.00% | 8.72% | 13.29 | 12.21 | 0.58 | 3.76 |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters, Inc. | $66.20 | 5.94B | +57% | -27% | -14% | +45% | 12.74 | 2.10 | 0.96 | 8.90 | 67.86 | 2.10 | 35.97% | 9.82% | 7.54% | 17.59% | 14.97% | 9.76% | 0.44 | — | 1.51 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 1878.00% | 1107.00% | 3899.00% | 7.51% | 0.51 | 14.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.84% | 10.66 | 14.50 | 1.05 | 4.18 |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts,… | $81.80 | 6.18B | -0% | -58% | — | -70% | 31.57 | 13.02 | 4.26 | 19.50 | — | -4.55 | 58.85% | 28.41% | 13.51% | 34.53% | 9.13% | 4.59% | 6.53 | 2.92 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 6.42 | -3158.00% | 149.00% | 3320.00% | 5.27% | 0.74 | 9.92% | 2.08% | 65.80% | 6.83% | 22.38 | 28.31 | 6.36 | 1.76 |
About Vail Resorts, Inc.
Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and urban ski areas in the United States. It operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates 37 destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in the ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. The Lodging segment owns and/or manages various luxury hotels and condominiums, and other lodging properties under the RockResorts brand; various condominiums located in proximity to the company's mountain resorts; destination resorts; and golf courses, as well as offers resort ground transportation services. This segment operates owned and managed hotel and condominium units. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.
- CEO
- Robert A. Katz
- Employees
- 7.6K
- Beta
- 0.79
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($60.77 ÷ $125.86) − 1 = -51.72% (DCF, example).