US · LI
Li Auto Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Beijing 101399
- Website
- lixiang.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$17.57
Market cap 17.76B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $2.50 | -85.77% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $40.58 | +130.96% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.60 | -11.21% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $27.40 | +55.95% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $0.00 | ||||
| 2020 | $25.69 | $76.66 | $1,321,172.92 | $4.50 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $22.17 | $24.10 | $5.34 | $6.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $21.37 | $19.59 | $130,065.96 | $5.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $36.34 | $35.61 | $5,327,350.83 | $16.90 | $282.80 |
| 2024 | $29.02 | $18.03 | $14,494.62 | $15.60 | $27.40 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Li Auto Inc.'s (LI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $2.50
- Current price
- $17.57
- AI upside
- -85.77%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$40.58
+130.96% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.60
-11.21% upside
Graham Formula
$27.40
+55.95% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.57 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $213.85 | 24.87B | -28% | -63% | — | -42% | 22.43 | 10.19 | 1.95 | 15.69 | 545.36 | -33.90 | 21.88% | 11.28% | 8.69% | 46.10% | 15.29% | 8.78% | 2.70 | 7.55 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 3.18 | 411.00% | 603.00% | 524.00% | 4.40% | 0.76 | 13.12% | 2.80% | 62.70% | 4.57% | 21.68 | 28.53 | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| HMC | Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $30.16 | 39.2B | +28% | -2% | +61% | +67% | 5.17 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 3.07 | — | 0.61 | 21.50% | 5.59% | 3.85% | 10.53% | 5.62% | 4.35% | 0.36 | 22.10 | 1.36 | 1.00 | -0.05 | -2079.00% | 617.00% | -50060.00% | -8.16% | 0.03 | -3.75% | 5.11% | 26.40% | 82.04% | 5.35 | -11.69 | 0.30 | 1.69 |
| NIO | NIO Inc. | $4.87 | 11.55B | -63% | -63% | — | — | -2.89 | 10.98 | 1.00 | -5.55 | — | 11.42 | 9.88% | -33.28% | -34.47% | -143.80% | -154.86% | -20.14% | 5.67 | -27.40 | 0.99 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1133.00% | 1818.00% | 807.00% | -25.93% | -0.13 | -120.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.53 | -4.55 | 1.18 | -1.12 |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | $7,525.08 | 21.37B | -18% | -56% | -52% | -62% | 16.05 | 5.56 | 2.08 | 11.58 | — | 5.56 | 22.96% | 16.19% | 12.98% | 33.18% | 44.41% | 21.90% | 0.31 | 57.97 | 3.95 | 2.12 | -0.42 | -1384.00% | -208.00% | -1847.00% | 5.10% | 1.19 | 38.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 12.41 | 18.91 | 2.01 | 13.67 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.33 | 18.96B | +28% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corporation | $362.60 | 21.99B | -30% | -53% | -89% | -52% | 22.95 | 6.59 | 2.41 | 14.52 | 118.03 | 10.41 | 68.55% | 13.17% | 10.49% | 29.49% | 19.35% | 10.89% | 1.03 | 21.14 | 1.78 | 1.26 | 0.61 | 1944.00% | 675.00% | 1260.00% | 5.98% | 0.58 | 27.06% | 1.18% | 27.10% | 11.50% | 18.92 | 17.31 | 2.49 | 5.53 |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $684.79 | 30.7B | -56% | -47% | -74% | -67% | 14.21 | 6.86 | 1.51 | 9.90 | — | 6.89 | 38.84% | 13.98% | 10.63% | 50.39% | 33.65% | 20.52% | 0.77 | — | 1.70 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -265.00% | 79.00% | -738.00% | 5.65% | 0.75 | 27.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.02% | 11.58 | 18.96 | 1.62 | 6.26 |
| XPEV | XPeng Inc. | $17.56 | 16.68B | -40% | +13,679% | -98% | — | -27.49 | 5.09 | 3.90 | -48.86 | — | 6.66 | 14.30% | -16.29% | -14.17% | -17.13% | -38.09% | -6.94% | 0.51 | -19.36 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.91 | -4866.00% | 3322.00% | 22761.00% | -2.79% | -0.05 | -25.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -21.39 | -32.07 | 3.48 | 1.53 |
About Li Auto Inc.
Li Auto Inc. operates in the energy vehicle market in the People's Republic of China. It designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. The company's product line comprises MPVs and sport utility vehicles. It offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as purchases manufacturing equipment. The company offers its products through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and changed its name to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Li Auto Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
- CEO
- Xiang Li
- Employees
- 32.25K
- Beta
- 0.60
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($40.58 ÷ $17.57) − 1 = +130.96% (DCF, example).