US · PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Louisville, KY 40299-2367
- Website
- papajohns.com
Price · as of 2025-12-28
$35.50
Market cap 1.03B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $23.62 | -33.46% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $12.78 | -64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.38 | -79.22% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $14.65 | $35.09 | $1.33 | $8.41 | $17.75 |
| 2012 | $23.46 | $46.88 | $8.30 | $8.76 | $23.51 |
| 2013 | $42.45 | $49.05 | $15.13 | $5.58 | $23.89 |
| 2014 | $48.83 | $48.94 | $27.62 | $1.39 | $33.37 |
| 2015 | $45.34 | $48.04 | $3.15 | $0.00 | $20.02 |
| 2016 | $62.16 | $49.90 | $2.74 | $0.61 | $34.77 |
| 2017 | $51.37 | $42.77 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $34.37 |
| 2018 | $37.85 | $38.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $49.68 | $29.35 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1.69 |
| 2020 | $75.75 | $37.74 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $35.04 |
| 2021 | $83.31 | $53.54 | $5.55 | $0.00 | $73.78 |
| 2022 | $69.49 | $46.12 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $18.45 |
| 2023 | $64.30 | $37.75 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $24.09 |
| 2024 | $45.84 | $48.80 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $11.96 |
| 2025 | $31.94 | $23.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $7.38 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Papa John's International, Inc.'s (PZZA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $23.62
- Current price
- $35.50
- AI upside
- -33.46%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$12.78
-64% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$7.38
-79.22% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PZZA | Papa John's International… | $35.50 | 1.03B | -33% | -64% | — | -79% | 32.67 | -2.42 | 0.51 | 6.83 | — | -2.10 | 28.89% | 4.34% | 1.49% | -7.45% | 68.59% | 3.72% | -0.52 | 2.19 | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1.04 | -6457.00% | -27.00% | 7953.00% | 5.84% | 0.43 | 47.17% | 5.83% | 190.40% | 76.75% | 13.89 | 20.20 | 0.60 | 3.57 |
| AIN | Albany International Corp… | $57.65 | 1.7B | -25% | -59% | — | — | -29.86 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 36.81 | — | 3.14 | 20.62% | -1.90% | -4.85% | -6.82% | -1.81% | -3.38% | 0.63 | -0.76 | 2.10 | 0.79 | 6.18 | -16929.00% | -388.00% | -4020.00% | 4.86% | 0.34 | 7.23% | 1.91% | -57.00% | 12.85% | -91.17 | 24.73 | 1.73 | 2.81 |
| ARCO | Arcos Dorados Holdings In… | $8.80 | 1.85B | +102% | +182% | -74% | -10% | 11.05 | 3.24 | 0.37 | 6.41 | — | 3.72 | 13.12% | 7.26% | 3.33% | 29.07% | 9.23% | 5.03% | 3.39 | 6.87 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 3.15 | -1744.00% | 319.00% | -37798.00% | -3.70% | 0.35 | -3.00% | 3.08% | 34.00% | 3.08% | 9.94 | -53.06 | 0.72 | 2.53 |
| BH | Biglari Holdings Inc. | $387.78 | 1.21B | -2% | -67% | -8% | — | -81.12 | 0.53 | 0.84 | 8.50 | — | 0.61 | 38.28% | 6.38% | -1.04% | -0.64% | 1.82% | -0.44% | 0.26 | 3.77 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 3.16 | -10698.00% | -88.00% | -6156.00% | 6.25% | 0.34 | 3.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.91 | 16.86 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corporation | $58.27 | 1.84B | — | +400% | -53% | +157% | 12.79 | 6.40 | 1.10 | 7.77 | — | 8.38 | 20.51% | 11.29% | 8.63% | — | — | — | 0.35 | 23.21 | 1.74 | 1.06 | -0.72 | — | — | — | 9.39% | 0.74 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.03% | 8.94 | 9.75 | 1.01 | 6.43 |
| MBC | MasterBrand, Inc. | $10.12 | 1.29B | +201% | -60% | -73% | -81% | 47.57 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 10.80 | — | -3.84 | 29.25% | 4.83% | 0.98% | 2.02% | 3.20% | 0.89% | 1.00 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 5.17 | -7812.00% | 127.00% | -4434.00% | 9.25% | 0.47 | 4.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.43% | 18.44 | 20.73 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, … | $96.10 | 1.75B | -9% | -44% | -61% | -29% | 17.48 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 9.16 | 42.21 | 3.47 | 45.13% | 25.07% | 18.60% | 19.21% | 22.78% | 14.44% | 0.05 | 70.55 | 0.86 | 0.74 | -0.38 | 4141.00% | 439.00% | 3768.00% | 7.25% | 1.10 | 27.33% | 1.24% | 21.60% | 6.82% | 12.45 | 13.25 | 3.12 | 8.61 |
| RVLV | Revolve Group, Inc. | $25.16 | 1.79B | +80% | -56% | -54% | -44% | 28.09 | 3.35 | 1.40 | 16.77 | 114.01 | 3.38 | 53.50% | 6.06% | 5.03% | 12.86% | 23.23% | 8.55% | 0.06 | — | 2.81 | 1.34 | -2.99 | 2464.00% | 848.00% | 12806.00% | 2.79% | 0.26 | 20.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.68% | 19.63 | 30.38 | 1.19 | 7.33 |
| TILE | Interface, Inc. | $31.49 | 1.84B | +35% | -61% | -12% | -16% | 15.29 | 1.47 | 1.28 | 9.92 | 47.15 | 1.70 | 38.75% | 11.82% | 8.37% | 13.69% | 12.81% | 7.89% | 0.22 | 8.39 | 2.34 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 3243.00% | 541.00% | 617.00% | 6.86% | 0.71 | 11.20% | 0.20% | 3.10% | 6.33% | 12.00 | 16.17 | 1.42 | 3.19 |
| WEN | The Wendy's Company | $7.66 | 1.46B | +182% | -61% | — | -42% | 8.75 | 12.31 | 0.66 | 10.08 | — | -0.79 | 26.87% | 15.27% | 7.58% | 87.63% | 6.14% | 3.30% | 35.31 | 2.63 | 1.76 | 1.19 | 7.33 | -1053.00% | -310.00% | -701.00% | 16.79% | 0.98 | 6.17% | 8.97% | 78.50% | 22.86% | 15.92 | 21.80 | 2.43 | 1.03 |
About Papa John's International, Inc.
Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa John's trademark in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Commissaries, North America Franchising, and International Operations. The company also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa John's trademark internationally. As of December 26, 2021, it operated 5,650 Papa John's restaurants, which included 600 company-owned and 5,050 franchised restaurants in 50 countries and territories. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.
- CEO
- Todd Allan Penegor
- Employees
- 11.4K
- Beta
- 1.19
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($12.78 ÷ $35.50) − 1 = -64% (DCF, example).