US · ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Montevideo 11300
- Website
- arcosdorados.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$8.78
Market cap 1.85B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $17.79 | +102.62% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $24.81 | +182.57% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.28 | -74.04% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.90 | -9.99% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $5.00 | $10.37 | |||
| 2011 | $15.74 | $27.23 | $127.34 | $1.76 | $14.82 |
| 2012 | $10.37 | $22.32 | $3.22 | $2.54 | $6.25 |
| 2013 | $7.85 | $25.40 | $1.63 | $1.83 | $3.61 |
| 2014 | $3.66 | $18.52 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.44 |
| 2015 | $2.33 | $22.36 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1.80 |
| 2016 | $5.45 | $25.38 | $0.00 | $3.41 | $1.57 |
| 2017 | $8.34 | $28.43 | $1.79 | $5.23 | $12.48 |
| 2018 | $7.02 | $26.27 | $0.65 | $1.21 | $0.22 |
| 2019 | $5.49 | $19.61 | $0.00 | $2.31 | $1.66 |
| 2020 | $4.70 | $23.29 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $17.05 |
| 2021 | $6.64 | $27.30 | $0.00 | $2.10 | $8.79 |
| 2022 | $7.26 | $22.85 | $86.70 | $2.58 | $28.37 |
| 2023 | $10.87 | $20.81 | $514.15 | $3.84 | $23.30 |
| 2024 | $7.80 | $17.79 | $169.88 | $2.28 | $7.90 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (ARCO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $17.79
- Current price
- $8.78
- AI upside
- +102.62%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$24.81
+182.57% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.28
-74.04% upside
Graham Formula
$7.90
-9.99% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ARCO | Arcos Dorados Holdings In… | $8.78 | 1.85B | +103% | +183% | -74% | -10% | 11.05 | 3.24 | 0.37 | 6.41 | — | 3.72 | 13.12% | 7.26% | 3.33% | 29.07% | 9.23% | 5.03% | 3.39 | 6.87 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 3.15 | -1744.00% | 319.00% | -37798.00% | -3.70% | 0.35 | -3.00% | 3.08% | 34.00% | 3.08% | 9.94 | -53.06 | 0.72 | 2.53 |
| BH | Biglari Holdings Inc. | $387.78 | 1.21B | -2% | -67% | -8% | — | -81.12 | 0.53 | 0.84 | 8.50 | — | 0.61 | 38.28% | 6.38% | -1.04% | -0.64% | 1.82% | -0.44% | 0.26 | 3.77 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 3.16 | -10698.00% | -88.00% | -6156.00% | 6.25% | 0.34 | 3.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.91 | 16.86 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| MBC | MasterBrand, Inc. | $10.12 | 1.29B | +201% | -60% | -73% | -81% | 47.57 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 10.80 | — | -3.84 | 29.25% | 4.83% | 0.98% | 2.02% | 3.20% | 0.89% | 1.00 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 5.17 | -7812.00% | 127.00% | -4434.00% | 9.25% | 0.47 | 4.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.43% | 18.44 | 20.73 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| PZZA | Papa John's International… | $31.35 | 1.03B | -25% | -59% | — | -76% | 32.67 | -2.42 | 0.51 | 6.83 | — | -2.10 | 28.89% | 4.34% | 1.49% | -7.45% | 68.59% | 3.72% | -0.52 | 2.19 | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1.04 | -6457.00% | -27.00% | 7953.00% | 5.84% | 0.43 | 47.17% | 5.83% | 190.40% | 76.75% | 13.89 | 20.20 | 0.60 | 3.57 |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings, In… | $16.07 | 1.58B | +295% | -61% | -24% | -6% | 8.03 | 1.98 | 0.43 | 6.98 | 24.97 | 7.85 | 51.62% | 8.86% | 5.29% | 27.54% | 11.27% | 6.92% | 1.97 | 5.09 | 2.26 | 0.46 | 3.31 | 3217.00% | -42.00% | 1880.00% | 10.98% | 0.48 | 7.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.28% | 9.11 | 17.30 | 0.81 | 2.86 |
| TILE | Interface, Inc. | $31.49 | 1.84B | +35% | -61% | -12% | -16% | 15.29 | 1.47 | 1.28 | 9.92 | 47.15 | 1.70 | 38.75% | 11.82% | 8.37% | 13.69% | 12.81% | 7.89% | 0.22 | 8.39 | 2.34 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 3243.00% | 541.00% | 617.00% | 6.86% | 0.71 | 11.20% | 0.20% | 3.10% | 6.33% | 12.00 | 16.17 | 1.42 | 3.19 |
| TRS | TriMas Corporation | $39.08 | 1.59B | +43,486% | +34,359,102% | +57,361% | +507,629,204% | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.40% | 6.40% | 18.61% | 34.02% | 11.59% | 16.17% | 0.05 | 2.29 | 2.52 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 40000.00% | 6970681.00% | 53890156.00% | 4509.95% | 0.64 | 19.39% | 431.41% | 5.50% | 438.16% | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.75 |
| WEN | The Wendy's Company | $7.66 | 1.46B | +182% | -61% | — | -42% | 8.75 | 12.31 | 0.66 | 10.08 | — | -0.79 | 26.87% | 15.27% | 7.58% | 87.63% | 6.14% | 3.30% | 35.31 | 2.63 | 1.76 | 1.19 | 7.33 | -1053.00% | -310.00% | -701.00% | 16.79% | 0.98 | 6.17% | 8.97% | 78.50% | 22.86% | 15.92 | 21.80 | 2.43 | 1.03 |
| WINA | Winmark Corporation | $456.24 | 1.63B | -32% | -59% | — | -65% | 40.26 | -31.24 | 19.49 | 30.55 | 1069.40 | -29.64 | 96.39% | 63.44% | 48.40% | -79.55% | 19191.61% | 161.05% | -1.21 | 22.31 | 2.49 | 2.19 | 0.96 | 376.00% | 586.00% | 653.00% | 2.67% | 7.92 | 20046.86% | 2.93% | 117.90% | 3.07% | 31.71 | 38.73 | 20.12 | 19.79 |
About Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates as a franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. The company has the exclusive right to own, operate, and grant franchises of McDonald's restaurants in 20 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, the U.S. Virgin Islands of St. Croix and St. Thomas, and Venezuela. As of December 31, 2021, it operated or franchised 2,261 restaurants. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay.
- CEO
- Luis Raganato
- Employees
- 100K
- Beta
- 0.46
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($24.81 ÷ $8.78) − 1 = +182.57% (DCF, example).