US · SHOP
Shopify Inc.
- Sector
- Technology · Software - Application
- Headquarters
- Ottawa, ON K2P 2L8
- Website
- shopify.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$127.67
Market cap 157.56B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $81.64 | -36.05% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $208.32 | +63.17% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $14.71 | -88.47% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $35.08 | -72.52% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2015 | $2.67 | $61.49 | $4,811.34 | $0.16 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $6.41 | $39.64 | $6,003.88 | $0.26 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $14.92 | $40.77 | $2,729.91 | $0.81 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $18.98 | $40.00 | $1,227.35 | $1.64 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $47.21 | $48.23 | $449.15 | $1.84 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $114.06 | $90.54 | $3,296.98 | $6.43 | $24.05 |
| 2021 | $54.44 | $63.66 | $2,958.83 | $20.34 | $147.38 |
| 2022 | $41.46 | $39.24 | $599.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $76.16 | $61.64 | $179.18 | $7.26 | $3.40 |
| 2024 | $100.13 | $72.06 | $132.31 | $16.38 | $51.17 |
| 2025 | $119.38 | $81.64 | $203.61 | $14.71 | $35.08 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Shopify Inc.'s (SHOP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $81.64
- Current price
- $127.67
- AI upside
- -36.05%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$208.32
+63.17% upside
Graham-Dodd
$14.71
-88.47% upside
Graham Formula
$35.08
-72.52% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SHOP | Shopify Inc. | $127.67 | 157.56B | -36% | +63% | -88% | -73% | 125.97 | 11.53 | 13.42 | 99.84 | — | 11.99 | 48.07% | 12.70% | 10.65% | 9.85% | 15.71% | 8.46% | 0.03 | — | 5.92 | 5.82 | -0.79 | -3935.00% | 3014.00% | 2567.00% | 1.29% | 1.46 | 26.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.52% | 101.95 | 74.57 | 12.95 | 56.21 |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | $372.30 | 295.46B | -40% | -67% | -90% | -71% | 30.85 | 10.58 | 7.61 | 22.22 | 5312.71 | 13.10 | 48.67% | 29.22% | 24.67% | 35.51% | 35.73% | 19.79% | 0.35 | 30.81 | 2.61 | 1.74 | -0.02 | 58.00% | 439.00% | -2389.00% | 2.64% | 0.99 | 32.53% | 0.64% | 19.80% | 2.91% | 25.86 | 37.62 | 7.56 | 12.25 |
| ANET | Arista Networks, Inc. | $133.50 | 168.11B | -23% | +51% | -82% | -26% | 46.32 | 13.15 | 18.06 | 38.97 | 198.66 | 13.61 | 63.71% | 42.48% | 38.99% | 31.40% | 190.47% | 20.97% | 0.00 | — | 3.05 | 2.35 | -0.50 | 2332.00% | 2860.00% | 1567.00% | 2.61% | 0.81 | 256.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.99% | 39.71 | 35.72 | 16.87 | 16.26 |
| APP | AppLovin Corporation | $434.77 | 146.93B | -29% | -45% | -88% | -46% | 42.73 | 68.72 | 26.76 | 33.93 | 37.08 | 740.94 | 87.86% | 75.75% | 60.83% | 212.95% | 101.62% | 52.30% | 1.66 | 20.06 | 3.32 | 3.23 | 0.24 | 11523.00% | 1638.00% | 8827.00% | 2.69% | 2.98 | 111.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.69% | 35.58 | 37.47 | 26.96 | 20.66 |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | $194.79 | 185.44B | +6% | -40% | -92% | -30% | 24.58 | 3.10 | 4.41 | 13.72 | 108.57 | -32.65 | 77.68% | 21.47% | 17.96% | 12.40% | 12.16% | 6.93% | 0.11 | — | 0.76 | 0.64 | -0.04 | 2264.00% | 958.00% | 1583.00% | 7.86% | 0.40 | 25.08% | 0.87% | 21.30% | 9.45% | 20.24 | 12.53 | 4.35 | 2.88 |
| INTU | Intuit Inc. | $409.03 | 113.87B | +11% | +17% | -94% | -22% | 46.28 | 9.08 | 9.51 | 30.75 | 148.97 | 418.33 | 80.76% | 26.14% | 20.55% | 20.29% | 18.44% | 11.20% | 0.34 | 19.93 | 1.36 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 3106.00% | 1563.00% | 3127.00% | 3.40% | 0.60 | 28.47% | 0.66% | 30.70% | 2.21% | 36.79 | 29.78 | 9.62 | 8.04 |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corporation | $233.89 | 292.08B | -62% | -62% | -94% | -45% | 24.62 | 13.38 | 7.16 | 20.54 | 57.12 | 16.38 | 48.71% | 32.01% | 29.06% | 58.24% | 66.74% | 26.73% | 0.48 | 33.11 | 2.21 | 1.49 | -0.26 | 4310.00% | 2368.00% | 2722.00% | 4.10% | 0.94 | 68.09% | 0.87% | 21.50% | 4.05% | 22.08 | 24.07 | 7.07 | 11.02 |
| NOW | ServiceNow, Inc. | $108.01 | 112.98B | -12% | +71% | -84% | -56% | 64.91 | 8.75 | 8.55 | 36.81 | 296.44 | 13.73 | 77.53% | 13.74% | 13.16% | 15.49% | 17.62% | 7.53% | 0.25 | — | 0.95 | 0.85 | -0.17 | 2190.00% | 2088.00% | 3400.00% | 4.03% | 0.52 | 57.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.06% | 60.52 | 24.12 | 8.31 | 6.20 |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | $142.36 | 152.05B | +9% | -23% | — | -25% | 34.40 | 8.99 | 4.30 | 13.03 | — | 21.91 | 55.43% | 27.90% | 12.51% | 23.34% | 20.20% | 10.52% | 0.77 | 18.61 | 2.82 | 1.84 | 0.57 | -4421.00% | 1366.00% | 1486.00% | 6.73% | 1.53 | 47.91% | 2.00% | 68.70% | 6.61% | 15.74 | 15.17 | 4.39 | 6.62 |
| SAP | SAP SE | $201.53 | 234.83B | -9% | -52% | -94% | -60% | 27.75 | 4.37 | 5.52 | 15.30 | 22.02 | 14.52 | 73.48% | 27.97% | 19.91% | 15.61% | 16.08% | 9.74% | 0.18 | 7.47 | 1.17 | 0.99 | -0.01 | 12604.00% | 343.00% | 7945.00% | 4.06% | 0.50 | 18.06% | 1.35% | 37.40% | 2.91% | 19.58 | 24.39 | 5.48 | 6.63 |
| UBER | Uber Technologies, Inc. | $75.42 | 156.71B | +2% | +268% | -56% | +64% | 15.60 | 5.82 | 3.03 | 23.38 | 474.33 | 9.23 | 39.75% | 10.70% | 19.33% | 41.54% | 19.28% | 17.86% | 0.50 | 12.65 | 1.14 | 0.98 | 0.82 | 329.00% | 1828.00% | 4160.00% | 6.20% | 0.82 | 33.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.14% | 29.23 | 16.66 | 3.13 | 3.73 |
About Shopify Inc.
Shopify Inc., a commerce company, provides a commerce platform and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company's platform enables merchants to displays, manages, markets, and sells its products through various sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, pop-up shops, social media storefronts, native mobile apps, buy buttons, and marketplaces; and enables to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, new buyers and build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics and reporting, manage cash, payments and transactions, and access financing. It also sells custom themes and apps, and registration of domain names; and merchant solutions, which include accepting payments, shipping and fulfillment, and securing working capital. The company was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
- CEO
- Tobias Lutke
- Employees
- 8.1K
- Beta
- 2.82
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($208.32 ÷ $127.67) − 1 = +63.17% (DCF, example).