US · TLYS
Tilly's, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail
- Headquarters
- Irvine, CA 92618
- Website
- tillys.com
Price · as of 2025-01-31
$4.40
Market cap 43.32M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $37.73 | +757.5% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $0.80 | -81.82% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $0.15 | -96.66% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $0.00 | $30.48 | |||
| 2012 | $0.00 | $34.39 | |||
| 2013 | $8.66 | $29.16 | $171.68 | $0.00 | $22.36 |
| 2014 | $6.91 | $35.55 | $13.00 | $8.32 | $9.17 |
| 2015 | $9.98 | $34.51 | $2.06 | $8.18 | $6.30 |
| 2016 | $4.07 | $39.45 | $2.42 | $7.45 | $3.79 |
| 2017 | $5.61 | $30.30 | $4.40 | $8.64 | $4.48 |
| 2018 | $8.75 | $29.27 | $4.73 | $0.00 | $4.83 |
| 2019 | $8.62 | $20.99 | $5.00 | $0.00 | $10.02 |
| 2020 | $4.53 | $18.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8.72 |
| 2021 | $10.82 | $17.17 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.21 |
| 2022 | $9.14 | $254.81 | $125.41 | $0.00 | $109.60 |
| 2023 | $7.53 | $58.23 | $0.00 | $7.49 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $5.84 | $38.39 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $1.99 | $37.73 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.15 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Tilly's, Inc.'s (TLYS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $37.73
- Current price
- $4.40
- AI upside
- +757.5%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$0.80
-81.82% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$0.15
-96.66% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TLYS | Tilly's, Inc. | $4.40 | 43.32M | +757% | -82% | — | -97% | -1.29 | 0.59 | 0.10 | -5.58 | -3.95 | 0.59 | 26.29% | -8.75% | -8.12% | -37.62% | -18.83% | -11.98% | 1.92 | — | 1.32 | 0.51 | -4.66 | 3276.00% | -861.00% | 14282.00% | -84.08% | -0.42 | -18.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.67% | -4.15 | -4.12 | 0.36 | 1.14 |
| BIRD | Allbirds, Inc. | $2.84 | 23.33M | +633% | -7% | — | +6,655% | -0.56 | 0.51 | 0.27 | -0.48 | — | 0.51 | 42.72% | -51.41% | -49.18% | -65.03% | -82.24% | -36.00% | 0.53 | — | 2.94 | 1.81 | 0.16 | -4095.00% | -2531.00% | 6537.00% | -130.36% | -1.44 | -57.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.40 | -0.57 | 0.21 | -3.38 |
| CULP | Culp, Inc. | $3.20 | 40.52M | +593% | -44% | — | — | -2.95 | 0.98 | 0.26 | -5.31 | -7.80 | 0.99 | 12.51% | -4.23% | -8.96% | -28.56% | -13.07% | -14.96% | 0.31 | -39.03 | 1.78 | 0.62 | -0.95 | 3784.00% | -537.00% | 7258.00% | -36.54% | -0.38 | -29.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.12% | -7.44 | -3.26 | 0.31 | 2.49 |
| CVGI | Commercial Vehicle Group,… | $1.71 | 62.81M | +4,406% | -53% | — | +129% | -2.43 | 0.50 | 0.09 | 7.86 | — | 0.52 | 11.38% | -0.10% | -3.85% | -18.06% | -0.26% | -6.14% | 1.23 | -0.08 | 2.41 | 1.16 | 5.29 | -15646.00% | -1342.00% | -37972.00% | -76.61% | -0.27 | -17.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -273.79 | -3.99 | 0.29 | 2.10 |
| DXLG | Destination XL Group, Inc… | $0.50 | 27.14M | +7,439% | -13% | +455% | — | 19.89 | 0.43 | 0.13 | 10.41 | — | 0.43 | 46.51% | 0.80% | 0.65% | 2.11% | 0.75% | 0.83% | 1.31 | — | 1.45 | 0.55 | 9.13 | -8837.00% | -1050.00% | -9422.00% | 3.06% | 0.33 | 0.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.60% | 52.77 | 105.89 | 0.42 | 1.38 |
| FRSX | Foresight Autonomous Hold… | $2.65 | 11.58M | +83,260% | +141% | — | +12,655% | -0.17 | 0.31 | 4.27 | 0.30 | — | 0.31 | 60.55% | -2907.34% | -2554.59% | -103.81% | -1826.51% | -76.67% | 0.26 | -1408.44 | 4.50 | 4.31 | 0.44 | -5632.00% | -1227.00% | -2613.00% | -596.50% | -6.34 | -1601.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.29 | 0.34 | -8.55 | -21.95 |
| NHTC | Natural Health Trends Cor… | $3.20 | 36.84M | +1,254% | -38% | — | — | -39.62 | 1.49 | 0.88 | -20.10 | — | 1.49 | 73.54% | -4.55% | -2.22% | -3.13% | 33.67% | -1.88% | 0.13 | — | 2.50 | 2.11 | 8.04 | -25402.00% | -742.00% | 7713.00% | -17.35% | -0.44 | 112.94% | 26.35% | -1044.20% | 26.35% | -5.09 | -1.52 | 0.23 | 1.59 |
| PRTS | CarParts.com, Inc. | $0.71 | 46.84M | +4,634% | -37% | — | +312% | -1.57 | 0.75 | 0.11 | -3.43 | -0.42 | 0.75 | 33.41% | -6.90% | -6.90% | -41.01% | -42.75% | -17.33% | 0.49 | -34.88 | 1.54 | 0.47 | -0.25 | 37333.00% | -1286.00% | -12692.00% | -16.02% | 0.11 | -10.77% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.74% | -1.69 | -6.72 | 0.12 | 1.21 |
| QVCGA | QVC Group Inc. | $3.02 | 23.82M | +3,140% | +85% | — | — | -0.09 | -0.11 | 0.01 | 4.46 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 35.00% | -8.06% | -12.85% | 426.62% | -17.58% | -12.13% | -5.73 | -1.73 | 1.21 | 0.75 | 4.35 | 76962.00% | -804.00% | -4983.00% | 260.64% | 0.19 | 6.49% | 3.61% | -0.30% | 161.44% | -5.90 | 16.51 | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| VRA | Vera Bradley, Inc. | $2.64 | 73.8M | +4,327% | -68% | — | +873% | -0.98 | 0.34 | 0.16 | -37.35 | — | 0.34 | 50.23% | -11.39% | -16.72% | -28.34% | -16.88% | -18.09% | 0.50 | — | 2.84 | 0.79 | -18.40 | -96000.00% | -2099.00% | -15534.00% | -40.09% | -0.24 | -9.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35.65% | -2.84 | -4.92 | 0.32 | 2.47 |
About Tilly's, Inc.
Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses; and accessories merchandise comprises backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, small electronics and accessories, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others, as well as hardgoods consists of skateboards, longboards, bikes, roller-skates, and equipment for snowboarding and surfing. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. As of March 14, 2022, it operated 241 stores. The company also sells its merchandise through its e-commerce website, tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
- CEO
- Nate Smith
- Employees
- 1.41K
- Beta
- 1.13
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($0.80 ÷ $4.40) − 1 = -81.82% (DCF, example).