US · TPB
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
- Headquarters
- Louisville, KY 40229
- Website
- turningpointbrands.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$82.60
Market cap 2.61B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $91.26 | +10.48% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $55.76 | -32.49% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $10.01 | -87.88% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $41.87 | -49.31% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $7.08 | |||
| 2016 | $12.49 | $78.15 | $0.97 | $2.08 | $20.48 |
| 2017 | $20.48 | $58.28 | $72.83 | $0.43 | $47.95 |
| 2018 | $41.84 | $66.26 | $118.92 | $1.47 | $31.12 |
| 2019 | $22.90 | $48.71 | $84.93 | $0.00 | $13.69 |
| 2020 | $50.81 | $50.00 | $25.26 | $4.52 | $38.61 |
| 2021 | $28.58 | $85.14 | $19.65 | $8.88 | $48.70 |
| 2022 | $20.29 | $90.06 | $2.04 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $27.02 | $79.06 | $4.29 | $7.94 | $20.30 |
| 2024 | $61.05 | $91.26 | $1.52 | $10.01 | $41.87 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (TPB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $91.26
- Current price
- $82.60
- AI upside
- +10.48%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$55.76
-32.49% upside
Graham-Dodd
$10.01
-87.88% upside
Graham Formula
$41.87
-49.31% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc… | $82.60 | 2.61B | +10% | -32% | -88% | -49% | 22.54 | 5.76 | 3.00 | 13.80 | 348.56 | -81.99 | 55.89% | 24.04% | 11.04% | 28.34% | 15.75% | 9.04% | 1.39 | 6.20 | 4.42 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 647.00% | 1095.00% | 207.00% | 5.77% | 1.50 | 15.34% | 0.45% | 10.20% | 5.19% | 14.97 | 20.79 | 3.60 | 4.25 |
| ANDE | The Andersons, Inc. | $65.29 | 2.21B | -7% | -59% | -46% | -74% | 23.69 | 1.82 | 0.21 | 10.39 | — | 2.15 | 6.33% | 0.85% | 0.87% | 7.33% | 4.06% | 2.44% | 0.84 | 1.83 | 1.41 | 0.45 | 3.06 | -1566.00% | -221.00% | -13078.00% | -2.47% | 0.10 | -2.90% | 1.18% | 28.10% | 1.86% | 34.48 | -57.24 | 0.29 | 4.22 |
| CENT | Central Garden & Pet Comp… | $39.19 | 2.44B | +103% | -63% | -25% | -60% | 12.90 | 1.34 | 0.68 | 7.44 | 22.47 | 3.64 | 31.09% | 8.47% | 5.20% | 10.45% | 9.19% | 4.57% | 0.91 | 4.59 | 3.67 | 2.24 | 1.55 | 5741.00% | -223.00% | -1725.00% | 13.76% | 0.62 | 13.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.49% | 10.08 | 9.18 | 0.85 | 2.59 |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte Produce I… | $42.93 | 2.06B | -60% | -60% | -41% | -60% | 22.69 | 1.02 | 0.48 | 11.64 | — | 1.29 | 9.23% | 4.31% | 2.10% | 4.53% | 5.52% | 2.95% | 0.24 | 16.64 | 2.16 | 0.94 | 2.05 | -3649.00% | 108.00% | 4052.00% | 8.93% | 0.47 | 7.62% | 2.79% | 63.30% | 4.24% | 13.40 | 13.59 | 0.58 | 3.72 |
| JJSF | J&J Snack Foods Corp. | $87.06 | 1.66B | -18% | -59% | -88% | -66% | 26.77 | 1.82 | 1.11 | 11.25 | — | 2.88 | 29.68% | 5.33% | 4.14% | 6.82% | 6.19% | 4.78% | 0.17 | 56.48 | 2.72 | 1.65 | 0.36 | -2449.00% | 54.00% | -1733.00% | 4.68% | 0.94 | 7.95% | 3.46% | 92.60% | 5.59% | 21.51 | 22.05 | 1.15 | 5.00 |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods Limited | $10.97 | 1.61B | +153% | -30% | — | -42% | 10.04 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 13.11 | — | -0.66 | 27.14% | 10.73% | 4.51% | 5.30% | 6.88% | 2.14% | 0.92 | — | 1.07 | 0.63 | 7.72 | -3500.00% | -217.00% | -2898.00% | 18.38% | 0.31 | 5.67% | 6.65% | 66.80% | 21.41% | 10.26 | 13.24 | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| STRA | Strategic Education, Inc. | $82.28 | 1.93B | +74% | -52% | -90% | -17% | 14.79 | 1.14 | 1.48 | 12.83 | 92.12 | 12.10 | 48.97% | 15.47% | 9.98% | 7.65% | 8.72% | 6.19% | 0.07 | — | 1.27 | 1.04 | -0.22 | 1606.00% | 396.00% | 1957.00% | 8.22% | 0.91 | 9.59% | 3.07% | 45.40% | 11.54% | 9.35 | 11.92 | 1.45 | 4.02 |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries, … | $42.23 | 1.77B | +1% | -45% | -66% | -70% | 31.33 | 3.33 | 4.28 | 31.09 | 194.59 | 3.33 | 34.48% | 13.78% | 13.66% | 11.04% | 8.98% | 17.43% | 0.01 | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1610.00% | 129.00% | -2030.00% | 3.08% | 1.33 | 11.77% | 0.83% | 26.10% | 0.83% | 31.09 | 32.57 | 4.28 | — |
| UTI | Universal Technical Insti… | $36.20 | 1.99B | +27% | +145% | -69% | -31% | 21.97 | 4.22 | 1.66 | 10.19 | 43.37 | 4.90 | 49.68% | 9.99% | 7.54% | 21.42% | 15.02% | 8.02% | 0.85 | 14.82 | 1.07 | 0.97 | 1.03 | 5067.00% | 1405.00% | -1014.00% | 4.00% | 0.42 | 13.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.90 | 27.00 | 1.79 | 3.21 |
| UVV | Universal Corporation | $53.73 | 1.34B | +485% | -57% | -61% | +6% | 15.21 | 0.99 | 0.49 | 7.61 | — | 1.22 | 18.62% | 8.28% | 3.22% | 6.56% | 7.55% | 3.21% | 0.76 | 2.80 | 2.87 | 1.19 | 2.80 | -2092.00% | 723.00% | -28797.00% | 18.29% | 0.44 | 11.13% | 5.51% | 83.80% | 16.89% | 9.38 | 8.66 | 0.78 | 2.96 |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | $67.76 | 1.68B | +256% | -53% | -24% | -39% | 19.53 | 1.49 | 0.45 | 7.77 | 327.82 | 1.58 | 25.13% | 2.75% | 2.29% | 7.80% | 8.28% | 5.30% | 0.12 | — | 2.46 | 1.44 | -0.07 | 596.00% | 202.00% | -7294.00% | 1.22% | 0.55 | 2.25% | 1.70% | 33.30% | 2.43% | 14.48 | 73.04 | 0.40 | 5.77 |
About Turning Point Brands, Inc.
Turning Point Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes branded consumer products. The company operates through three segments: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker's Products, and NewGen Products. The Zig-Zag Products segment markets and distributes rolling papers, tubes, finished cigars, make-your-own cigar wraps, and related products under the Zig-Zag brand. The Stoker's Products segment manufactures and markets moist snuff tobacco and loose-leaf chewing tobacco products under the Stoker's, Beech-Nut, Durango, Trophy, and Wind River brands. The NewGen Products segment markets and distributes cannabidiol isolate, liquid vapor products, and other products without tobacco and/or nicotine to individual consumers through VaporFi B2C online platform, as well as non-traditional retail through VaporBeast. It sells its products to wholesale distributors and retail merchants in the independent and chain convenience stores, tobacco outlets, food stores, mass merchandising, and drug stores. The company was formerly known as North Atlantic Holding Company, Inc. and changed its name to Turning Point Brands, Inc. in November 2015. Turning Point Brands, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
- CEO
- Graham A. Purdy
- Employees
- 310
- Beta
- 0.88
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($55.76 ÷ $82.60) − 1 = -32.49% (DCF, example).