US · XPEL
XPEL, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
- Headquarters
- San Antonio, TX 78216
- Website
- xpel.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$47.80
Market cap 1.18B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $52.01 | +8.81% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $54.21 | +13.41% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $17.43 | -63.54% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $38.45 | -19.57% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $0.23 | $1.66 | |||
| 2012 | $0.34 | $3.67 | |||
| 2013 | $0.42 | $3.74 | |||
| 2014 | $0.87 | $8.51 | |||
| 2015 | $0.56 | $2.80 | |||
| 2016 | $0.76 | $2.74 | |||
| 2017 | $0.64 | $1.63 | |||
| 2018 | $2.25 | $21.34 | |||
| 2019 | $11.80 | $29.70 | $336.42 | $3.71 | $12.93 |
| 2020 | $63.04 | $51.86 | $248.31 | $5.08 | $19.57 |
| 2021 | $57.17 | $58.85 | $475.99 | $7.85 | $78.40 |
| 2022 | $64.37 | $67.86 | $289.89 | $11.04 | $48.02 |
| 2023 | $50.89 | $54.21 | $410.11 | $14.72 | $56.50 |
| 2024 | $30.80 | $45.09 | $94.40 | $14.79 | $22.83 |
| 2025 | $42.98 | $52.01 | $72.15 | $17.43 | $38.45 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates XPEL, Inc.'s (XPEL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $52.01
- Current price
- $47.80
- AI upside
- +8.81%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$54.21
+13.41% upside
Graham-Dodd
$17.43
-63.54% upside
Graham Formula
$38.45
-19.57% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| XPEL | XPEL, Inc. | $47.80 | 1.18B | +9% | +13% | -64% | -20% | 23.20 | 4.17 | 2.50 | 15.00 | 191.44 | 6.74 | 42.21% | 13.16% | 10.76% | 20.06% | 20.95% | 15.33% | 0.08 | 754.81 | 3.49 | 1.52 | -0.36 | 1212.00% | 1327.00% | 5307.00% | 5.29% | 1.01 | 26.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.52% | 18.53 | 18.44 | 2.44 | 10.99 |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies, Inc. | $13.26 | 796.66M | +163% | +186,833% | — | — | -5.69 | 62.57 | 45.73 | -5.91 | — | 66.73 | -3.65% | -705.77% | -804.40% | -258.38% | 1680.46% | -88.90% | 7.75 | — | 4.28 | 3.49 | -0.22 | -1053.00% | 9944.00% | 684.00% | -14.48% | -3.21 | 1576.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.33 | -6.75 | 44.66 | -4.38 |
| AMWD | American Woodmark Corpora… | $50.10 | 729.92M | +88% | -55% | -16% | -86% | 8.74 | 0.95 | 0.51 | 6.65 | — | 5.86 | 17.93% | 8.20% | 5.82% | 10.89% | 8.14% | 6.29% | 0.56 | 13.56 | 1.99 | 0.89 | 2.31 | -909.00% | -747.00% | -5298.00% | 7.56% | 0.59 | 4.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.18% | 9.49 | 20.26 | 0.78 | 2.83 |
| AXL | American Axle & Manufactu… | $8.62 | 1.02B | +234% | -78% | -44% | -69% | 15.69 | 0.98 | 0.09 | 3.79 | — | -8.33 | 12.10% | 3.94% | 0.57% | 5.99% | 4.63% | 0.67% | 4.86 | 1.30 | 1.63 | 1.07 | 3.03 | -20000.00% | 75.00% | 139.00% | 37.21% | 0.39 | 7.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 51.56% | 11.32 | 13.38 | 0.45 | 1.55 |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings, Inc. | $1.68 | 599.33M | +77% | -62% | — | — | -8.06 | -1.88 | 0.63 | -25.36 | — | -1.63 | 19.02% | -6.45% | -7.78% | 24.71% | -3074.43% | -10.98% | -1.54 | — | 0.59 | 0.39 | -10.42 | -5160.00% | 662.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -15.53 | — | 1.00 | -1.79 |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding Corp. | $16.84 | 703.93M | +1,371% | -58% | — | — | -1.34 | 1.09 | 0.50 | -1.62 | — | 1.25 | 30.21% | -35.64% | -37.11% | -58.22% | -39.70% | -27.91% | 0.04 | -9.74 | 2.86 | 0.96 | 0.07 | -825000.00% | 527.00% | -6930.00% | 3.69% | 0.23 | 2.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 93.45% | -1.34 | 25.94 | 0.48 | 0.91 |
| LGIH | LGI Homes, Inc. | $51.90 | 1.2B | +132% | -52% | +103% | — | 16.01 | 0.55 | 0.68 | 26.82 | — | 0.56 | 20.73% | 4.68% | 4.25% | 3.51% | 1.63% | 1.89% | 0.79 | — | 223.39 | 5.79 | 15.52 | -6241.00% | -2257.00% | -329.00% | -12.13% | -8.65 | -3.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34.56 | -19.57 | 1.62 | 2.75 |
| SES | SES AI Corporation | $1.64 | 526.75M | — | -71% | — | — | -1.57 | 0.56 | 76.99 | 0.94 | -1.90 | 0.57 | 63.14% | -5355.29% | -4911.03% | -31.44% | -328.31% | -27.20% | 0.04 | — | 12.14 | 11.55 | 1.17 | 8235.00% | — | 848.00% | -49.85% | -2.90 | -235.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.47% | 0.87 | 1.21 | -46.54 | 0.40 |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products, … | $39.68 | 872.93M | +43% | +21% | -53% | +168% | 21.19 | 1.28 | 0.49 | 8.00 | 46.09 | 4.06 | 30.20% | 10.28% | 4.41% | 6.36% | 10.54% | 2.17% | 1.00 | 5.60 | 2.13 | 0.62 | 3.29 | 4596.00% | 2236.00% | -4272.00% | 2.14% | 0.12 | 1.48% | 3.11% | 66.00% | 3.80% | 8.07 | 79.39 | 0.83 | 2.36 |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | $32.77 | 1B | +49% | -61% | -30% | -81% | 53.86 | 1.37 | 0.66 | 10.87 | — | 1.76 | 23.53% | 5.22% | 1.22% | 2.73% | 4.97% | 1.38% | 0.41 | 5.65 | 1.92 | 1.09 | 1.30 | -7087.00% | 264.00% | 6822.00% | 6.21% | 0.29 | 7.63% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.02% | 14.34 | 18.31 | 0.75 | 3.16 |
About XPEL, Inc.
XPEL, Inc. manufactures, sells, distributes, and installs after-market automotive products. The company offers automotive surface and paint protection films, headlight protection, and automotive and architectural window films, as well as proprietary software. It also provides merchandise and apparel; ceramic coatings; and tools and accessories, which includes squeegees and microfiber towels, application fluids, plotter cutters, knives, and other products. In addition, the company offers paint protection kits, car wash products, after-care products, and installation tools through its website. It sells its products to independent installers and new car dealerships, third-party distributors, and company-owned installation centers, as well as through franchisees and online sales channels. The company serves in the United States, China, Canada, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East/Africa, and internationally. XPEL, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
- CEO
- Ryan L. Pape
- Employees
- 1.14K
- Beta
- 1.26
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($54.21 ÷ $47.80) − 1 = +13.41% (DCF, example).