US · LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- The Woodlands, TX 77380
- Website
- lgihomes.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$48.53
Market cap 1.2B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $120.62 | +148.55% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $24.91 | -48.67% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $105.53 | +117.44% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $1.57 | $73.87 | |||
| 2013 | $16.46 | $114.73 | $56,275.45 | $6.13 | $125.59 |
| 2014 | $14.59 | $54.34 | $39,581.81 | $15.07 | $187.89 |
| 2015 | $22.84 | $92.90 | $25,928.60 | $25.05 | $184.75 |
| 2016 | $32.25 | $57.83 | $2,584.91 | $34.54 | $143.20 |
| 2017 | $62.85 | $140.30 | $1,972.83 | $48.34 | $293.46 |
| 2018 | $58.03 | $59.20 | $370.18 | $57.08 | $167.72 |
| 2019 | $85.40 | $121.42 | $290.51 | $74.43 | $226.15 |
| 2020 | $138.59 | $493.34 | $372.45 | $109.27 | $459.76 |
| 2021 | $118.90 | $251.97 | $914.34 | $143.54 | $622.95 |
| 2022 | $99.77 | $1,146.78 | $8.60 | $138.94 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $111.94 | $201.43 | $4.63 | $120.82 | $88.36 |
| 2024 | $75.09 | $101.56 | $7.02 | $127.73 | $15.14 |
| 2025 | $50.10 | $120.62 | $8.21 | $105.53 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates LGI Homes, Inc.'s (LGIH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $120.62
- Current price
- $48.53
- AI upside
- +148.55%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$24.91
-48.67% upside
Graham-Dodd
$105.53
+117.44% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LGIH | LGI Homes, Inc. | $48.53 | 1.2B | +149% | -49% | +117% | — | 16.01 | 0.55 | 0.68 | 26.82 | — | 0.56 | 20.73% | 4.68% | 4.25% | 3.51% | 1.63% | 1.89% | 0.79 | — | 223.39 | 5.79 | 15.52 | -6241.00% | -2257.00% | -329.00% | -12.13% | -8.65 | -3.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34.56 | -19.57 | 1.62 | 2.75 |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies, Inc. | $13.26 | 796.66M | +163% | +186,833% | — | — | -5.69 | 62.57 | 45.73 | -5.91 | — | 66.73 | -3.65% | -705.77% | -804.40% | -258.38% | 1680.46% | -88.90% | 7.75 | — | 4.28 | 3.49 | -0.22 | -1053.00% | 9944.00% | 684.00% | -14.48% | -3.21 | 1576.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.33 | -6.75 | 44.66 | -4.38 |
| AMWD | American Woodmark Corpora… | $50.10 | 729.92M | +88% | -55% | -16% | -86% | 8.74 | 0.95 | 0.51 | 6.65 | — | 5.86 | 17.93% | 8.20% | 5.82% | 10.89% | 8.14% | 6.29% | 0.56 | 13.56 | 1.99 | 0.89 | 2.31 | -909.00% | -747.00% | -5298.00% | 7.56% | 0.59 | 4.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.18% | 9.49 | 20.26 | 0.78 | 2.83 |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA, Inc. | $25.58 | 754.82M | +289% | -65% | +93% | -41% | 14.69 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 25.19 | — | 0.54 | 14.23% | 1.54% | 1.92% | 3.67% | 1.76% | 1.75% | 0.85 | — | 11.38 | 1.43 | 14.03 | -6645.00% | 177.00% | -10218.00% | 0.52% | 0.16 | 0.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 41.30 | 434.40 | 0.64 | 2.45 |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings, Inc. | $1.68 | 599.33M | +77% | -62% | — | — | -8.06 | -1.88 | 0.63 | -25.36 | — | -1.63 | 19.02% | -6.45% | -7.78% | 24.71% | -3074.43% | -10.98% | -1.54 | — | 0.59 | 0.39 | -10.42 | -5160.00% | 662.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -15.53 | — | 1.00 | -1.79 |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding Corp. | $16.84 | 703.93M | +1,371% | -58% | — | — | -1.34 | 1.09 | 0.50 | -1.62 | — | 1.25 | 30.21% | -35.64% | -37.11% | -58.22% | -39.70% | -27.91% | 0.04 | -9.74 | 2.86 | 0.96 | 0.07 | -825000.00% | 527.00% | -6930.00% | 3.69% | 0.23 | 2.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 93.45% | -1.34 | 25.94 | 0.48 | 0.91 |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc… | $73.66 | 3.21B | +25% | -55% | +5% | -21% | 10.12 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 7.56 | — | 1.71 | 30.54% | 19.51% | 14.93% | 17.98% | 16.59% | 13.09% | 0.18 | — | 22.60 | 2.06 | 0.41 | -1633.00% | -2.00% | 86740.00% | 6.57% | 2.26 | 10.78% | 0.09% | 0.90% | 3.45% | 8.19 | 16.08 | 1.60 | 6.35 |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises, In… | $125.62 | 647.36M | -37% | -62% | +22% | -42% | 12.19 | 0.94 | 0.26 | 10.71 | — | 0.94 | 14.12% | 4.29% | 2.14% | 7.83% | 6.09% | 2.44% | 1.15 | 3.60 | 2904.11 | 1404.66 | 4.86 | -7499.00% | -88.00% | 277462.00% | 21.35% | 848.10 | 10.68% | 1.37% | 16.70% | 24.57% | 11.35 | 8.73 | 0.49 | 1.91 |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corporatio… | $21.92 | 523.2M | +1,144% | -29% | +51% | -34% | 9.83 | 1.23 | 3.29 | 7.71 | 68.84 | 1.23 | 51.10% | 34.53% | 33.47% | 13.25% | 10.79% | 11.84% | 0.00 | 92.32 | 3.80 | 2.51 | 0.00 | 1429.00% | -262.00% | -22603.00% | 4.42% | 1.10 | 5.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 9.53 | 22.64 | 3.29 | 10.82 |
| XPEL | XPEL, Inc. | $42.62 | 1.18B | +22% | +27% | -59% | -10% | 23.20 | 4.17 | 2.50 | 15.00 | 191.44 | 6.74 | 42.21% | 13.16% | 10.76% | 20.06% | 20.95% | 15.33% | 0.08 | 754.81 | 3.49 | 1.52 | -0.36 | 1212.00% | 1327.00% | 5307.00% | 5.29% | 1.01 | 26.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.52% | 18.53 | 18.44 | 2.44 | 10.99 |
About LGI Homes, Inc.
LGI Homes, Inc. designs, constructs, and sells homes. It offers entry-level homes, such as attached and detached homes, and active adult homes under the LGI Homes brand name; and luxury series homes under the Terrata Homes brand name. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which include building and selling homes to companies looking to acquire single-family rental properties. As of December 31, 2021, it owned 101 communities. The company serves customers in Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, Washington, Tennessee, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Alabama, California, Oregon, Nevada, West Virginia, Virginia, and Pennsylvania. LGI Homes, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
- CEO
- Eric Thomas Lipar
- Employees
- 1K
- Beta
- 1.90
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($24.91 ÷ $48.53) − 1 = -48.67% (DCF, example).