US · AGRO
Adecoagro S.A.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products
- Headquarters
- Luxembourg City 2453
- Website
- adecoagro.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$13.90
Market cap 4.44B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $27.53 | +98.06% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.26 | -69.35% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.51 | -81.97% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $4.39 | -68.42% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $11.72 | $40.02 | $1.45 | $0.80 | $0.00 |
| 2011 | $8.13 | $34.37 | $41.38 | $2.27 | $5.49 |
| 2012 | $7.06 | $27.72 | $0.38 | $1.72 | $0.03 |
| 2013 | $7.12 | $28.07 | $0.22 | $1.15 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $8.66 | $29.18 | $0.17 | $1.25 | $0.08 |
| 2015 | $11.64 | $30.64 | $0.28 | $1.00 | $0.05 |
| 2016 | $10.60 | $32.92 | $5.87 | $1.09 | $0.12 |
| 2017 | $7.39 | $29.54 | $2.60 | $1.12 | $0.25 |
| 2018 | $5.75 | $27.68 | $0.53 | $1.57 | $0.26 |
| 2019 | $6.05 | $26.46 | $0.19 | $1.65 | $0.01 |
| 2020 | $8.02 | $27.47 | $0.15 | $1.55 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $10.84 | $35.42 | $5.53 | $2.86 | $9.96 |
| 2022 | $7.17 | $26.45 | $6.60 | $2.04 | $5.32 |
| 2023 | $9.62 | $26.67 | $2.25 | $3.40 | $1.98 |
| 2024 | $10.64 | $27.53 | $1.47 | $2.51 | $4.39 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Adecoagro S.A.'s (AGRO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $27.53
- Current price
- $13.90
- AI upside
- +98.06%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.26
-69.35% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.51
-81.97% upside
Graham Formula
$4.39
-68.42% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AGRO | Adecoagro S.A. | $13.90 | 4.44B | +98% | -69% | -82% | -68% | 59.28 | 3.99 | 3.59 | 15.43 | — | 4.10 | 28.63% | 12.00% | 6.08% | 7.09% | 8.19% | 2.93% | 0.82 | 2.47 | 2.54 | 0.93 | 2.20 | -5714.00% | 1694.00% | -6605.00% | 1.19% | 0.82 | 2.92% | 0.64% | 38.00% | 2.48% | 34.95 | 98.00 | 4.19 | 3.07 |
| BRBR | BellRing Brands, Inc. | $18.39 | 2.18B | +189% | +4% | -76% | +117% | 18.30 | -8.71 | 1.71 | 13.25 | — | -6.13 | 33.26% | 15.43% | 9.33% | -65.54% | 47.18% | 24.32% | -2.45 | 5.23 | 2.35 | 1.11 | 2.73 | -968.00% | 1605.00% | 2937.00% | 6.47% | 0.92 | 45.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.01% | 13.93 | 19.46 | 2.15 | 6.31 |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | $87.11 | 4.15B | +172% | +415% | -14% | +2,422% | 4.11 | 1.96 | 1.18 | 2.13 | 1.21 | 2.01 | 43.43% | 36.05% | 28.63% | 55.96% | 108.35% | 46.03% | 0.00 | 2510.68 | 6.38 | 5.40 | -0.29 | 33849.00% | 8319.00% | 25084.00% | 21.30% | 3.98 | 99.06% | 6.59% | 27.10% | 12.91% | 2.35 | 3.39 | 0.85 | 10.41 |
| CHA | Chagee Holdings Limited A… | $10.93 | 2.03B | — | — | +6% | +2,859% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.80% | 23.27% | 20.28% | 164.21% | -134.13% | 52.72% | 0.21 | — | 2.37 | 2.20 | -1.43 | 21445.00% | 16735.00% | 3653.00% | — | 1.23 | -145.95% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| COTY | Coty Inc. | $2.51 | 2.21B | +944% | -29% | — | — | -10.88 | 1.03 | 0.65 | 8.21 | — | -1.06 | 64.84% | 4.09% | -6.24% | -9.15% | 3.12% | -2.92% | 1.15 | 1.06 | 0.77 | 0.36 | 4.20 | -60985.00% | -368.00% | -2485.00% | 7.28% | 0.19 | 3.59% | 0.35% | -3.80% | 0.35% | 32.35 | 28.10 | 1.32 | 0.17 |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp. | $36.35 | 3.4B | +22% | -46% | — | -51% | 22.18 | 9.33 | 3.45 | 15.70 | 419.23 | 9.65 | 36.95% | 19.60% | 15.55% | 37.23% | 59.02% | 25.89% | 0.16 | — | 2.90 | 2.12 | -0.47 | 529.00% | 81.00% | 168.00% | 4.11% | 1.47 | 55.92% | 7.34% | 162.80% | 7.34% | 17.08 | 23.60 | 3.35 | 15.15 |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | $1,053.21 | 4.59B | +8% | -46% | -8% | -32% | 15.55 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 6.65 | — | 1.50 | 27.64% | 5.13% | 5.95% | 6.46% | 3.58% | 3.64% | 0.36 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.39 | 1.98 | -5932.00% | 252.00% | -1741.00% | 5.89% | 0.24 | 5.65% | 0.69% | 10.70% | 0.77% | 19.55 | 18.39 | 1.00 | 2.99 |
| IPAR | Inter Parfums, Inc. | $100.78 | 3.23B | +4% | +85% | -96% | -9% | 20.63 | 5.63 | 2.89 | 13.64 | 264.81 | 9.08 | 63.85% | 18.92% | 11.32% | 28.17% | 29.52% | 14.63% | 0.26 | 35.12 | 2.75 | 1.55 | 0.22 | 779.00% | 1022.00% | 24901.00% | 4.36% | 0.56 | 25.92% | 2.29% | 47.20% | 3.17% | 15.12 | 22.71 | 2.86 | 8.30 |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | $32.34 | 4.77B | +17% | +247% | -59% | -4% | 17.00 | 4.03 | 2.81 | 10.50 | — | 12.45 | 28.33% | 25.33% | 16.55% | 26.23% | 19.16% | 13.84% | 0.71 | 40.44 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.34 | -156.00% | 864.00% | 6360.00% | 5.50% | 0.77 | 16.53% | 0.01% | 0.20% | 4.50% | 12.73 | 20.86 | 3.22 | 4.40 |
| PSMT | PriceSmart, Inc. | $154.62 | 4.76B | -54% | -36% | -71% | -53% | 24.11 | 2.80 | 0.66 | 11.42 | 440.70 | 2.90 | 17.35% | 4.48% | 2.75% | 12.23% | 14.10% | 6.75% | 0.26 | 20.50 | 1.34 | 0.52 | 0.25 | 547.00% | 725.00% | 16425.00% | 2.95% | 0.36 | 8.60% | 1.11% | 26.70% | 2.65% | 14.81 | 33.89 | 0.66 | 5.46 |
About Adecoagro S.A.
Adecoagro S.A. operates as an agro-industrial company in South America. It engages in farming crops and other agricultural products, dairy operations, and land transformation activities, as well as sugar, ethanol, and energy production activities. The company is involved in the planting, harvesting, and sale of grains and oilseeds, as well as wheat, corn, soybeans, peanuts, cotton, sunflowers, and others; provision of grain warehousing/conditioning, handling, and drying services to third parties; and purchase and sale of crops produced by third parties. It also plants, harvests, processes, and markets rice; and produces and sells raw milk, UHT, cheese, powder milk, and others. In addition, the company engages in the cultivating, processing, and transforming of sugarcane into ethanol and sugar; and the sale of electricity cogenerated at its sugar and ethanol mills to the grid. Further, it is involved in the identification and acquisition of underdeveloped and undermanaged farmland, and the realization of value through the strategic disposition of assets. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned a total of 219,850 hectares of land, including 18 farms in Argentina, 8 farms in Brazil, and 1 farm in Uruguay, as well as a total of 241 megawatts of installed cogeneration capacity. Adecoagro S.A. was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
- CEO
- Mariano Bosch
- Employees
- 8.9K
- Beta
- 0.41
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.26 ÷ $13.90) − 1 = -69.35% (DCF, example).