Price · as of 2024-12-31
$96.00
Market cap 1.7B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $160.65 | +67.34% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $0.65 | -99.32% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $3.12 | -96.75% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $6.25 | $113.76 | $89.85 | $6.49 | $46.55 |
| 2011 | $5.61 | $34.11 | $14.38 | $6.77 | $10.67 |
| 2012 | $2.92 | $31.00 | $0.57 | $4.95 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $2.26 | $48.28 | $0.00 | $2.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $2.62 | $32.16 | $0.00 | $4.12 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $2.70 | $33.91 | $0.00 | $3.70 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $6.70 | $59.84 | $0.33 | $5.11 | $2.26 |
| 2017 | $8.13 | $39.86 | $0.60 | $6.08 | $7.70 |
| 2018 | $4.19 | $39.28 | $0.00 | $6.12 | $2.91 |
| 2019 | $3.30 | $28.93 | $0.00 | $4.43 | $0.64 |
| 2020 | $13.87 | $49.12 | $0.60 | $5.20 | $1.78 |
| 2021 | $6.84 | $66.93 | $1.41 | $6.88 | $17.69 |
| 2022 | $3.76 | $23.59 | $0.59 | $7.14 | $4.06 |
| 2023 | $4.58 | $51.44 | $0.00 | $2.69 | $15.12 |
| 2024 | $1.62 | $160.65 | $0.00 | $3.12 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates AXT, Inc.'s (AXTI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $160.65
- Current price
- $96.00
- AI upside
- +67.34%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$0.65
-99.32% upside
Graham-Dodd
$3.12
-96.75% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AXTI | AXT, Inc. | $96.00 | 1.7B | +67% | -99% | -97% | — | -5.93 | 0.36 | 0.70 | -286.55 | — | 0.37 | 23.99% | -14.90% | -11.70% | -5.94% | -6.74% | -3.38% | 0.26 | -11.05 | 2.13 | 0.65 | -79.72 | -3571.00% | 3109.00% | 15287.00% | -25.58% | -0.16 | -8.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.54 | -5.42 | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| BKKT | Bakkt Holdings, Inc. | $9.56 | 152.33M | +286% | +15,376,487% | — | — | -0.80 | 2.44 | 0.02 | -0.81 | — | -2.24 | 2.49% | -2.66% | -1.34% | -251.77% | -789.16% | -16.74% | 0.69 | — | 1.33 | 0.46 | 0.19 | -6207.00% | 34739.00% | -6536.00% | -29.32% | -0.15 | -206.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.72 | -2.77 | 0.02 | 8.12 |
| BZAI | Blaize Holdings, Inc. | $1.18 | 144.01M | +3,919% | +92% | — | +2,394% | -5.48 | 13.84 | 215.83 | -7.21 | — | 13.84 | 62.74% | -3065.32% | -3937.90% | -220.96% | -120.08% | -101.22% | 0.06 | — | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -40682.00% | -5970.00% | 223088.00% | -16.23% | -3.82 | -139.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.88% | -7.07 | -6.19 | 216.79 | 4.13 |
| CMRC | Commerce.com, Inc. | $2.78 | 225.91M | +923% | -59% | — | — | -27.07 | 5.75 | 0.66 | 28.09 | — | -9.49 | 78.75% | -4.74% | -5.65% | -23.00% | -23.24% | -2.58% | 4.21 | -1.62 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 13.58 | -3143.00% | 283.00% | -1656.00% | 8.30% | 0.25 | 26.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.61% | -15.47 | 13.34 | 0.73 | -1.05 |
| GRRR | Gorilla Technology Group … | $11.82 | 159.26M | +368% | +868% | — | — | -4.54 | 4.11 | 4.02 | -4.45 | — | 4.28 | 49.96% | -89.65% | -86.77% | -103.89% | -118.47% | -49.11% | 0.30 | -91.39 | 1.68 | 1.30 | -0.01 | -47378.00% | 1542.00% | 13486.00% | -10.36% | -0.39 | -56.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.23% | -4.26 | -9.16 | 3.82 | 0.33 |
| GSIT | GSI Technology, Inc. | $8.16 | 238.11M | +269% | -84% | — | — | -8.07 | 3.04 | 4.18 | -5.14 | — | 4.54 | 49.42% | -52.81% | -51.85% | -33.15% | -45.62% | -24.80% | 0.34 | — | 3.32 | 2.45 | 0.24 | -4750.00% | -573.00% | -2765.00% | -15.17% | -1.83 | -54.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -7.57 | -6.30 | 4.00 | 2.38 |
| LAW | CS Disco, Inc. | $3.25 | 203.1M | +655% | -39% | — | — | -4.90 | 1.70 | 1.39 | -2.36 | — | 1.78 | 74.86% | -30.68% | -28.29% | -32.20% | -233.62% | -25.07% | 0.00 | — | 3.78 | 3.47 | 0.45 | -2258.00% | 829.00% | 5602.00% | -8.28% | -0.37 | -87.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | -2.13 | -5.71 | 0.65 | 0.87 |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies, I… | $10.43 | 455.02M | +5,981% | +2,376% | — | — | -15.58 | 14.81 | 6.23 | -49.26 | -21.81 | -16.44 | 27.23% | -31.78% | -39.98% | -64.89% | -37.51% | -22.95% | 0.97 | -10.57 | 1.66 | 0.84 | -2.10 | 7143.00% | 1726.00% | 47732.00% | -4.14% | -0.49 | -30.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -20.47 | -25.23 | 6.51 | -1.71 |
| NVEC | NVE Corporation | $68.84 | 332.99M | +27% | -57% | — | — | 22.20 | 5.37 | 12.93 | 19.22 | — | 5.37 | 83.63% | 61.81% | 58.22% | 23.57% | 31.36% | 22.99% | 0.01 | — | 28.40 | 21.66 | -0.44 | -1215.00% | -1318.00% | -2840.00% | 3.90% | 12.24 | 30.65% | 5.78% | 128.40% | 5.78% | 19.61 | 24.03 | 12.12 | 102.73 |
| RPAY | Repay Holdings Corporatio… | $2.78 | 253.92M | +909% | +15% | — | — | -51.02 | 0.69 | 1.69 | 8.41 | — | -1.53 | 77.12% | -2.48% | -3.24% | -1.31% | -0.66% | -0.67% | 0.67 | -0.99 | 2.69 | 2.18 | 3.17 | -9106.00% | 553.00% | 16810.00% | 19.94% | 1.47 | 9.48% | 0.45% | -22.70% | 9.45% | -108.98 | 8.05 | 2.71 | 0.41 |
| VLN | Valens Semiconductor Ltd. | $1.48 | 151.5M | +14,211% | -39% | — | — | -4.83 | 1.45 | 2.16 | -2.54 | — | 1.54 | 62.42% | -48.46% | -44.72% | -25.50% | -155.42% | -20.59% | 0.13 | — | 5.17 | 4.52 | 0.55 | -882.00% | 2206.00% | 152594.00% | -9.03% | -0.55 | -62.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.72% | -2.11 | -5.25 | 1.02 | 3.62 |
About AXT, Inc.
AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. It produces semiconductor substrates using its proprietary vertical gradient freeze technology. The company offers indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, terrestrial solar cells, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also provides semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LED, screen displays, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers, as well as laser machining, cutting, and drilling. In addition, the company offers germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it provides 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. AXT, Inc. sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
- CEO
- Morris S. Young
- Employees
- 1.53K
- Beta
- 1.93
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($0.65 ÷ $96.00) − 1 = -99.32% (DCF, example).