US · CAKE
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Calabasas, CA 91301
- Website
- thecheesecakefactory.com
Price · as of 2025-12-30
$60.20
Market cap 3.23B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $87.87 | +45.96% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $37.10 | -38.37% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $8.49 | -85.9% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $40.50 | -32.72% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $18.12 | $23.55 | |||
| 2012 | $16.55 | $20.36 | |||
| 2013 | $14.19 | $25.76 | |||
| 2014 | $12.26 | $26.77 | |||
| 2015 | $12.93 | $33.55 | |||
| 2016 | $13.86 | $47.00 | |||
| 2017 | $13.90 | $25.34 | |||
| 2018 | $4.92 | $24.49 | |||
| 2019 | $4.98 | $41.28 | |||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | |||||
| 2022 | |||||
| 2023 | |||||
| 2024 | $48.16 | $410.76 | $9.00 | $165.38 | |
| 2025 | $62.95 | $87.87 | $334.89 | $8.49 | $40.50 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (CAKE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $87.87
- Current price
- $60.20
- AI upside
- +45.96%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$37.10
-38.37% upside
Graham-Dodd
$8.49
-85.9% upside
Graham Formula
$40.50
-32.72% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory In… | $60.20 | 3.23B | +46% | -38% | -86% | -33% | 19.77 | 6.72 | 0.78 | 21.89 | — | 15.90 | 78.33% | 4.99% | 3.96% | 33.74% | 5.74% | 4.71% | 7.93 | 17.93 | 0.59 | 0.47 | 11.50 | -406.00% | 475.00% | 4364.00% | 5.28% | 0.39 | 5.21% | 1.78% | 35.20% | 7.02% | 33.00 | 39.86 | 1.65 | 2.45 |
| DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings In… | $11.00 | 1.81B | +109% | -42% | — | — | -8.80 | 4.24 | 1.10 | 231.04 | — | -1.76 | 52.37% | -5.99% | -12.50% | -38.65% | -2.74% | -5.24% | 6.58 | -0.89 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 138.11 | -5982.00% | 154.00% | -8698.00% | -1.83% | 0.56 | -1.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.60% | -45.65 | -136.03 | 2.74 | 0.47 |
| HBI | Hanesbrands Inc. | $6.47 | 2.29B | — | -68% | — | +48% | -14.03 | 4.48 | 0.46 | 16.00 | — | -0.91 | 34.87% | 6.92% | -3.29% | — | — | — | 10.80 | 2.03 | 1.75 | 0.54 | 11.12 | — | — | — | -32.16% | -0.20 | — | 11.73% | -164.50% | 13.13% | 21.87 | -10.19 | 1.51 | 1.28 |
| LCII | LCI Industries | $133.20 | 3.22B | -21% | -60% | — | +2% | 17.45 | 2.41 | 0.80 | 8.15 | 49.61 | 9.78 | 23.78% | 6.79% | 4.57% | 13.70% | 11.32% | 6.20% | 0.22 | 7.84 | 2.85 | 0.98 | 0.17 | 3518.00% | 1018.00% | -1513.00% | 8.47% | 0.70 | 15.25% | 3.47% | 60.60% | 30.48% | 11.99 | 12.06 | 0.81 | 3.01 |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings Limi… | $21.53 | 2.2B | +44% | +93% | -71% | -51% | 30.32 | 4.00 | 2.26 | 21.17 | — | 68.77 | 10.98% | 9.10% | 7.45% | 13.06% | 13.29% | 9.85% | 0.19 | 16.90 | 1.91 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.00% | 737.00% | -501.00% | 3.15% | 1.16 | 11.05% | 0.80% | 24.40% | 4.28% | 25.81 | 32.98 | 2.35 | 9.30 |
| PRKS | United Parks & Resorts In… | $34.79 | 1.91B | +149% | -39% | — | — | 10.99 | — | 1.11 | 3.27 | — | — | 92.33% | 21.98% | 10.13% | -72.95% | 32.21% | 6.49% | — | 2.72 | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.19 | -1926.00% | -364.00% | 1356.00% | 14.22% | 2.65 | 31.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 127.73% | 4.79 | 6.66 | 1.05 | — |
| PZZA | Papa John's International… | $31.35 | 1.03B | -25% | -59% | — | -76% | 32.67 | -2.42 | 0.51 | 6.83 | — | -2.10 | 28.89% | 4.34% | 1.49% | -7.45% | 68.59% | 3.72% | -0.52 | 2.19 | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1.04 | -6457.00% | -27.00% | 7953.00% | 5.84% | 0.43 | 47.17% | 5.83% | 190.40% | 76.75% | 13.89 | 20.20 | 0.60 | 3.57 |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | $62.72 | 2.14B | -50% | -61% | -76% | -20% | 17.61 | 1.96 | 0.14 | 11.89 | — | 10.87 | 14.65% | 3.57% | 0.78% | 11.14% | 7.13% | 2.00% | 3.96 | 2.78 | 1.09 | 0.18 | 7.95 | -4466.00% | 653.00% | -56596.00% | 19.98% | 0.22 | 8.00% | 2.33% | 41.10% | 6.28% | 11.66 | 15.12 | 0.42 | 3.49 |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | $36.10 | 2.62B | -18% | +515% | — | -68% | 51.50 | 2.91 | 1.00 | 21.91 | — | 7.64 | 41.12% | 2.73% | 1.77% | 5.72% | 4.71% | 2.95% | 0.34 | 5.58 | 1.90 | 0.39 | 1.46 | -7319.00% | 1045.00% | -3057.00% | 4.74% | 0.31 | 12.96% | 2.41% | 124.40% | 2.95% | 39.26 | 22.63 | 1.07 | 3.23 |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldw… | $65.01 | 2.25B | +86% | -57% | — | +22% | 11.35 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 12.20 | — | -1.68 | 37.35% | 11.01% | 4.39% | 9.00% | 5.26% | 2.23% | 2.14 | 3.38 | 3.14 | 2.32 | 8.19 | -1067.00% | 508.00% | 2982.00% | 6.01% | 0.16 | 2.01% | 4.34% | 49.30% | 6.62% | 13.70 | 50.62 | 1.51 | 1.35 |
| WEN | The Wendy's Company | $7.66 | 1.46B | +182% | -61% | — | -42% | 8.75 | 12.31 | 0.66 | 10.08 | — | -0.79 | 26.87% | 15.27% | 7.58% | 87.63% | 6.14% | 3.30% | 35.31 | 2.63 | 1.76 | 1.19 | 7.33 | -1053.00% | -310.00% | -701.00% | 16.79% | 0.98 | 6.17% | 8.97% | 78.50% | 22.86% | 15.92 | 21.80 | 2.43 | 1.03 |
About The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
- CEO
- David Overton
- Employees
- 47.9K
- Beta
- 0.98
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($37.10 ÷ $60.20) − 1 = -38.37% (DCF, example).