US · VAC
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Headquarters
- Orlando, FL 32819
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$72.75
Market cap 2.25B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $120.66 | +65.86% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $27.84 | -61.73% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $79.52 | +9.31% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $0.00 | $14.67 | |||
| 2011 | $21.50 | $39.57 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $34.09 | $93.76 | $0.00 | $34.13 | $2.08 |
| 2013 | $43.86 | $87.54 | $0.00 | $45.41 | $31.67 |
| 2014 | $63.75 | $94.09 | $0.00 | $42.80 | $17.16 |
| 2015 | $55.74 | $116.74 | $0.00 | $39.17 | $51.85 |
| 2016 | $76.85 | $90.37 | $0.17 | $38.79 | $35.34 |
| 2017 | $125.01 | $125.05 | $0.00 | $60.74 | $241.37 |
| 2018 | $83.04 | $108.40 | $69.96 | $4.26 | $69.81 |
| 2019 | $82.98 | $92.64 | $146.35 | $0.00 | $153.40 |
| 2020 | $164.49 | $112.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $150.75 |
| 2021 | $133.90 | $116.92 | $52.00 | $0.00 | $47.63 |
| 2022 | $128.80 | $148.92 | $35.68 | $0.00 | $260.13 |
| 2023 | $87.31 | $139.44 | $31.61 | $0.00 | $67.23 |
| 2024 | $69.60 | $120.66 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $79.52 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (VAC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $120.66
- Current price
- $72.75
- AI upside
- +65.86%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$27.84
-61.73% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$79.52
+9.31% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldw… | $72.75 | 2.25B | +66% | -62% | — | +9% | 11.35 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 12.20 | — | -1.68 | 37.35% | 11.01% | 4.39% | 9.00% | 5.26% | 2.23% | 2.14 | 3.38 | 3.14 | 2.32 | 8.19 | -1067.00% | 508.00% | 2982.00% | 6.01% | 0.16 | 2.01% | 4.34% | 49.30% | 6.62% | 13.70 | 50.62 | 1.51 | 1.35 |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory In… | $64.78 | 3.23B | +36% | -43% | -87% | -37% | 19.77 | 6.72 | 0.78 | 21.89 | — | 15.90 | 78.33% | 4.99% | 3.96% | 33.74% | 5.74% | 4.71% | 7.93 | 17.93 | 0.59 | 0.47 | 11.50 | -406.00% | 475.00% | 4364.00% | 5.28% | 0.39 | 5.21% | 1.78% | 35.20% | 7.02% | 33.00 | 39.86 | 1.65 | 2.45 |
| DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings In… | $11.00 | 1.81B | +109% | -42% | — | — | -8.80 | 4.24 | 1.10 | 231.04 | — | -1.76 | 52.37% | -5.99% | -12.50% | -38.65% | -2.74% | -5.24% | 6.58 | -0.89 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 138.11 | -5982.00% | 154.00% | -8698.00% | -1.83% | 0.56 | -1.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.60% | -45.65 | -136.03 | 2.74 | 0.47 |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment C… | $17.03 | 1.73B | -60% | -60% | — | — | -1.12 | 0.18 | 0.56 | -2.38 | -0.19 | 0.26 | 57.69% | -43.73% | -50.78% | -26.64% | -15.22% | -15.64% | 0.02 | -3.77 | 0.53 | 0.42 | -0.18 | 59130.00% | 1445.00% | -38939.00% | -8.74% | 0.54 | -1.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 283.36% | -1.39 | -12.39 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| HBI | Hanesbrands Inc. | $6.47 | 2.29B | — | -68% | — | +48% | -14.03 | 4.48 | 0.46 | 16.00 | — | -0.91 | 34.87% | 6.92% | -3.29% | — | — | — | 10.80 | 2.03 | 1.75 | 0.54 | 11.12 | — | — | — | -32.16% | -0.20 | — | 11.73% | -164.50% | 13.13% | 21.87 | -10.19 | 1.51 | 1.28 |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, … | $96.10 | 1.75B | -9% | -44% | -61% | -29% | 17.48 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 9.16 | 42.21 | 3.47 | 45.13% | 25.07% | 18.60% | 19.21% | 22.78% | 14.44% | 0.05 | 70.55 | 0.86 | 0.74 | -0.38 | 4141.00% | 439.00% | 3768.00% | 7.25% | 1.10 | 27.33% | 1.24% | 21.60% | 6.82% | 12.45 | 13.25 | 3.12 | 8.61 |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings Limi… | $21.53 | 2.2B | +44% | +93% | -71% | -51% | 30.32 | 4.00 | 2.26 | 21.17 | — | 68.77 | 10.98% | 9.10% | 7.45% | 13.06% | 13.29% | 9.85% | 0.19 | 16.90 | 1.91 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.00% | 737.00% | -501.00% | 3.15% | 1.16 | 11.05% | 0.80% | 24.40% | 4.28% | 25.81 | 32.98 | 2.35 | 9.30 |
| PENN | PENN Entertainment, Inc. | $15.64 | 2.28B | +33% | -62% | — | — | -2.54 | 1.17 | 0.31 | 307.44 | -1.38 | -1.58 | 27.37% | 3.91% | -12.11% | -36.00% | 2.37% | -5.72% | 4.57 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 240.34 | 18439.00% | 582.00% | 1305.00% | -6.50% | 0.34 | -1.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 132.80% | 36.16 | -70.52 | 1.41 | 0.48 |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | $62.72 | 2.14B | -50% | -61% | -76% | -20% | 17.61 | 1.96 | 0.14 | 11.89 | — | 10.87 | 14.65% | 3.57% | 0.78% | 11.14% | 7.13% | 2.00% | 3.96 | 2.78 | 1.09 | 0.18 | 7.95 | -4466.00% | 653.00% | -56596.00% | 19.98% | 0.22 | 8.00% | 2.33% | 41.10% | 6.28% | 11.66 | 15.12 | 0.42 | 3.49 |
| SBET | SharpLink Gaming Ltd. | $6.82 | 1.02B | +2,633,040% | +17,050% | +2,587% | — | -0.32 | 0.68 | 0.39 | 0.01 | — | 0.68 | 24.75% | -130.05% | 275.77% | 122.28% | -606.29% | -12.12% | 0.00 | -14.68 | 5.23 | 3.48 | 0.30 | -6756.00% | -2605.00% | -778893.00% | -1616.18% | -46.72 | -2904.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 833.12% | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -44.36 |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | $36.10 | 2.62B | -18% | +515% | — | -68% | 51.50 | 2.91 | 1.00 | 21.91 | — | 7.64 | 41.12% | 2.73% | 1.77% | 5.72% | 4.71% | 2.95% | 0.34 | 5.58 | 1.90 | 0.39 | 1.46 | -7319.00% | 1045.00% | -3057.00% | 4.74% | 0.31 | 12.96% | 2.41% | 124.40% | 2.95% | 39.26 | 22.63 | 1.07 | 3.23 |
About Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation, a vacation company, develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership and related products. It operates through two segments, Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The company manages vacation ownership and related products under the Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Residence Club, and Marriott Vacation Club Pulse brands. It also develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership and related products under The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club brand; and holds right to develop, market, and sell ownership residential products under The Ritz-Carlton Residences brand. In addition, the company offers exchange networks and membership programs, as well as provision of management services to other resorts and lodging properties through various brands, including Interval International, Trading Places International, Vacation Resorts International, and Aqua-Aston. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated approximately 120 properties in the United States and thirteen other countries and territories. The company sells its upscale tier vacation ownership products primarily through a network of resort-based sales centers and off-site sales locations. Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
- CEO
- Matthew E. Avril
- Employees
- 22.3K
- Beta
- 1.29
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($27.84 ÷ $72.75) − 1 = -61.73% (DCF, example).