US · CVNA
Carvana Co.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
- Headquarters
- Tempe, AZ 85281
- Website
- carvana.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$382.60
Market cap 72.45B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $169.40 | -55.72% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7,582.58 | +1,881.86% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $76.04 | -80.12% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $558.34 | +45.93% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2016 | $5.62 | $0.00 | |||
| 2017 | $18.03 | $11.16 | $25,952,127.44 | $2.24 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $49.60 | $19.84 | $6,628,254.53 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $66.02 | $26.41 | $1,645,472.13 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $286.69 | $117.81 | $70,306.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $113.79 | $45.52 | $788,957.66 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $7.31 | $9.10 | $1,881.37 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $85.30 | $76.04 | $52.27 | $22.80 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $188.47 | $141.88 | $2.77 | $18.88 | $58.28 |
| 2025 | $323.11 | $169.40 | $1,225.90 | $76.04 | $558.34 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Carvana Co.'s (CVNA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $169.40
- Current price
- $382.60
- AI upside
- -55.72%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7,582.58
+1,881.86% upside
Graham-Dodd
$76.04
-80.12% upside
Graham Formula
$558.34
+45.93% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CVNA | Carvana Co. | $382.60 | 72.45B | -56% | +1,882% | -80% | +46% | 23.47 | 12.92 | 2.19 | 19.81 | 5.44 | 13.14 | 20.63% | 9.26% | 6.92% | 80.62% | 21.89% | 17.48% | 0.18 | 3.72 | 4.31 | 1.69 | -0.78 | 43145.00% | 4863.00% | 750.00% | 2.00% | 0.68 | 25.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.55% | 22.74 | 48.12 | 2.10 | 5.43 |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | $135.11 | 81B | 0% | -28% | -76% | -46% | 32.53 | 9.96 | 6.67 | 28.59 | — | 11.00 | 82.96% | 20.78% | 20.51% | 30.23% | -623.69% | 11.63% | 0.25 | — | 1.38 | 1.33 | -1.77 | -195.00% | 1026.00% | 283.00% | 5.69% | 0.34 | -1422.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.64% | 28.59 | 15.66 | 5.94 | 4.36 |
| CPNG | Coupang, Inc. | $19.08 | 34.85B | +114% | +128% | -84% | -87% | 173.32 | 7.80 | 1.04 | 53.95 | 568.52 | 8.13 | 29.37% | 1.37% | 0.60% | 4.77% | 5.13% | 1.26% | 1.54 | 5.50 | 1.04 | 0.71 | 1.17 | 3049.00% | 1409.00% | -4816.00% | 1.45% | 0.19 | 14.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 77.91 | 70.59 | 1.07 | 3.38 |
| GM | General Motors Company | $78.71 | 73.43B | -18% | -42% | -11% | -74% | 25.72 | 1.17 | 0.39 | 11.00 | — | 1.26 | 6.27% | 1.57% | 1.46% | 4.48% | 1.57% | 0.99% | 2.13 | 4.00 | 1.17 | 0.44 | 6.91 | -4867.00% | -129.00% | -28518.00% | 15.49% | 0.29 | 6.70% | 0.92% | 23.60% | 11.45% | 59.85 | 15.72 | 0.94 | 1.21 |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings… | $311.78 | 72.47B | -28% | -54% | — | -69% | 49.24 | -13.35 | 5.97 | 30.19 | — | -4.14 | 41.15% | 22.37% | 12.10% | -32.06% | 23.26% | 8.78% | -2.91 | 4.34 | 10.81 | 10.81 | 5.12 | -33.00% | 774.00% | 1174.00% | 2.82% | 8.65 | 24.90% | 0.20% | 9.80% | 4.72% | 32.17 | 42.72 | 7.20 | 3.25 |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | $26.53 | 37.65B | +15% | +321% | +2% | +108% | 10.10 | 1.88 | 0.39 | 6.48 | 13.20 | 2.67 | 9.79% | 3.34% | 3.57% | 18.96% | 32.71% | 6.73% | 0.38 | 13.38 | 1.29 | 0.88 | -0.39 | 7651.00% | 684.00% | 1207.00% | 9.81% | 0.19 | 43.14% | 1.83% | 18.50% | 10.93% | 7.92 | 6.93 | 0.26 | 2.86 |
| MAR | Marriott International, I… | $341.73 | 90.55B | -30% | -59% | — | -65% | 34.11 | -23.53 | 3.39 | 23.50 | 244.98 | -3.86 | 21.34% | 15.81% | 9.93% | -76.92% | 25.59% | 9.68% | -4.53 | 5.12 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 3.73 | 1393.00% | 433.00% | 3047.00% | 2.94% | 0.38 | 21.03% | 0.81% | 27.60% | 4.53% | 25.47 | 40.44 | 4.03 | 3.87 |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $93.88 | 79.24B | -9% | -56% | -86% | -55% | 31.88 | -106.00 | 4.55 | 22.97 | 332.28 | -47.28 | 51.59% | 19.46% | 14.27% | -237.85% | 33.91% | 16.15% | -13.79 | 14.72 | 0.77 | 0.08 | 2.60 | 959.00% | 642.00% | -2137.00% | 1.97% | 0.31 | 19.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.59% | 26.37 | 57.27 | 5.13 | 4.23 |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | $379.92 | 67.35B | -25% | -47% | — | -59% | 19.64 | 14.17 | 7.75 | 23.71 | 332.33 | 37.32 | 51.68% | 29.53% | 22.35% | 75.74% | 31.51% | 29.47% | 0.74 | 51.25 | 2.02 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 591.00% | 703.00% | 18350.00% | 4.80% | 1.75 | 51.19% | 1.92% | 37.80% | 4.69% | 26.87 | 21.33 | 7.93 | 7.58 |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises L… | $310.96 | 84.8B | -44% | +40% | -68% | -16% | 19.00 | 8.12 | 4.55 | 14.94 | 44.51 | 8.83 | 46.84% | 27.37% | 23.82% | 48.76% | 16.38% | 10.91% | 2.26 | 4.95 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 3.16 | 4269.00% | 880.00% | -3811.00% | 1.52% | 0.54 | 4.14% | 0.32% | 6.20% | 1.75% | 21.03 | 83.51 | 5.76 | 2.29 |
| SE | Sea Limited | $108.45 | 64.2B | -0% | +378% | -83% | -75% | 175.70 | 9.32 | 4.64 | 69.90 | 91.51 | 9.47 | 42.84% | 3.94% | 2.64% | 5.93% | 8.06% | 2.14% | 0.49 | 17.28 | 1.49 | 1.29 | 1.63 | 19200.00% | 2875.00% | 6228.00% | 3.79% | 0.29 | 61.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 111.03 | 24.87 | 4.37 | 3.94 |
About Carvana Co.
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company offers vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. It also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
- CEO
- Ernest C. Garcia
- Employees
- 17.4K
- Beta
- 3.57
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7,582.58 ÷ $382.60) − 1 = +1,881.86% (DCF, example).