US · ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
- Headquarters
- Springfield, MO 65802-2298
- Website
- oreillyauto.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$96.67
Market cap 79.24B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $85.11 | -11.96% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $41.04 | -57.55% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $12.90 | -86.66% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $42.49 | -56.05% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $6.03 | $31.89 | $36.94 | $2.30 | $3.77 |
| 2012 | $6.98 | $32.68 | $3.75 | $2.35 | $4.72 |
| 2013 | $10.03 | $33.95 | $1.39 | $2.78 | $6.30 |
| 2014 | $14.02 | $35.77 | $1.49 | $3.29 | $8.14 |
| 2015 | $18.15 | $38.32 | $2.54 | $3.91 | $11.23 |
| 2016 | $17.98 | $38.89 | $2.76 | $4.21 | $11.30 |
| 2017 | $16.70 | $39.02 | $1.85 | $4.17 | $10.55 |
| 2018 | $24.27 | $42.95 | $1.72 | $5.05 | $15.25 |
| 2019 | $24.54 | $42.15 | $1.51 | $5.56 | $17.17 |
| 2020 | $32.18 | $48.19 | $11.93 | $7.24 | $34.66 |
| 2021 | $45.01 | $56.96 | $47.17 | $9.55 | $46.63 |
| 2022 | $54.66 | $62.11 | $22.13 | $9.24 | $35.94 |
| 2023 | $72.28 | $71.16 | $16.65 | $10.03 | $45.28 |
| 2024 | $87.93 | $78.66 | $6.72 | $11.01 | $36.78 |
| 2025 | $95.03 | $85.11 | $4.43 | $12.89 | $42.48 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s (ORLY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $85.11
- Current price
- $96.67
- AI upside
- -11.96%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$41.04
-57.55% upside
Graham-Dodd
$12.90
-86.66% upside
Graham Formula
$42.49
-56.05% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $96.67 | 79.24B | -12% | -58% | -87% | -56% | 31.88 | -106.00 | 4.55 | 22.97 | 332.28 | -47.28 | 51.59% | 19.46% | 14.27% | -237.85% | 33.91% | 16.15% | -13.79 | 14.72 | 0.77 | 0.08 | 2.60 | 959.00% | 642.00% | -2137.00% | 1.97% | 0.31 | 19.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.59% | 26.37 | 57.27 | 5.13 | 4.23 |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | $135.11 | 81B | 0% | -28% | -76% | -46% | 32.53 | 9.96 | 6.67 | 28.59 | — | 11.00 | 82.96% | 20.78% | 20.51% | 30.23% | -623.69% | 11.63% | 0.25 | — | 1.38 | 1.33 | -1.77 | -195.00% | 1026.00% | 283.00% | 5.69% | 0.34 | -1422.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.64% | 28.59 | 15.66 | 5.94 | 4.36 |
| AZO | AutoZone, Inc. | $3,755.58 | 62.47B | -28% | -58% | -86% | -59% | 24.99 | -18.28 | 3.30 | 17.63 | — | -16.79 | 52.62% | 19.06% | 13.19% | -61.20% | 36.15% | 13.68% | -3.60 | 7.42 | 0.88 | 0.10 | 2.85 | -313.00% | 243.00% | -732.00% | 2.87% | 0.33 | 22.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.61% | 20.62 | 41.59 | 3.93 | 2.88 |
| CVNA | Carvana Co. | $334.16 | 72.45B | -49% | +2,169% | -77% | +67% | 23.47 | 12.92 | 2.19 | 19.81 | 5.44 | 13.14 | 20.63% | 9.26% | 6.92% | 80.62% | 21.89% | 17.48% | 0.18 | 3.72 | 4.31 | 1.69 | -0.78 | 43145.00% | 4863.00% | 750.00% | 2.00% | 0.68 | 25.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.55% | 22.74 | 48.12 | 2.10 | 5.43 |
| GM | General Motors Company | $78.71 | 73.43B | -18% | -42% | -11% | -74% | 25.72 | 1.17 | 0.39 | 11.00 | — | 1.26 | 6.27% | 1.57% | 1.46% | 4.48% | 1.57% | 0.99% | 2.13 | 4.00 | 1.17 | 0.44 | 6.91 | -4867.00% | -129.00% | -28518.00% | 15.49% | 0.29 | 6.70% | 0.92% | 23.60% | 11.45% | 59.85 | 15.72 | 0.94 | 1.21 |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings… | $311.78 | 72.47B | -28% | -54% | — | -69% | 49.24 | -13.35 | 5.97 | 30.19 | — | -4.14 | 41.15% | 22.37% | 12.10% | -32.06% | 23.26% | 8.78% | -2.91 | 4.34 | 10.81 | 10.81 | 5.12 | -33.00% | 774.00% | 1174.00% | 2.82% | 8.65 | 24.90% | 0.20% | 9.80% | 4.72% | 32.17 | 42.72 | 7.20 | 3.25 |
| MAR | Marriott International, I… | $341.73 | 90.55B | -30% | -59% | — | -65% | 34.11 | -23.53 | 3.39 | 23.50 | 244.98 | -3.86 | 21.34% | 15.81% | 9.93% | -76.92% | 25.59% | 9.68% | -4.53 | 5.12 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 3.73 | 1393.00% | 433.00% | 3047.00% | 2.94% | 0.38 | 21.03% | 0.81% | 27.60% | 4.53% | 25.47 | 40.44 | 4.03 | 3.87 |
| NKE | NIKE, Inc. | $62.18 | 91.89B | -9% | -51% | — | — | 33.83 | 8.24 | 2.35 | 24.56 | — | 8.57 | 42.73% | 7.99% | 6.95% | 23.29% | 20.53% | 8.62% | 0.83 | 12.81 | 2.21 | 1.31 | 0.79 | -4209.00% | -984.00% | -5061.00% | 3.00% | 0.35 | 21.87% | 2.11% | 71.50% | 4.85% | 29.92 | 33.89 | 2.39 | 4.79 |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | $379.92 | 67.35B | -25% | -47% | — | -59% | 19.64 | 14.17 | 7.75 | 23.71 | 332.33 | 37.32 | 51.68% | 29.53% | 22.35% | 75.74% | 31.51% | 29.47% | 0.74 | 51.25 | 2.02 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 591.00% | 703.00% | 18350.00% | 4.80% | 1.75 | 51.19% | 1.92% | 37.80% | 4.69% | 26.87 | 21.33 | 7.93 | 7.58 |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises L… | $310.96 | 84.8B | -44% | +40% | -68% | -16% | 19.00 | 8.12 | 4.55 | 14.94 | 44.51 | 8.83 | 46.84% | 27.37% | 23.82% | 48.76% | 16.38% | 10.91% | 2.26 | 4.95 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 3.16 | 4269.00% | 880.00% | -3811.00% | 1.52% | 0.54 | 4.14% | 0.32% | 6.20% | 1.75% | 21.03 | 83.51 | 5.76 | 2.29 |
| SBUX | Starbucks Corporation | $98.02 | 111.67B | -45% | -65% | — | -82% | 51.92 | -11.91 | 2.59 | 22.22 | — | -8.29 | 24.15% | 9.63% | 4.99% | -23.89% | 14.13% | 5.86% | -3.29 | 6.60 | 0.72 | 0.46 | 4.35 | -5076.00% | 279.00% | -2640.00% | 2.53% | 0.46 | 16.36% | 2.87% | 149.30% | 2.87% | 33.38 | 48.95 | 3.21 | 2.50 |
About O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment. The company's stores also provide enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; and professional paint shop mixing and related materials. Its stores offer do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 5,759 stores in the United States, and 25 stores in Mexico. O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.
- CEO
- Brad W. Beckham
- Employees
- 93.42K
- Beta
- 0.62
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($41.04 ÷ $96.67) − 1 = -57.55% (DCF, example).