US · GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
- Headquarters
- EmeryVille, CA 94608
- Website
- groceryoutlet.com
Price · as of 2024-12-28
$8.35
Market cap 969.6M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $28.57 | +242.16% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.24 | -37.25% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $6.20 | -25.75% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.15 | -14.35% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | $0.00 | $3.83 | |||
| 2019 | $33.38 | $27.93 | $4.59 | $0.24 | $3.66 |
| 2020 | $36.67 | $48.77 | $117.78 | $7.64 | $34.35 |
| 2021 | $29.40 | $37.53 | $0.00 | $5.96 | $4.17 |
| 2022 | $26.70 | $34.15 | $0.00 | $7.08 | $15.88 |
| 2023 | $25.93 | $33.27 | $0.00 | $8.80 | $15.01 |
| 2024 | $13.10 | $28.57 | $0.00 | $6.20 | $7.15 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (GO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $28.57
- Current price
- $8.35
- AI upside
- +242.16%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.24
-37.25% upside
Graham-Dodd
$6.20
-25.75% upside
Graham Formula
$7.15
-14.35% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding Co… | $8.35 | 969.6M | +242% | -37% | -26% | -14% | 32.76 | 1.08 | 0.30 | 15.01 | — | 3.85 | 30.24% | 1.79% | 0.90% | 3.27% | 2.08% | 1.28% | 1.38 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 0.24 | 8.29 | -4937.00% | 1013.00% | -16697.00% | -5.77% | 0.32 | -2.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.29% | 36.86 | -38.67 | 0.66 | 2.08 |
| AFYA | Afya Limited | $13.60 | 1.23B | +83% | -0% | -10% | +115% | 12.05 | 1.91 | 2.47 | 8.55 | 19.35 | -6.46 | 63.21% | 30.63% | 19.11% | 17.19% | 15.85% | 8.24% | 0.74 | 2.76 | 1.39 | 1.34 | 1.86 | 6230.00% | 1490.00% | 3030.00% | 12.76% | 1.26 | 16.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.29 | 10.01 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| COUR | Coursera, Inc. | $6.41 | 1.08B | +415% | -26% | -64% | — | -20.56 | 1.65 | 1.38 | -15.25 | — | 1.72 | 54.57% | -10.34% | -6.73% | -8.27% | 56.11% | -5.28% | 0.01 | — | 2.51 | 2.40 | 46.06 | -3922.00% | 904.00% | 1431.00% | 10.23% | 0.30 | -76.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.16% | -3.33 | 2.43 | 0.34 | 1.60 |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets, Incorpora… | $85.10 | 1.62B | -2% | -65% | +14% | -85% | 16.83 | 0.87 | 0.26 | 6.27 | — | 0.87 | 23.89% | 2.20% | 1.57% | 5.29% | 5.04% | 3.28% | 0.34 | 5.97 | 3.22 | 1.56 | 0.70 | -2086.00% | -542.00% | -2335.00% | 2.81% | 0.51 | 2.23% | 0.87% | 14.70% | 3.28% | 13.47 | 40.01 | 0.30 | 4.31 |
| NWL | Newell Brands Inc. | $4.55 | 1.91B | +341% | -61% | — | — | -6.52 | 0.78 | 0.26 | 22.07 | -21.17 | -0.79 | 33.76% | 6.20% | -3.96% | -11.09% | 5.46% | -2.62% | 2.36 | 1.39 | 1.07 | 0.47 | 16.46 | 3077.00% | -499.00% | -9283.00% | 0.92% | 0.10 | 0.22% | 6.46% | -42.10% | 6.46% | 16.34 | 429.75 | 1.01 | 0.54 |
| PXED | Phoenix Education Partner… | $29.60 | 1.06B | +79% | +61% | — | +76% | 8.44 | 4.63 | 1.14 | 5.24 | 35.04 | 7.34 | 56.71% | 21.70% | 13.29% | 47.19% | 119.35% | 22.79% | 0.30 | 455.35 | 1.64 | 1.26 | -0.31 | 2409.00% | 602.00% | -5383.00% | 5.68% | 0.54 | 47.67% | 18.75% | 158.30% | 37.51% | 4.90 | 16.50 | 1.06 | 6.46 |
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings,… | $78.38 | 1.82B | -1% | -71% | -59% | -84% | 14.55 | 0.76 | 0.52 | 9.25 | — | 13.87 | 36.74% | 4.45% | 3.56% | 4.96% | 5.14% | 2.78% | 0.34 | 4.16 | 2.26 | 1.33 | 2.47 | -562.00% | -523.00% | 3980.00% | 11.35% | 0.39 | 6.82% | 3.30% | 48.00% | 25.65% | 15.94 | 12.01 | 0.71 | 2.70 |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries, … | $42.23 | 1.77B | +1% | -45% | -66% | -70% | 31.33 | 3.33 | 4.28 | 31.09 | 194.59 | 3.33 | 34.48% | 13.78% | 13.66% | 11.04% | 8.98% | 17.43% | 0.01 | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1610.00% | 129.00% | -2030.00% | 3.08% | 1.33 | 11.77% | 0.83% | 26.10% | 0.83% | 31.09 | 32.57 | 4.28 | — |
| UVV | Universal Corporation | $53.73 | 1.34B | +485% | -57% | -61% | +6% | 15.21 | 0.99 | 0.49 | 7.61 | — | 1.22 | 18.62% | 8.28% | 3.22% | 6.56% | 7.55% | 3.21% | 0.76 | 2.80 | 2.87 | 1.19 | 2.80 | -2092.00% | 723.00% | -28797.00% | 18.29% | 0.44 | 11.13% | 5.51% | 83.80% | 16.89% | 9.38 | 8.66 | 0.78 | 2.96 |
| VITL | Vital Farms, Inc. | $21.09 | 944.29M | +175% | +1,446% | -29% | +127% | 13.53 | 2.55 | 1.18 | 7.90 | 61.43 | 2.67 | 37.62% | 11.64% | 8.73% | 21.36% | 30.63% | 15.10% | 0.15 | 101.11 | 2.16 | 1.49 | 0.04 | 2203.00% | 2526.00% | -23487.00% | -5.38% | 0.28 | -23.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.47 | -17.36 | 1.10 | 5.97 |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | $67.76 | 1.68B | +256% | -53% | -24% | -39% | 19.53 | 1.49 | 0.45 | 7.77 | 327.82 | 1.58 | 25.13% | 2.75% | 2.29% | 7.80% | 8.28% | 5.30% | 0.12 | — | 2.46 | 1.44 | -0.07 | 596.00% | 202.00% | -7294.00% | 1.22% | 0.55 | 2.25% | 1.70% | 33.30% | 2.43% | 14.48 | 73.04 | 0.40 | 5.77 |
About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company's stores offer products in various categories, such as dairy and deli, produce, floral, and fresh meat and seafood products, as well as grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. As of August 09, 2022, it had 425 stores in eight states. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
- CEO
- Jason Potter
- Employees
- 1.69K
- Beta
- 0.51
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.24 ÷ $8.35) − 1 = -37.25% (DCF, example).