US · DFH
Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Jacksonville, FL 32256
- Website
- dreamfindershomes.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$15.26
Market cap 1.68B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $38.42 | +151.77% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.08 | -53.6% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $22.33 | +46.3% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $12.72 | -16.65% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $0.81 | $30.63 | |||
| 2020 | $26.50 | $29.92 | $71.04 | $5.91 | $20.20 |
| 2021 | $21.95 | $34.55 | $15,785.90 | $6.73 | $98.81 |
| 2022 | $12.07 | $76.25 | $44,346.80 | $18.56 | $222.65 |
| 2023 | $37.86 | $266.09 | $4,366.54 | $23.44 | $62.95 |
| 2024 | $25.37 | $40.05 | $1,046.38 | $27.46 | $93.65 |
| 2025 | $17.71 | $38.42 | $0.00 | $22.32 | $12.72 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Dream Finders Homes, Inc.'s (DFH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $38.42
- Current price
- $15.26
- AI upside
- +151.77%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.08
-53.6% upside
Graham-Dodd
$22.33
+46.3% upside
Graham Formula
$12.72
-16.65% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $15.26 | 1.68B | +152% | -54% | +46% | -17% | 28.04 | 1.05 | 0.38 | 6.40 | — | 1.38 | 17.46% | 6.24% | 5.02% | 3.97% | 9.48% | 1.67% | 0.38 | — | 2.92 | 0.35 | 1.14 | -3333.00% | -289.00% | -5519.00% | -7.66% | -0.13 | -5.81% | 0.82% | 23.00% | 44.19% | 7.44 | -15.87 | 0.46 | 2.79 |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | $67.23 | 1.98B | -7% | -61% | +37% | -85% | 13.41 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 14.89 | — | 0.78 | 21.42% | 9.16% | 3.58% | 5.66% | 7.32% | 3.27% | 0.56 | — | 4.15 | 0.25 | 5.86 | -5327.00% | -638.00% | 4334.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 3.18% | 1.75% | 23.50% | 11.09% | 8.65 | 26.26 | 0.79 | 3.24 |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc… | $73.66 | 3.21B | +25% | -55% | +5% | -21% | 10.12 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 7.56 | — | 1.71 | 30.54% | 19.51% | 14.93% | 17.98% | 16.59% | 13.09% | 0.18 | — | 22.60 | 2.06 | 0.41 | -1633.00% | -2.00% | 86740.00% | 6.57% | 2.26 | 10.78% | 0.09% | 0.90% | 3.45% | 8.19 | 16.08 | 1.60 | 6.35 |
| GT | The Goodyear Tire & Rubbe… | $8.25 | 2.36B | +189% | -60% | — | — | -1.40 | 0.73 | 0.13 | 6.51 | — | 0.94 | 18.44% | 3.57% | -9.41% | -42.56% | 5.82% | -8.68% | 2.24 | 1.47 | 1.06 | 0.46 | 4.76 | -259583.00% | -317.00% | -9388.00% | -1.26% | 0.12 | -0.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 64.27% | 13.54 | -294.37 | 0.48 | 1.51 |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | $16.37 | 1.84B | +271% | -84% | -44% | -93% | 6.67 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 6.59 | — | 0.19 | 35.86% | 3.14% | 0.67% | 2.83% | 4.44% | 0.79% | 1.88 | 1.60 | 1.08 | 0.09 | 5.97 | -6608.00% | -718.00% | -6920.00% | 25.05% | 0.21 | 1.66% | 30.55% | 203.70% | 55.05% | 15.23 | 42.59 | 0.48 | 1.49 |
| LGIH | LGI Homes, Inc. | $51.90 | 1.2B | +132% | -52% | +103% | — | 16.01 | 0.55 | 0.68 | 26.82 | — | 0.56 | 20.73% | 4.68% | 4.25% | 3.51% | 1.63% | 1.89% | 0.79 | — | 223.39 | 5.79 | 15.52 | -6241.00% | -2257.00% | -329.00% | -12.13% | -8.65 | -3.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34.56 | -19.57 | 1.62 | 2.75 |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash, Inc. | $7.12 | 2.34B | +276% | -56% | -78% | -39% | 22.54 | 2.05 | 2.21 | 11.35 | 47.33 | -20.62 | 62.87% | 20.42% | 9.80% | 9.67% | 6.44% | 3.29% | 0.86 | 3.65 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 3.28 | 4762.00% | 573.00% | -13720.00% | 1.30% | 1.55 | 1.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36.91% | 15.22 | 107.83 | 3.11 | 1.31 |
| OI | O-I Glass, Inc. | $13.40 | 2.06B | +56% | -44% | — | — | 412.44 | 1.59 | 0.32 | 8.07 | 1897.23 | -4.97 | 17.26% | 9.85% | -2.01% | 0.42% | 11.45% | 0.06% | 3.86 | 1.86 | 1.25 | 0.65 | 5.43 | 2174.00% | -161.00% | -23125.00% | 8.15% | 0.29 | 3.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.88% | 9.96 | 37.51 | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holdi… | $23.28 | 1.64B | +16% | -41% | — | +606% | -1.17 | -0.72 | 1.18 | -4.00 | -1.67 | -0.55 | -43.07% | -89.14% | -100.77% | 89.30% | -145.09% | -50.15% | -1.51 | -5.41 | 0.48 | 0.24 | -2.56 | 7018.00% | -1448.00% | -3363.00% | -56.04% | -0.21 | -108.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.68 | -4.95 | 3.28 | -3.89 |
| WEN | The Wendy's Company | $7.66 | 1.46B | +182% | -61% | — | -42% | 8.75 | 12.31 | 0.66 | 10.08 | — | -0.79 | 26.87% | 15.27% | 7.58% | 87.63% | 6.14% | 3.30% | 35.31 | 2.63 | 1.76 | 1.19 | 7.33 | -1053.00% | -310.00% | -701.00% | 16.79% | 0.98 | 6.17% | 8.97% | 78.50% | 22.86% | 15.92 | 21.80 | 2.43 | 1.03 |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc… | $17.67 | 1.45B | — | -58% | — | -3% | 15.33 | 3.60 | 0.78 | 11.82 | — | -7.21 | 47.31% | 8.01% | 5.11% | — | — | — | 2.13 | 4.58 | 1.40 | 0.71 | 3.67 | — | — | — | 8.55% | 0.27 | — | 2.27% | 34.80% | 3.26% | 14.18 | 16.97 | 1.14 | 3.03 |
About Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. operates as a holding company for Dream Finders Holdings LLC that engages in homebuilding business in the United States. It designs, constructs, and sells single-family entry-level, and first-time and second time move-up homes in Charlotte, Raleigh, Jacksonville, Orlando, Denver, the Washington D.C. metropolitan area, Austin, Dallas, and Houston. The company also operates as a licensed home mortgage broker that underwrites, originates, and sells mortgages to Prime Lending; and provides insurance agency services, including closing, escrow, and title insurance, as well as mortgage banking solutions. It sells its homes through its sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
- CEO
- J. Douglas Moran
- Employees
- 1.69K
- Beta
- 1.86
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.08 ÷ $15.26) − 1 = -53.6% (DCF, example).