US · HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Headquarters
- Orlando, FL 32835
- Website
- hiltongrandvacations.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$45.94
Market cap 3.85B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $57.07 | +24.23% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $17.24 | -62.47% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $5.85 | -87.26% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $24.89 | -45.82% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $7.41 | $34.46 | |||
| 2016 | $28.86 | $46.98 | $4.23 | $10.19 | $25.86 |
| 2017 | $47.30 | $57.25 | $4.27 | $21.75 | $52.13 |
| 2018 | $32.22 | $62.41 | $42.86 | $21.71 | $74.35 |
| 2019 | $24.22 | $64.91 | $1.18 | $18.59 | $1.16 |
| 2020 | $39.81 | $44.69 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $96.83 |
| 2021 | $49.28 | $56.42 | $58.12 | $14.95 | $286.41 |
| 2022 | $45.08 | $50.19 | $517.96 | $21.14 | $207.44 |
| 2023 | $44.72 | $59.09 | $608.15 | $20.52 | $33.41 |
| 2024 | $40.48 | $76.25 | $307.06 | $0.02 | $14.87 |
| 2025 | $43.11 | $57.07 | $30.04 | $5.85 | $24.89 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s (HGV) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $57.07
- Current price
- $45.94
- AI upside
- +24.23%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$17.24
-62.47% upside
Graham-Dodd
$5.85
-87.26% upside
Graham Formula
$24.89
-45.82% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations In… | $45.94 | 3.85B | +24% | -62% | -87% | -46% | 77.68 | 3.19 | 0.82 | 5.11 | 16.47 | -1.74 | 56.69% | 11.12% | 4.97% | 3.49% | 6.69% | 0.46% | 0.00 | 1.80 | 4.76 | 0.80 | -0.31 | 47174.00% | 133.00% | 2568.00% | 5.59% | 0.47 | 4.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 182.90% | 6.91 | 16.86 | 0.77 | 1.10 |
| BRSL | Brightstar Lottery | $13.56 | 2.51B | +94% | -57% | — | -79% | 18.00 | 3.02 | 1.05 | 6.18 | — | -1.35 | 41.38% | 26.05% | 2.79% | 11.63% | 5.76% | 1.51% | 4.86 | 3.22 | 0.76 | 0.64 | 3.18 | -10053.00% | -4.00% | -14711.00% | -15.69% | -0.03 | -8.12% | 29.10% | 523.80% | 118.00% | 8.33 | -13.13 | 2.17 | 0.62 |
| CARG | CarGurus, Inc. | $30.70 | 3.03B | +86% | -56% | -62% | -31% | 19.14 | 7.97 | 3.18 | 12.69 | 2.84 | 8.71 | 88.98% | 20.70% | 16.60% | 34.04% | 38.08% | 20.98% | 0.51 | — | 2.81 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 67500.00% | 499.00% | 6021.00% | 9.68% | 2.94 | 71.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.80% | 15.35 | 10.33 | 3.18 | 9.71 |
| CZR | Caesars Entertainment, In… | $25.05 | 5.11B | +129% | -57% | — | — | -11.73 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 8.75 | -13.39 | -0.47 | 37.66% | 18.09% | -4.37% | -11.41% | 7.07% | -1.36% | 7.52 | 0.89 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 7.28 | 8760.00% | 214.00% | -38571.00% | 10.15% | 0.59 | 1.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.47% | 14.72 | 58.81 | 2.66 | 0.53 |
| GTX | Garrett Motion Inc. | $20.36 | 3.96B | +73% | -60% | — | -15% | 12.93 | -5.00 | 1.12 | 8.95 | 62.64 | -4.03 | 24.50% | 13.76% | 8.65% | -42.03% | 62.33% | 13.35% | -1.88 | 4.70 | 0.97 | 0.67 | 2.23 | 2063.00% | 314.00% | 757.00% | 8.51% | 0.30 | 54.52% | 1.30% | 16.80% | 8.31% | 10.82 | 15.65 | 1.49 | 2.12 |
| PATK | Patrick Industries, Inc. | $123.79 | 4.12B | -30% | -60% | -93% | -52% | 29.79 | 3.40 | 1.02 | 13.37 | — | -10.10 | 23.11% | 6.99% | 3.42% | 11.68% | 7.77% | 4.43% | 1.39 | 3.70 | 2.51 | 0.61 | 3.83 | -511.00% | 633.00% | -186.00% | 6.13% | 0.95 | 9.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20.43 | 22.87 | 1.43 | 3.06 |
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | $60.55 | 3.57B | -5% | -14% | — | -38% | 10.04 | 17.14 | 1.77 | 4.35 | 43.04 | -52.94 | 52.59% | 29.70% | 9.35% | 168.01% | 29.21% | 8.66% | 0.28 | 2.96 | 0.79 | 0.60 | -0.11 | 2332.00% | 374.00% | 1581.00% | 8.09% | 1.68 | 15.97% | 3.38% | 34.00% | 99.76% | 5.83 | 12.07 | 1.73 | 1.56 |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises, Inc. | $70.97 | 5.46B | -29% | -59% | -60% | -83% | 21.32 | 2.57 | 0.76 | 15.13 | — | 3.22 | 18.69% | 5.29% | 3.55% | 12.25% | 8.42% | 5.88% | 0.70 | 8.51 | 1.40 | 0.34 | 2.89 | -1210.00% | -475.00% | 14772.00% | 8.15% | 0.58 | 12.85% | 1.03% | 21.90% | 7.44% | 17.82 | 15.17 | 0.94 | 4.28 |
| SHAK | Shake Shack Inc. | $96.01 | 3.86B | -34% | +95% | -80% | -73% | 76.40 | 7.23 | 2.63 | 23.84 | 21.57 | 7.23 | 17.98% | 5.93% | 3.16% | 9.99% | 5.68% | 2.77% | 1.69 | 39.72 | 1.76 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 35417.00% | 1538.00% | 5848.00% | 1.49% | 0.91 | 5.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.48% | 50.42 | 76.52 | 2.99 | 2.78 |
| TNL | Travel + Leisure Co. | $73.70 | 4.6B | +81% | -60% | — | -43% | 20.85 | -4.88 | 1.19 | 11.41 | — | -2.23 | 27.18% | 17.83% | 5.72% | -24.69% | 11.82% | 3.41% | -5.00 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 0.44 | 5.62 | -3570.00% | 406.00% | 3655.00% | 10.91% | 0.68 | 12.64% | 3.11% | 64.80% | 27.07% | 13.18 | 18.07 | 2.35 | 1.92 |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldw… | $65.01 | 2.25B | +86% | -57% | — | +22% | 11.35 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 12.20 | — | -1.68 | 37.35% | 11.01% | 4.39% | 9.00% | 5.26% | 2.23% | 2.14 | 3.38 | 3.14 | 2.32 | 8.19 | -1067.00% | 508.00% | 2982.00% | 6.01% | 0.16 | 2.01% | 4.34% | 49.30% | 6.62% | 13.70 | 50.62 | 1.51 | 1.35 |
About Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership resorts primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company operates in two segments, Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management. It sells vacation ownership intervals and vacation ownership interests; manages resorts and clubs; operates points-based vacation clubs and resort amenities; and finances and services loans provided to consumers for their timeshare purchases. The company also manages and operates the points-based Hilton Grand Vacations Club and Hilton Club exchange programs, and Diamond Clubs, which provide exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services to approximately 333,000 members, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs. As of December 31, 2021, it had 154 properties located in the United States. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
- CEO
- Mark D. Wang
- Employees
- 21.8K
- Beta
- 1.44
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($17.24 ÷ $45.94) − 1 = -62.47% (DCF, example).