US · SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- New York City, NY 10014
- Website
- shakeshack.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$98.36
Market cap 3.86B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $63.70 | -35.24% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $187.43 | +90.56% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $18.75 | -80.94% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $26.00 | -73.57% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | $51.52 | $220.00 | |||
| 2014 | $48.50 | $48.37 | $1,191.91 | $0.00 | $9.44 |
| 2015 | $34.58 | $60.50 | $5,572.31 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $31.42 | $40.86 | $1,379.44 | $11.48 | $25.57 |
| 2017 | $42.33 | $54.67 | $723.60 | $8.61 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $52.28 | $55.21 | $409.55 | $12.35 | $18.73 |
| 2019 | $52.25 | $44.17 | $250.40 | $12.68 | $22.91 |
| 2020 | $121.81 | $77.10 | $0.00 | $5.29 | $3.80 |
| 2021 | $63.70 | $38.90 | $48.52 | $9.89 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $54.53 | $34.08 | $39.52 | $7.80 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $103.63 | $86.81 | $203.55 | $13.82 | $14.41 |
| 2024 | $92.44 | $84.56 | $88.59 | $13.08 | $5.81 |
| 2025 | $94.44 | $63.70 | $145.46 | $18.75 | $26.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Shake Shack Inc.'s (SHAK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $63.70
- Current price
- $98.36
- AI upside
- -35.24%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$187.43
+90.56% upside
Graham-Dodd
$18.75
-80.94% upside
Graham Formula
$26.00
-73.57% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SHAK | Shake Shack Inc. | $98.36 | 3.86B | -35% | +91% | -81% | -74% | 76.40 | 7.23 | 2.63 | 23.84 | 21.57 | 7.23 | 17.98% | 5.93% | 3.16% | 9.99% | 5.68% | 2.77% | 1.69 | 39.72 | 1.76 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 35417.00% | 1538.00% | 5848.00% | 1.49% | 0.91 | 5.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.48% | 50.42 | 76.52 | 2.99 | 2.78 |
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoo… | $60.13 | 4.01B | — | — | — | -80% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.63% | 3.71% | 2.49% | 62849.74% | 8.59% | 3.17% | -332.37 | 1.77 | 1.72 | 0.22 | 7.32 | 39259.00% | 96.00% | 12175.00% | — | 0.35 | 9.84% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory In… | $64.78 | 3.23B | +36% | -43% | -87% | -37% | 19.77 | 6.72 | 0.78 | 21.89 | — | 15.90 | 78.33% | 4.99% | 3.96% | 33.74% | 5.74% | 4.71% | 7.93 | 17.93 | 0.59 | 0.47 | 11.50 | -406.00% | 475.00% | 4364.00% | 5.28% | 0.39 | 5.21% | 1.78% | 35.20% | 7.02% | 33.00 | 39.86 | 1.65 | 2.45 |
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations In… | $44.96 | 3.85B | +27% | -62% | -87% | -45% | 77.68 | 3.19 | 0.82 | 5.11 | 16.47 | -1.74 | 56.69% | 11.12% | 4.97% | 3.49% | 6.69% | 0.46% | 0.00 | 1.80 | 4.76 | 0.80 | -0.31 | 47174.00% | 133.00% | 2568.00% | 5.59% | 0.47 | 4.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 182.90% | 6.91 | 16.86 | 0.77 | 1.10 |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | $142.16 | 3.72B | +38% | -59% | +36% | -34% | 9.38 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 7.37 | — | 1.20 | 23.03% | 11.47% | 9.12% | 13.20% | 11.54% | 8.64% | 0.34 | 25.28 | 24.19 | 3.80 | 0.70 | -2522.00% | -193.00% | -2953.00% | 3.19% | 0.72 | 3.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.35% | 8.25 | 34.59 | 0.95 | 4.70 |
| PII | Polaris Inc. | $60.74 | 3.44B | -61% | -61% | — | — | -7.22 | 4.05 | 0.47 | -41.74 | — | 118.21 | 18.52% | -0.40% | -6.51% | -43.88% | -0.91% | -8.92% | 1.86 | -0.21 | 0.98 | 0.17 | -12.29 | -51949.00% | -33.00% | 848615.00% | 16.62% | 0.33 | 20.55% | 4.48% | -32.30% | 19.79% | -168.15 | 8.53 | 0.67 | 1.80 |
| PVH | PVH Corp. | $68.60 | 3.3B | +153% | -60% | +50% | -66% | 6.44 | 0.75 | 0.45 | 5.99 | — | -27.42 | 59.43% | 8.45% | 6.92% | 11.67% | 7.89% | 5.39% | 0.66 | 8.14 | 1.27 | 0.59 | 2.44 | -186.00% | -613.00% | -1966.00% | 15.11% | 0.27 | 7.40% | 0.22% | 1.40% | 18.60% | 8.88 | 11.16 | 0.75 | 2.24 |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises, Inc. | $70.97 | 5.46B | -29% | -59% | -60% | -83% | 21.32 | 2.57 | 0.76 | 15.13 | — | 3.22 | 18.69% | 5.29% | 3.55% | 12.25% | 8.42% | 5.88% | 0.70 | 8.51 | 1.40 | 0.34 | 2.89 | -1210.00% | -475.00% | 14772.00% | 8.15% | 0.58 | 12.85% | 1.03% | 21.90% | 7.44% | 17.82 | 15.17 | 0.94 | 4.28 |
| SKY | Champion Homes, Inc. | $93.48 | 5.22B | -10% | -65% | -60% | +10% | 18.38 | 2.40 | 1.49 | 10.39 | 52.24 | 3.30 | 26.16% | 9.54% | 7.99% | 13.59% | 17.76% | 10.00% | 0.08 | 27.99 | 2.41 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 3518.00% | 2265.00% | 1210.00% | 5.14% | 0.53 | 18.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.87% | 13.61 | 16.95 | 1.30 | 6.48 |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | $56.47 | 5.57B | -7% | +224,630% | — | +239% | 16.06 | 1.55 | 0.75 | 6.60 | 11.37 | -3.59 | 20.94% | 9.47% | 5.27% | 11.84% | 6.30% | 2.95% | 1.34 | 3.05 | 1.05 | 0.55 | 2.93 | 14121.00% | 4172.00% | -1087.00% | 7.00% | 0.27 | 4.55% | 3.71% | 59.50% | 46.53% | 14.16 | 25.69 | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| TNL | Travel + Leisure Co. | $73.70 | 4.6B | +81% | -60% | — | -43% | 20.85 | -4.88 | 1.19 | 11.41 | — | -2.23 | 27.18% | 17.83% | 5.72% | -24.69% | 11.82% | 3.41% | -5.00 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 0.44 | 5.62 | -3570.00% | 406.00% | 3655.00% | 10.91% | 0.68 | 12.64% | 3.11% | 64.80% | 27.07% | 13.18 | 18.07 | 2.35 | 1.92 |
About Shake Shack Inc.
Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. Its Shacks offers hamburgers, hot dogs, chicken, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. As of December 29, 2021, it operated 369 Shacks, including 218 domestic company-operated Shacks, 25 domestic licensed Shacks, and 126 international licensed Shacks. Shake Shack Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- CEO
- Robert Lynch
- Employees
- 12.83K
- Beta
- 1.75
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($187.43 ÷ $98.36) − 1 = +90.56% (DCF, example).