US · LAD
Lithia Motors, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
- Headquarters
- Medford, OR 97501
- Website
- lithiainvestorrelations.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$290.90
Market cap 6.78B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $360.95 | +24.08% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $109.34 | -62.41% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $389.64 | +33.94% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $385.81 | +32.63% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $22.26 | $48.42 | $655.71 | $20.59 | $80.92 |
| 2012 | $40.49 | $459.91 | $2,926.00 | $23.82 | $101.96 |
| 2013 | $60.69 | $71.28 | $4,031.57 | $33.48 | $115.12 |
| 2014 | $84.08 | $70.59 | $7,874.27 | $35.54 | $218.94 |
| 2015 | $87.13 | $51.25 | $27,200.69 | $46.79 | $361.54 |
| 2016 | $86.69 | $80.33 | $14,524.49 | $50.70 | $141.68 |
| 2017 | $100.50 | $91.18 | $8,406.38 | $66.02 | $231.14 |
| 2018 | $82.69 | $57.29 | $3,225.04 | $68.66 | $267.69 |
| 2019 | $107.41 | $124.79 | $660.68 | $84.34 | $175.74 |
| 2020 | $383.58 | $237.55 | $0.00 | $167.37 | $228.71 |
| 2021 | $311.33 | $277.84 | $21,075.40 | $290.54 | $2,904.71 |
| 2022 | $240.71 | $320.61 | $34,130.93 | $330.58 | $1,353.61 |
| 2023 | $284.35 | $287.07 | $34,523.49 | $308.92 | $650.96 |
| 2024 | $302.75 | $353.35 | $11,304.37 | $285.28 | $713.15 |
| 2025 | $273.35 | $360.95 | $1,405.55 | $389.64 | $385.81 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Lithia Motors, Inc.'s (LAD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $360.95
- Current price
- $290.90
- AI upside
- +24.08%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$109.34
-62.41% upside
Graham-Dodd
$389.64
+33.94% upside
Graham Formula
$385.81
+32.63% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | $290.90 | 6.78B | +24% | -62% | +34% | +33% | 8.41 | 1.05 | 0.18 | 11.36 | 95.14 | 5.05 | 14.54% | 4.06% | 2.18% | 12.43% | 5.55% | 3.42% | 2.22 | 3.04 | 1.17 | 0.22 | 7.65 | 884.00% | 400.00% | 16038.00% | 2.76% | 0.08 | 0.93% | 0.80% | 6.70% | 14.64% | 13.92 | 110.94 | 0.57 | 1.98 |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group, … | $213.78 | 4.16B | +3% | -56% | -2% | +51% | 6.17 | 1.05 | 0.23 | 10.14 | 36.57 | -8.40 | 16.61% | 5.57% | 2.73% | 17.91% | 7.89% | 5.99% | 1.63 | 3.59 | 0.95 | 0.18 | 6.14 | 1688.00% | 471.00% | 5884.00% | 14.10% | 0.22 | 6.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.76% | 10.36 | 17.99 | 0.58 | 2.53 |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Hold… | $125.30 | 10.43B | +14% | -41% | -85% | -89% | 17.11 | 5.71 | 3.54 | 11.78 | — | -10.64 | 48.37% | 32.33% | 20.70% | 35.42% | 22.91% | 10.91% | 1.56 | 9.93 | 4.85 | 3.97 | 1.39 | -1179.00% | -667.00% | -137.00% | 6.09% | 1.79 | 19.72% | 0.85% | 14.60% | 5.93% | 12.42 | 18.62 | 4.02 | 2.88 |
| AN | AutoNation, Inc. | $195.16 | 6.77B | +16% | -60% | -44% | -2% | 11.33 | 3.14 | 0.27 | 11.62 | 1597.64 | -75.74 | 17.00% | 4.83% | 2.35% | 27.05% | 8.35% | 4.74% | 4.35 | 3.62 | 0.84 | 0.18 | 6.73 | 71.00% | 324.00% | 133116.00% | -2.69% | 0.02 | -1.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.76% | 13.09 | -88.51 | 0.63 | 3.10 |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $28.04 | 10.43B | +45% | -74% | -63% | -24% | 8.04 | 2.08 | 0.45 | 5.61 | 12.53 | 2.26 | 41.28% | 7.37% | 5.59% | 28.81% | 13.41% | 7.36% | 1.68 | 12.78 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 6418.00% | 132.00% | -656.00% | 15.31% | 0.46 | 16.88% | 3.32% | 26.70% | 10.73% | 8.70 | 9.31 | 0.64 | 2.60 |
| KMX | CarMax, Inc. | $43.17 | 6.34B | +155% | -39% | +28% | -39% | 20.51 | 1.64 | 0.36 | 27.03 | 326.03 | 1.68 | 11.43% | 2.80% | 1.77% | 8.13% | 2.35% | 1.83% | 3.11 | 7.31 | 2.31 | 0.20 | 17.61 | 629.00% | -2.00% | -243931.00% | 1.52% | 0.28 | 0.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.17% | 37.32 | 188.16 | 1.04 | 1.76 |
| LEVI | Levi Strauss & Co. | $22.16 | 8.76B | +64% | -63% | -81% | -54% | 16.09 | 3.54 | 1.29 | 10.72 | 8.99 | 4.48 | 61.73% | 10.79% | 9.20% | 23.63% | 14.84% | 7.59% | 1.01 | 13.94 | 1.55 | 0.80 | 1.74 | 17885.00% | -115.00% | -5166.00% | 4.02% | 0.27 | 8.97% | 2.64% | 42.40% | 4.50% | 14.07 | 29.39 | 1.52 | 2.89 |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | $33.11 | 8.48B | +32% | -60% | — | -62% | 13.80 | 1.28 | 0.60 | 9.02 | — | 164.48 | 38.03% | 7.81% | 4.36% | 9.69% | 7.15% | 4.04% | 0.77 | 4.85 | 1.67 | 0.49 | 3.26 | -1065.00% | -306.00% | 457.00% | 10.10% | 0.34 | 7.47% | 3.70% | 51.00% | 13.14% | 12.08 | 15.50 | 0.94 | 2.64 |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing Comp… | $227.25 | 11.98B | -64% | +20% | -87% | -77% | 26.55 | 5.41 | 1.91 | 15.03 | 200.43 | 9.30 | 24.98% | 10.97% | 7.12% | 22.38% | 15.76% | 9.84% | 0.58 | 10.74 | 1.78 | 1.02 | 1.28 | 1325.00% | 730.00% | 254.00% | 2.63% | 0.39 | 9.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.70% | 18.99 | 41.63 | 2.08 | 5.67 |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $157.52 | 10.37B | -15% | -60% | -2% | +11% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd. | $3.26 | 7.63B | -57% | -29% | — | — | -2.73 | -1.28 | 4.79 | -8.00 | -8.27 | -1.27 | -57.42% | -125.85% | -175.53% | 50.25% | 259.54% | -51.03% | -0.89 | -3.54 | 0.38 | 0.14 | -3.24 | 3303.00% | 5787.00% | -4000.00% | -22.35% | -0.18 | 221.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.38 | -7.49 | 8.03 | -3.61 |
About Lithia Motors, Inc.
Lithia Motors, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Domestic, Import, and Luxury. It offers new and used vehicles; vehicle financing services; warranties, insurance contracts, and vehicle and theft protection services; and automotive repair and maintenance services, as well as sells vehicle body and parts under the Driveway and GreenCars brand names. As of February 18, 2022, the company operated through 278 stores. It also offers its products online through 300 websites. Lithia Motors, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Medford, Oregon.
- CEO
- Bryan DeBoer
- Employees
- 30K
- Beta
- 1.18
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($109.34 ÷ $290.90) − 1 = -62.41% (DCF, example).