US · ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
- Headquarters
- Indianapolis, IN 46222-3271
- Website
- allisontransmission.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$131.23
Market cap 10.43B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $142.34 | +8.47% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $73.67 | -43.86% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $18.36 | -86.01% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $13.48 | -89.73% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $19.54 | ||||
| 2012 | $18.87 | $36.67 | $1.23 | $8.23 | $20.30 |
| 2013 | $24.58 | $35.82 | $1.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $26.14 | $39.21 | $1.56 | $0.00 | $22.96 |
| 2015 | $21.75 | $34.57 | $2.55 | $0.00 | $1.88 |
| 2016 | $31.35 | $40.02 | $2.83 | $0.00 | $1.35 |
| 2017 | $34.92 | $50.17 | $26.89 | $0.00 | $101.84 |
| 2018 | $41.53 | $65.53 | $65.84 | $5.37 | $131.12 |
| 2019 | $34.95 | $63.09 | $38.12 | $5.45 | $37.41 |
| 2020 | $39.43 | $50.23 | $10.05 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $36.77 | $57.58 | $20.88 | $0.00 | $94.44 |
| 2022 | $44.11 | $68.18 | $31.21 | $2.65 | $125.39 |
| 2023 | $72.57 | $96.59 | $80.71 | $14.19 | $129.46 |
| 2024 | $96.85 | $123.98 | $82.17 | $22.14 | $118.14 |
| 2025 | $126.91 | $142.34 | $48.32 | $18.36 | $13.48 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.'s (ALSN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $142.34
- Current price
- $131.23
- AI upside
- +8.47%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$73.67
-43.86% upside
Graham-Dodd
$18.36
-86.01% upside
Graham Formula
$13.48
-89.73% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Hold… | $131.23 | 10.43B | +8% | -44% | -86% | -90% | 17.11 | 5.71 | 3.54 | 11.78 | — | -10.64 | 48.37% | 32.33% | 20.70% | 35.42% | 22.91% | 10.91% | 1.56 | 9.93 | 4.85 | 3.97 | 1.39 | -1179.00% | -667.00% | -137.00% | 6.09% | 1.79 | 19.72% | 0.85% | 14.60% | 5.93% | 12.42 | 18.62 | 4.02 | 2.88 |
| ADNT | Adient plc | $24.32 | 1.92B | -36% | -53% | — | — | -5.47 | 0.87 | 0.11 | 6.79 | — | -4.27 | 6.61% | 3.02% | -1.93% | -14.41% | 12.91% | -3.07% | 1.36 | 2.14 | 1.12 | 0.77 | 3.29 | -179500.00% | -104.00% | -2635.00% | 13.27% | 0.12 | 6.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.50% | 6.78 | 14.59 | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | $118.52 | 9B | -19% | -47% | -86% | -3% | 12.19 | 3.48 | 0.83 | 7.22 | 63.98 | 7.56 | 19.18% | 10.08% | 6.80% | 30.32% | 19.32% | 8.94% | 0.95 | 10.58 | 1.05 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 1905.00% | 409.00% | 4896.00% | 7.98% | 0.29 | 16.98% | 2.66% | 32.40% | 6.57% | 9.91 | 15.10 | 1.00 | 2.58 |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | $73.54 | 15.89B | -11% | -61% | -67% | -88% | 88.39 | 1.74 | 0.78 | 9.96 | — | 6.14 | 19.11% | 5.80% | 0.81% | 2.01% | 3.00% | 0.77% | 0.88 | 3.28 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 2.80 | -8922.00% | 347.00% | -538.00% | 9.56% | 0.43 | 9.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.18% | 18.78 | 14.55 | 1.09 | 2.29 |
| AXL | American Axle & Manufactu… | $8.62 | 1.02B | +234% | -78% | -44% | -69% | 15.69 | 0.98 | 0.09 | 3.79 | — | -8.33 | 12.10% | 3.94% | 0.57% | 5.99% | 4.63% | 0.67% | 4.86 | 1.30 | 1.63 | 1.07 | 3.03 | -20000.00% | 75.00% | 139.00% | 37.21% | 0.39 | 7.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 51.56% | 11.32 | 13.38 | 0.45 | 1.55 |
| BWA | BorgWarner Inc. | $57.57 | 12.32B | -14% | -54% | -76% | -79% | 43.73 | 2.23 | 0.85 | 6.67 | — | 4.05 | 18.71% | 9.62% | 1.93% | 5.05% | 11.67% | 2.00% | 0.77 | 11.20 | 2.07 | 1.61 | 0.89 | -1467.00% | 165.00% | 7313.00% | 9.73% | 0.50 | 15.63% | 0.98% | 43.00% | 8.34% | 10.15 | 11.86 | 0.98 | 3.24 |
| DAN | Dana Incorporated | $34.24 | 4.83B | -12% | -60% | — | — | -146.20 | — | 0.64 | — | — | — | 8.03% | -0.71% | -0.44% | -4.95% | -3.23% | -0.83% | — | -0.29 | — | — | — | -3846.00% | -2707.00% | 6429.00% | 2.38% | — | 7.01% | 1.12% | -163.60% | 74.45% | -82.18 | 37.88 | 0.58 | — |
| DORM | Dorman Products, Inc. | $117.86 | 3.6B | +38% | -60% | -49% | -22% | 17.46 | 2.41 | 1.67 | 11.53 | 214.43 | 4.28 | 41.13% | 16.79% | 9.59% | 14.74% | 13.70% | 8.30% | 0.43 | 12.52 | 3.09 | 1.07 | 1.62 | 814.00% | 603.00% | -6051.00% | 2.12% | 0.23 | 3.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.14% | 11.60 | 54.84 | 1.95 | 4.68 |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding Corp. | $16.84 | 703.93M | +1,371% | -58% | — | — | -1.34 | 1.09 | 0.50 | -1.62 | — | 1.25 | 30.21% | -35.64% | -37.11% | -58.22% | -39.70% | -27.91% | 0.04 | -9.74 | 2.86 | 0.96 | 0.07 | -825000.00% | 527.00% | -6930.00% | 3.69% | 0.23 | 2.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 93.45% | -1.34 | 25.94 | 0.48 | 0.91 |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | $23.40 | 5.12B | +45% | +16% | -52% | +30% | 13.30 | 2.06 | 2.02 | 8.77 | — | 2.63 | 34.20% | 19.16% | 15.19% | 15.52% | 17.81% | 13.52% | 0.00 | — | 2.91 | 1.34 | -0.26 | -114.00% | 955.00% | 2956.00% | 8.96% | 1.51 | 20.14% | 2.09% | 27.80% | 8.26% | 10.22 | 10.84 | 1.96 | 8.73 |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | $131.25 | 6.98B | -17% | -61% | -58% | -51% | 12.97 | 1.36 | 0.29 | 13.63 | — | 2.17 | 6.47% | 3.34% | 1.88% | 11.11% | 7.78% | 3.65% | 0.81 | 7.71 | 1.35 | 0.87 | 4.23 | -914.00% | -18.00% | -609.00% | 7.71% | 0.19 | 6.77% | 2.41% | 31.30% | 7.17% | 12.73 | 18.77 | 0.43 | 2.91 |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | $33.11 | 8.48B | +32% | -60% | — | -62% | 13.80 | 1.28 | 0.60 | 9.02 | — | 164.48 | 38.03% | 7.81% | 4.36% | 9.69% | 7.15% | 4.04% | 0.77 | 4.85 | 1.67 | 0.49 | 3.26 | -1065.00% | -306.00% | 457.00% | 10.10% | 0.34 | 7.47% | 3.70% | 51.00% | 13.14% | 12.08 | 15.50 | 0.94 | 2.64 |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | $63.05 | 17.77B | -23% | -60% | -67% | -62% | 21.10 | 1.43 | 0.42 | 6.39 | — | 1.88 | 10.31% | 5.02% | 1.97% | 7.03% | 7.94% | 2.70% | 0.67 | 10.10 | 1.25 | 0.84 | 1.75 | -1506.00% | -21.00% | 2481.00% | 10.21% | 0.33 | 9.95% | 3.11% | 65.60% | 3.92% | 11.42 | 13.49 | 0.57 | 2.71 |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | $95.67 | 2.61B | -1% | -42% | -14% | -56% | 12.19 | 1.66 | 0.69 | 5.24 | — | 1.93 | 14.12% | 8.76% | 5.33% | 15.23% | 17.56% | 6.82% | 0.34 | 82.50 | 1.80 | 1.40 | -0.51 | -2587.00% | -253.00% | -448.00% | 10.67% | 0.41 | 23.39% | 0.58% | 7.00% | 4.08% | 7.17 | 8.54 | 0.63 | 3.79 |
About Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells commercial and defense fully-automatic transmissions for medium-and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, and medium-and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles worldwide. It offers transmissions for various applications, including distribution, refuse, construction, fire, and emergency on-highway trucks; school and transit buses; motor homes; energy, mining, and construction off-highway vehicles and equipment; and wheeled and tracked defense vehicles. The company markets its transmissions under the Allison Transmission brand name; and remanufactured transmissions under the ReTran brand name. It also sells branded replacement parts, support equipment, aluminum die cast components, and other products necessary to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its transmissions, as well as defense kits, engineering services, and extended transmission coverage services to various original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the U.S. government. The company serves customers through an independent network of approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations. The company was formerly known as Clutch Holdings, Inc. Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
- CEO
- David S. Graziosi
- Employees
- 4K
- Beta
- 0.98
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($73.67 ÷ $131.23) − 1 = -43.86% (DCF, example).