US · PAG
Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
- Headquarters
- Bloomfield Hills, MI 48302-0954
- Website
- penskeautomotive.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$169.84
Market cap 10.37B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $134.51 | -20.8% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $62.70 | -63.08% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $154.95 | -8.77% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $174.35 | +2.66% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $17.54 | $11.10 | $0.00 | $8.64 | $30.21 |
| 2012 | $23.64 | $9.46 | $3.34 | $7.16 | $44.21 |
| 2013 | $34.28 | $26.16 | $174.33 | $8.24 | $53.01 |
| 2014 | $37.87 | $37.23 | $1,191.12 | $8.83 | $82.03 |
| 2015 | $31.67 | $40.53 | $1,130.07 | $9.29 | $71.96 |
| 2016 | $39.01 | $45.65 | $519.52 | $8.72 | $49.34 |
| 2017 | $38.97 | $47.24 | $26.03 | $25.33 | $101.78 |
| 2018 | $35.64 | $49.96 | $1.80 | $16.36 | $79.85 |
| 2019 | $38.80 | $58.39 | $0.00 | $13.33 | $52.05 |
| 2020 | $75.40 | $57.99 | $0.00 | $38.10 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $91.65 | $86.75 | $0.00 | $72.11 | $477.56 |
| 2022 | $130.96 | $116.12 | $0.00 | $88.47 | $306.96 |
| 2023 | $143.38 | $124.08 | $131.29 | $72.40 | $217.89 |
| 2024 | $163.81 | $147.05 | $0.00 | $49.58 | $153.72 |
| 2025 | $156.75 | $134.51 | $0.00 | $154.95 | $174.35 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s (PAG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $134.51
- Current price
- $169.84
- AI upside
- -20.8%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$62.70
-63.08% upside
Graham-Dodd
$154.95
-8.77% upside
Graham Formula
$174.35
+2.66% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $169.84 | 10.37B | -21% | -63% | -9% | +3% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | $118.52 | 9B | -19% | -47% | -86% | -3% | 12.19 | 3.48 | 0.83 | 7.22 | 63.98 | 7.56 | 19.18% | 10.08% | 6.80% | 30.32% | 19.32% | 8.94% | 0.95 | 10.58 | 1.05 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 1905.00% | 409.00% | 4896.00% | 7.98% | 0.29 | 16.98% | 2.66% | 32.40% | 6.57% | 9.91 | 15.10 | 1.00 | 2.58 |
| AN | AutoNation, Inc. | $195.16 | 6.77B | +16% | -60% | -44% | -2% | 11.33 | 3.14 | 0.27 | 11.62 | 1597.64 | -75.74 | 17.00% | 4.83% | 2.35% | 27.05% | 8.35% | 4.74% | 4.35 | 3.62 | 0.84 | 0.18 | 6.73 | 71.00% | 324.00% | 133116.00% | -2.69% | 0.02 | -1.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.76% | 13.09 | -88.51 | 0.63 | 3.10 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $114.60 | 13.22B | -49% | -50% | -94% | -29% | 18.23 | 4.46 | 1.08 | 9.22 | 22.86 | -12.00 | 18.34% | 13.23% | 5.94% | 25.51% | 15.17% | 5.22% | 1.99 | 4.11 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 2.58 | 7972.00% | 478.00% | 3916.00% | 8.21% | 0.35 | 13.42% | 0.90% | 16.30% | 6.21% | 11.36 | 16.92 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | $325.74 | 4.11B | +6% | -61% | -57% | +59% | 12.71 | 1.48 | 0.18 | 11.66 | — | -11.82 | 15.51% | 4.23% | 1.42% | 11.29% | 8.18% | 3.22% | 2.10 | 3.36 | 1.08 | 0.20 | 6.82 | -3128.00% | 1323.00% | 2441.00% | 10.27% | 0.20 | 5.05% | 0.62% | 7.90% | 14.05% | 10.44 | 23.49 | 0.44 | 3.44 |
| KMX | CarMax, Inc. | $43.17 | 6.34B | +155% | -39% | +28% | -39% | 20.51 | 1.64 | 0.36 | 27.03 | 326.03 | 1.68 | 11.43% | 2.80% | 1.77% | 8.13% | 2.35% | 1.83% | 3.11 | 7.31 | 2.31 | 0.20 | 17.61 | 629.00% | -2.00% | -243931.00% | 1.52% | 0.28 | 0.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.17% | 37.32 | 188.16 | 1.04 | 1.76 |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | $279.58 | 6.78B | +29% | -61% | +39% | +38% | 8.41 | 1.05 | 0.18 | 11.36 | 95.14 | 5.05 | 14.54% | 4.06% | 2.18% | 12.43% | 5.55% | 3.42% | 2.22 | 3.04 | 1.17 | 0.22 | 7.65 | 884.00% | 400.00% | 16038.00% | 2.76% | 0.08 | 0.93% | 0.80% | 6.70% | 14.64% | 13.92 | 110.94 | 0.57 | 1.98 |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | $33.11 | 8.48B | +32% | -60% | — | -62% | 13.80 | 1.28 | 0.60 | 9.02 | — | 164.48 | 38.03% | 7.81% | 4.36% | 9.69% | 7.15% | 4.04% | 0.77 | 4.85 | 1.67 | 0.49 | 3.26 | -1065.00% | -306.00% | 457.00% | 10.10% | 0.34 | 7.47% | 3.70% | 51.00% | 13.14% | 12.08 | 15.50 | 0.94 | 2.64 |
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Inc. | $8.46 | 6.88B | +243% | -50% | -75% | — | -17.28 | 0.57 | 3.58 | 35.26 | — | 2.69 | 47.73% | -23.23% | -20.70% | -3.27% | -4.24% | -3.13% | 0.00 | — | 6.10 | 4.84 | -13.11 | -8743.00% | 1451.00% | 6395.00% | 7.72% | 1.48 | 5.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.27% | -11.22 | 9.44 | 2.61 | 6.50 |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Hol… | $24.79 | 11.29B | +91% | +516% | -46% | +56% | 9.59 | 6.13 | 0.92 | 9.01 | 2.49 | 11.06 | 39.99% | 15.46% | 9.60% | 105.46% | 10.07% | 4.61% | 9.76 | 1.96 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 5.50 | 38462.00% | 1087.00% | -21265.00% | 9.61% | 0.35 | 5.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.29% | 15.32 | 26.77 | 2.37 | 0.29 |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $182.87 | 12.15B | -55% | -61% | -96% | -43% | 28.84 | 8.18 | 2.03 | 19.93 | — | 9.95 | 12.42% | 8.55% | 6.90% | 29.39% | 16.72% | 12.29% | 1.29 | — | 0.50 | 0.15 | 2.55 | -572.00% | 939.00% | 8284.00% | 6.11% | 0.80 | 28.19% | 1.51% | 43.50% | 2.77% | 27.26 | 18.77 | 2.33 | 5.44 |
About Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships. The company operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. It operates dealerships under franchise agreements with various automotive manufacturers and distributors. The company engages in the sale of new and used motor vehicles, and related products and services comprise vehicle and collision repair services, as well as placement of finance and lease contracts, third-party insurance products, and other aftermarket products; and wholesale of parts. It also operates a heavy and medium duty truck dealership, which offers Freightliner and Western Star branded trucks, as well as a range of used trucks, and maintenance and repair services. In addition, it imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium duty trucks, buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles with associated parts in Australia, New Zealand, and portions of the Pacific. Further, the company distributes diesel and gas engines, and power systems. The company operates 320 retail automotive franchises, including 146 franchises located in the United States and 174 franchises located outside of the United States; 23 CarShop used vehicle dealerships in the United States and the United Kingdom; and 37 commercial truck dealerships in Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Georgia, Utah, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri, and Oregon, as well as Canada. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
- CEO
- Roger S. Penske
- Employees
- 28.7K
- Beta
- 0.90
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($62.70 ÷ $169.84) − 1 = -63.08% (DCF, example).