US · MGEE
MGE Energy, Inc.
- Sector
- Utilities · Diversified Utilities
- Headquarters
- Madison, WI 53788
- Website
- mgeenergy.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$80.60
Market cap 3B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $66.19 | -17.88% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.83 | -58.03% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $26.54 | -67.07% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $65.11 | -19.22% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $21.53 | $12.89 | $1.37 | $9.53 | $18.66 |
| 2012 | $27.35 | $12.70 | $1.24 | $10.45 | $13.34 |
| 2013 | $29.56 | $17.34 | $0.88 | $12.56 | $36.58 |
| 2014 | $33.49 | $17.98 | $1.96 | $13.98 | $29.92 |
| 2015 | $40.86 | $18.13 | $3.06 | $12.88 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $50.97 | $23.35 | $4.48 | $13.71 | $10.63 |
| 2017 | $45.71 | $23.81 | $5.81 | $17.62 | $32.05 |
| 2018 | $55.36 | $37.70 | $4.29 | $12.26 | $18.36 |
| 2019 | $65.28 | $34.85 | $3.57 | $16.51 | $24.21 |
| 2020 | $64.77 | $34.26 | $5.37 | $18.59 | $7.70 |
| 2021 | $69.26 | $37.08 | $2.05 | $20.31 | $59.02 |
| 2022 | $65.14 | $32.79 | $0.73 | $21.40 | $77.18 |
| 2023 | $77.54 | $42.36 | $0.66 | $22.75 | $15.88 |
| 2024 | $88.00 | $54.95 | $0.00 | $24.28 | $20.70 |
| 2025 | $81.85 | $66.19 | $2.96 | $26.54 | $65.11 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MGE Energy, Inc.'s (MGEE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $66.19
- Current price
- $80.60
- AI upside
- -17.88%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.83
-58.03% upside
Graham-Dodd
$26.54
-67.07% upside
Graham Formula
$65.11
-19.22% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MGEE | MGE Energy, Inc. | $80.60 | 3B | -18% | -58% | -67% | -19% | 22.01 | 2.29 | 4.02 | 12.47 | 187.89 | 2.29 | 97.31% | 22.95% | 18.27% | 10.72% | 7.20% | 4.54% | 0.62 | 5.05 | 0.78 | 0.39 | 2.66 | 1171.00% | 985.00% | -29576.00% | -2.67% | 0.90 | -3.89% | 2.26% | 49.70% | 2.26% | 22.28 | -47.53 | 5.11 | 1.73 |
| ALE | ALLETE, Inc. | $67.90 | 3.94B | -33% | -62% | -67% | — | 30.26 | 1.29 | 2.41 | 11.19 | — | 1.37 | 32.49% | 10.47% | 11.72% | 4.30% | 3.37% | 1.65% | 0.64 | 1.96 | 1.08 | 0.50 | 3.61 | -2794.00% | -1862.00% | -6746.00% | 2.77% | 1.13 | 2.24% | 4.42% | 133.80% | 4.42% | 33.98 | 53.23 | 3.56 | 1.03 |
| AVA | Avista Corporation | $40.62 | 3.31B | -31% | -61% | -62% | -44% | 16.75 | 1.19 | 1.65 | 9.98 | 381.87 | 1.22 | 24.19% | 18.02% | 9.83% | 7.28% | 5.39% | 2.33% | 1.22 | 2.39 | 20.25 | 7.72 | 5.04 | 439.00% | 134.00% | -1020000.00% | -3.12% | 13.03 | -1.73% | 4.92% | 82.40% | 4.92% | 18.44 | -64.65 | 3.32 | 30.44 |
| AWR | American States Water Com… | $74.53 | 2.89B | -24% | -57% | -80% | -17% | 22.18 | 2.76 | 4.38 | 15.10 | 351.56 | 2.76 | 50.77% | 30.89% | 19.82% | 13.23% | 8.22% | 4.98% | 0.90 | 4.35 | 1.32 | 0.96 | 3.66 | 631.00% | 1052.00% | -7866.00% | -0.25% | 1.32 | -0.37% | 2.59% | 57.40% | 2.59% | 18.73 | -536.82 | 5.79 | 1.87 |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities Corp… | $135.97 | 3.22B | -8% | -49% | -72% | +13% | 22.87 | 2.01 | 3.45 | 12.98 | 169.46 | 2.98 | 31.62% | 27.70% | 15.09% | 9.39% | 6.13% | 3.68% | 1.02 | 3.54 | 0.45 | 0.29 | 4.38 | 1350.00% | 1814.00% | 8542.00% | -6.70% | 0.44 | -7.04% | 1.89% | 43.30% | 1.89% | 18.81 | -22.55 | 5.21 | 1.36 |
| CWT | California Water Service … | $45.08 | 2.69B | -32% | -56% | -56% | -78% | 21.15 | 1.60 | 2.70 | 7.41 | — | 1.63 | 36.74% | 18.16% | 12.82% | 7.68% | 6.83% | 2.36% | 0.00 | 2.72 | 0.85 | 0.12 | -0.14 | -3385.00% | -354.00% | -26815.00% | 11.19% | 0.72 | 13.08% | 2.73% | 57.80% | 54.37% | 14.62 | 8.77 | 2.65 | 0.86 |
| EE | Excelerate Energy, Inc. | $40.25 | 1.29B | +62,142% | -22% | -57% | +64% | 0.01 | 1.84 | 1.02 | 2.59 | 0.95 | 14.22 | 32.19% | 24.50% | 3.19% | 28538.84% | 46.24% | 4761.96% | 0.54 | 3.20 | 2.43 | 2.00 | -0.41 | 79.00% | 4426.00% | 22724030.00% | 23769.36% | 1487.49 | 53479.08% | 0.68% | 0.00% | 27.09% | 3.60 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industr… | $15.49 | 2.67B | +79% | +220% | -34% | -81% | 16.08 | 1.72 | 0.89 | 14.55 | — | 1.72 | 7.62% | 7.62% | 3.99% | 11.00% | 6.06% | 3.15% | 0.42 | 2.09 | 0.56 | 4.34 | 2.82 | -10632.00% | -413.00% | -2843.00% | 3.53% | 3.78 | 3.32% | 1.09% | 17.50% | 52.71% | 14.55 | 35.10 | 1.11 | 6.00 |
| NWE | Northwestern Energy Group… | $69.96 | 4.3B | +2% | -55% | -77% | -40% | 23.71 | 1.49 | 2.67 | 12.89 | — | 1.71 | 82.31% | 20.23% | 11.24% | 6.31% | 5.19% | 2.20% | 1.14 | 2.17 | 0.72 | 0.31 | 5.58 | -1945.00% | 638.00% | -877.00% | -3.03% | 0.57 | -2.15% | 3.76% | 89.10% | 3.76% | 23.24 | -58.25 | 4.70 | 0.90 |
| OTTR | Otter Tail Corporation | $85.10 | 3.57B | -25% | -42% | -47% | -52% | 13.00 | 1.93 | 2.75 | 9.17 | — | 1.97 | 27.81% | 26.51% | 21.16% | 15.63% | 12.05% | 7.24% | 0.59 | 7.32 | 2.28 | 1.67 | 1.55 | -865.00% | -199.00% | 408.00% | 2.73% | 1.10 | 3.99% | 2.45% | 31.90% | 2.49% | 12.30 | 43.41 | 3.26 | 2.21 |
| RNW | ReNew Energy Global Plc | $5.52 | 2.01B | +102% | -43% | -33% | -42% | 22.10 | 1.97 | 2.29 | 10.76 | 219.27 | 2.90 | 91.15% | 53.48% | 3.93% | 9.21% | 3.29% | 1.09% | 6.50 | 86.76 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 8.53 | 1008.00% | 1936.00% | -6927.00% | -11.77% | 0.34 | -3.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.81 | -33.45 | 8.99 | 0.26 |
About MGE Energy, Inc.
MGE Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a public utility holding company primarily in Wisconsin. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility Operations; Regulated Gas Utility Operations; Nonregulated Energy Operations; Transmission Investments; and All Other. The company generates, purchases, and distributes electricity; owns or leases electric generation facilities located in Wisconsin and Iowa; and plans, constructs, operates, maintains, and expands transmission facilities to provide transmission services. It also generates electricity from coal-fired, gas-fired, and renewable energy sources, as well as purchases power under short and long-term commitments. As of December 31, 2021, the company generated and distributed electricity to 159,000 customers in Dane County, Wisconsin; and purchased and distributed natural gas to 169,000 customers in seven Wisconsin counties. MGE Energy, Inc.is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.
- CEO
- Jeffrey Keebler
- Employees
- 717
- Beta
- 0.81
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.83 ÷ $80.60) − 1 = -58.03% (DCF, example).