US · OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
- Headquarters
- Harrisburg, PA 17112
- Website
- ollies.us
Price · as of 2025-01-31
$85.61
Market cap 6.57B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $97.32 | +13.68% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $67.21 | -21.49% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $36.67 | -57.17% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $51.40 | -39.96% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $12.82 | |||
| 2016 | $25.20 | $39.13 | $79.14 | $0.00 | $17.77 |
| 2017 | $33.60 | $50.30 | $73.86 | $8.40 | $24.04 |
| 2018 | $60.20 | $71.79 | $135.39 | $16.13 | $58.68 |
| 2019 | $90.64 | $71.35 | $100.66 | $17.81 | $46.47 |
| 2020 | $54.64 | $63.50 | $56.79 | $20.88 | $46.77 |
| 2021 | $88.84 | $81.11 | $242.61 | $32.49 | $132.30 |
| 2022 | $51.19 | $65.20 | $0.00 | $25.29 | $12.85 |
| 2023 | $58.19 | $46.80 | $0.00 | $22.90 | $19.98 |
| 2024 | $71.52 | $63.92 | $0.00 | $31.92 | $66.06 |
| 2025 | $114.42 | $97.32 | $0.00 | $36.67 | $51.40 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s (OLLI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $97.32
- Current price
- $85.61
- AI upside
- +13.68%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$67.21
-21.49% upside
Graham-Dodd
$36.67
-57.17% upside
Graham Formula
$51.40
-39.96% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet Ho… | $85.61 | 6.57B | +14% | -21% | -57% | -40% | 35.13 | 4.14 | 3.09 | 24.38 | 330.94 | 6.88 | 40.25% | 10.98% | 8.79% | 12.47% | 10.79% | 8.23% | 0.33 | — | 3.27 | 1.42 | 1.23 | 1062.00% | 804.00% | -1783.00% | 1.52% | 0.75 | 6.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 28.68 | 66.93 | 3.15 | 7.14 |
| CAG | Conagra Brands, Inc. | $19.25 | 9.21B | +75% | -57% | — | -41% | 7.25 | 0.94 | 0.72 | 8.32 | 3.09 | -2.09 | 25.86% | 11.75% | 9.92% | 13.27% | 8.02% | 5.51% | 0.90 | 3.27 | 0.71 | 0.19 | 4.07 | 23472.00% | -364.00% | -1996.00% | 15.59% | 0.39 | 7.68% | 8.01% | 58.10% | 15.20% | 11.98 | 12.55 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| CPB | Campbell Soup Company | $26.95 | 8.03B | +34% | -48% | — | +7% | 14.82 | 2.29 | 0.87 | 10.16 | 233.42 | -1.64 | 30.42% | 13.20% | 5.87% | 15.64% | 9.21% | 4.00% | 1.85 | 3.92 | 0.77 | 0.25 | 4.50 | 635.00% | 640.00% | 554.00% | 7.90% | 0.39 | 6.35% | 5.14% | 76.20% | 9.81% | 11.83 | 22.70 | 1.56 | 1.86 |
| ELF | e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | $92.05 | 5.49B | +15% | +2,077% | -81% | -24% | 59.00 | 8.69 | 5.04 | 32.86 | — | 31.11 | 71.24% | 12.03% | 8.53% | 15.97% | 13.91% | 9.43% | 0.41 | 9.20 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 0.80 | -1312.00% | 2828.00% | 8453.00% | 1.74% | 0.76 | 13.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.29% | 42.89 | 58.78 | 5.16 | 9.76 |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | $117.46 | 7.46B | -5% | -60% | -36% | -47% | 10.30 | 1.73 | 1.04 | 6.70 | 68.04 | 2.45 | 25.32% | 14.03% | 10.10% | 17.78% | 15.33% | 9.50% | 0.41 | 27.38 | 2.66 | 1.69 | 0.62 | 1514.00% | -284.00% | -5498.00% | 6.80% | 0.72 | 10.23% | 2.81% | 28.90% | 9.49% | 8.16 | 16.18 | 1.15 | 3.94 |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc… | $48.19 | 6.72B | -31% | -54% | — | -59% | 22.01 | 4.53 | 1.22 | 11.14 | — | 24.21 | 21.68% | 10.31% | 5.54% | 20.26% | 8.34% | 4.84% | 2.39 | 3.69 | 1.38 | 0.58 | 3.81 | -4980.00% | -25.00% | -27525.00% | 2.93% | 0.59 | 4.04% | 2.63% | 57.90% | 6.38% | 17.96 | 51.92 | 1.85 | 2.63 |
| PSMT | PriceSmart, Inc. | $154.62 | 4.76B | -54% | -36% | -71% | -53% | 24.11 | 2.80 | 0.66 | 11.42 | 440.70 | 2.90 | 17.35% | 4.48% | 2.75% | 12.23% | 14.10% | 6.75% | 0.26 | 20.50 | 1.34 | 0.52 | 0.25 | 547.00% | 725.00% | 16425.00% | 2.95% | 0.36 | 8.60% | 1.11% | 26.70% | 2.65% | 14.81 | 33.89 | 0.66 | 5.46 |
| SFD | SMITHFIELD FOODS INC | $24.88 | 9.78B | +83% | -67% | -60% | -60% | 10.72 | 1.47 | 0.60 | 6.80 | 0.19 | 2.90 | 13.41% | 7.91% | 6.74% | 12.21% | 10.26% | 6.55% | 0.40 | 16.94 | 2.46 | 0.88 | 0.97 | 550185.00% | -340.00% | 2433.00% | 9.20% | 0.67 | 9.68% | 3.37% | 36.10% | 7.59% | 8.92 | 12.67 | 0.71 | 3.31 |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market, I… | $73.87 | 7.19B | +59% | +5% | -50% | +56% | 13.80 | 5.15 | 0.82 | 8.95 | 33.18 | 8.89 | 37.09% | 7.85% | 5.95% | 38.43% | 18.04% | 13.43% | 1.39 | 259.93 | 0.93 | 0.37 | 1.69 | 4160.00% | 1408.00% | 1275.00% | 6.47% | 0.82 | 16.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.53% | 12.90 | 19.06 | 1.01 | 4.41 |
| TAL | TAL Education Group | $10.53 | 711.97M | +712% | +3,172% | +487% | +575% | 7.57 | 0.17 | 0.28 | -14.35 | — | 0.18 | 53.34% | -0.33% | 3.76% | 2.27% | -0.94% | 1.62% | 0.09 | — | 2.86 | 2.58 | -8.82 | -247288.00% | 5098.00% | 5452.00% | 44.78% | 0.28 | 52.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.06% | 358.34 | -9.27 | -1.18 | 1.05 |
| TAP | Molson Coors Beverage Com… | $48.99 | 9.67B | -60% | -60% | — | — | -4.35 | 0.93 | 0.85 | -9.24 | — | -2.56 | 37.58% | -21.01% | -19.21% | -18.70% | -11.94% | -8.93% | 0.62 | -10.38 | 0.55 | 0.30 | -3.35 | -30280.00% | -418.00% | -1362.00% | 11.26% | 0.34 | 6.29% | 3.97% | -17.30% | 10.80% | -6.36 | 13.94 | 1.34 | 0.84 |
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It provides its products primarily under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home names. As of August 3, 2022, it operated 450 stores in 29 states throughout half of the United States. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
- CEO
- Eric van der Valk
- Employees
- 5.9K
- Beta
- 0.53
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($67.21 ÷ $85.61) − 1 = -21.49% (DCF, example).