US · SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Seattle, WA 98134
- Website
- starbucks.com
Price · as of 2025-09-28
$105.90
Market cap 111.67B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $53.98 | -49.03% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.83 | -68.05% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $17.60 | -83.38% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $16.78 | $37.35 | $2.62 | $3.00 | $14.22 |
| 2012 | $20.78 | $37.29 | $7.81 | $2.62 | $19.34 |
| 2013 | $31.38 | $34.96 | $2.17 | $0.00 | $0.11 |
| 2014 | $33.30 | $34.08 | $34.27 | $2.01 | $25.21 |
| 2015 | $48.29 | $47.18 | $74.30 | $2.76 | $44.58 |
| 2016 | $48.13 | $46.87 | $95.23 | $0.40 | $36.35 |
| 2017 | $48.91 | $46.44 | $66.71 | $0.00 | $26.02 |
| 2018 | $55.90 | $64.22 | $40.40 | $0.00 | $59.08 |
| 2019 | $75.08 | $58.68 | $9.28 | $0.00 | $44.26 |
| 2020 | $91.44 | $51.20 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $105.34 | $70.45 | $0.95 | $0.00 | $109.49 |
| 2022 | $94.04 | $62.26 | $1.23 | $0.00 | $53.07 |
| 2023 | $91.13 | $65.32 | $34.07 | $0.00 | $69.15 |
| 2024 | $96.90 | $63.62 | $1.64 | $0.00 | $28.78 |
| 2025 | $84.57 | $53.98 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $17.60 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Starbucks Corporation's (SBUX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $53.98
- Current price
- $105.90
- AI upside
- -49.03%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.83
-68.05% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$17.60
-83.38% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SBUX | Starbucks Corporation | $105.90 | 111.67B | -49% | -68% | — | -83% | 51.92 | -11.91 | 2.59 | 22.22 | — | -8.29 | 24.15% | 9.63% | 4.99% | -23.89% | 14.13% | 5.86% | -3.29 | 6.60 | 0.72 | 0.46 | 4.35 | -5076.00% | 279.00% | -2640.00% | 2.53% | 0.46 | 16.36% | 2.87% | 149.30% | 2.87% | 33.38 | 48.95 | 3.21 | 2.50 |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | $135.11 | 81B | 0% | -28% | -76% | -46% | 32.53 | 9.96 | 6.67 | 28.59 | — | 11.00 | 82.96% | 20.78% | 20.51% | 30.23% | -623.69% | 11.63% | 0.25 | — | 1.38 | 1.33 | -1.77 | -195.00% | 1026.00% | 283.00% | 5.69% | 0.34 | -1422.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.64% | 28.59 | 15.66 | 5.94 | 4.36 |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, I… | $37.22 | 49.21B | +11% | -60% | -79% | -59% | 31.95 | 17.33 | 4.11 | 24.41 | 1182.13 | 17.47 | 22.35% | 16.84% | 12.88% | 47.36% | 16.68% | 16.88% | 3.48 | — | 1.23 | 1.09 | 4.01 | 270.00% | 541.00% | -423.00% | 2.95% | 1.78 | 15.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 28.81 | 39.97 | 4.85 | 6.97 |
| CVNA | Carvana Co. | $334.16 | 72.45B | -49% | +2,169% | -77% | +67% | 23.47 | 12.92 | 2.19 | 19.81 | 5.44 | 13.14 | 20.63% | 9.26% | 6.92% | 80.62% | 21.89% | 17.48% | 0.18 | 3.72 | 4.31 | 1.69 | -0.78 | 43145.00% | 4863.00% | 750.00% | 2.00% | 0.68 | 25.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.55% | 22.74 | 48.12 | 2.10 | 5.43 |
| MAR | Marriott International, I… | $341.73 | 90.55B | -30% | -59% | — | -65% | 34.11 | -23.53 | 3.39 | 23.50 | 244.98 | -3.86 | 21.34% | 15.81% | 9.93% | -76.92% | 25.59% | 9.68% | -4.53 | 5.12 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 3.73 | 1393.00% | 433.00% | 3047.00% | 2.94% | 0.38 | 21.03% | 0.81% | 27.60% | 4.53% | 25.47 | 40.44 | 4.03 | 3.87 |
| MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. | $1,757.58 | 89.1B | -38% | +2,567% | -81% | +2% | 45.11 | 13.35 | 3.12 | 26.73 | 1000.16 | 13.75 | 44.50% | 11.08% | 6.91% | 35.99% | 23.32% | 5.89% | 1.69 | 21.63 | 1.17 | 0.47 | 2.17 | 451.00% | 3906.00% | 5264.00% | 11.96% | 0.42 | 111.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.73 | 8.84 | 3.29 | 2.76 |
| NKE | NIKE, Inc. | $62.18 | 91.89B | -9% | -51% | — | — | 33.83 | 8.24 | 2.35 | 24.56 | — | 8.57 | 42.73% | 7.99% | 6.95% | 23.29% | 20.53% | 8.62% | 0.83 | 12.81 | 2.21 | 1.31 | 0.79 | -4209.00% | -984.00% | -5061.00% | 3.00% | 0.35 | 21.87% | 2.11% | 71.50% | 4.85% | 29.92 | 33.89 | 2.39 | 4.79 |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $93.88 | 79.24B | -9% | -56% | -86% | -55% | 31.88 | -106.00 | 4.55 | 22.97 | 332.28 | -47.28 | 51.59% | 19.46% | 14.27% | -237.85% | 33.91% | 16.15% | -13.79 | 14.72 | 0.77 | 0.08 | 2.60 | 959.00% | 642.00% | -2137.00% | 1.97% | 0.31 | 19.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.59% | 26.37 | 57.27 | 5.13 | 4.23 |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | $379.92 | 67.35B | -25% | -47% | — | -59% | 19.64 | 14.17 | 7.75 | 23.71 | 332.33 | 37.32 | 51.68% | 29.53% | 22.35% | 75.74% | 31.51% | 29.47% | 0.74 | 51.25 | 2.02 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 591.00% | 703.00% | 18350.00% | 4.80% | 1.75 | 51.19% | 1.92% | 37.80% | 4.69% | 26.87 | 21.33 | 7.93 | 7.58 |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises L… | $310.96 | 84.8B | -44% | +40% | -68% | -16% | 19.00 | 8.12 | 4.55 | 14.94 | 44.51 | 8.83 | 46.84% | 27.37% | 23.82% | 48.76% | 16.38% | 10.91% | 2.26 | 4.95 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 3.16 | 4269.00% | 880.00% | -3811.00% | 1.52% | 0.54 | 4.14% | 0.32% | 6.20% | 1.75% | 21.03 | 83.51 | 5.76 | 2.29 |
| SE | Sea Limited | $108.45 | 64.2B | -0% | +378% | -83% | -75% | 175.70 | 9.32 | 4.64 | 69.90 | 91.51 | 9.47 | 42.84% | 3.94% | 2.64% | 5.93% | 8.06% | 2.14% | 0.49 | 17.28 | 1.49 | 1.29 | 1.63 | 19200.00% | 2875.00% | 6228.00% | 3.79% | 0.29 | 61.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 111.03 | 24.87 | 4.37 | 3.94 |
About Starbucks Corporation
Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee worldwide. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee and tea beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, single serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi brands. As of October 3, 2021, it operated 16,826 company-operated and licensed stores in North America; and 17,007 company-operated and licensed stores internationally. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
- CEO
- Brian R. Niccol
- Employees
- 361K
- Beta
- 0.94
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.83 ÷ $105.90) − 1 = -68.05% (DCF, example).