US · RIO
Rio Tinto Group
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
- Headquarters
- London SW1Y 4AD
- Website
- riotinto.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$100.58
Market cap 161.33B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $92.88 | -7.66% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $60.53 | -39.82% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $10.35 | -89.71% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $94.73 | -5.82% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $22.27 | $66.34 | $46.70 | $20.77 | $44.91 |
| 2012 | $21.14 | $26.03 | $4.00 | $0.00 | $11.29 |
| 2013 | $22.86 | $40.34 | $8.70 | $7.05 | $16.89 |
| 2014 | $19.07 | $35.35 | $11.56 | $11.93 | $5.74 |
| 2015 | $14.15 | $7.82 | $5.49 | $0.00 | $8.40 |
| 2016 | $19.96 | $19.36 | $6.46 | $11.43 | $13.51 |
| 2017 | $27.93 | $44.22 | $17.45 | $13.28 | $126.18 |
| 2018 | $30.06 | $58.05 | $42.88 | $17.81 | $73.60 |
| 2019 | $28.51 | $55.05 | $59.12 | $0.00 | $70.97 |
| 2020 | $56.46 | $71.43 | $76.95 | $1.84 | $68.75 |
| 2021 | $54.04 | $151.63 | $724.17 | $0.00 | $635.21 |
| 2022 | $55.90 | $89.13 | $119.29 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $55.10 | $64.41 | $51.35 | $4.33 | $33.82 |
| 2024 | $58.69 | $78.65 | $25.98 | $4.25 | $52.42 |
| 2025 | $99.61 | $92.88 | $25.75 | $10.35 | $94.73 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Rio Tinto Group's (RIO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $92.88
- Current price
- $100.58
- AI upside
- -7.66%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$60.53
-39.82% upside
Graham-Dodd
$10.35
-89.71% upside
Graham Formula
$94.73
-5.82% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| RIO | Rio Tinto Group | $100.58 | 161.33B | -8% | -40% | -90% | -6% | 16.19 | 2.60 | 2.80 | 7.95 | — | 2.99 | 26.51% | 26.51% | 17.29% | 17.01% | 15.47% | 8.65% | 0.40 | 14.39 | 1.44 | 0.98 | 0.71 | -1372.00% | 767.00% | -1933.00% | 2.98% | 1.15 | 6.93% | 3.81% | 61.70% | 3.81% | 11.55 | 36.68 | 3.06 | 3.01 |
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines Limite… | $251.60 | 126.06B | -31% | -59% | -75% | +77% | 28.38 | 5.12 | 10.63 | 14.81 | 21.11 | 6.15 | 58.13% | 53.14% | 37.47% | 19.58% | 19.42% | 13.84% | 0.01 | 226.89 | 2.02 | 1.25 | -0.30 | 13439.00% | 4371.00% | 10041.00% | 3.37% | 2.76 | 19.65% | 0.58% | 16.30% | 3.41% | 19.60 | 29.10 | 10.42 | 9.07 |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | $81.57 | 207.11B | -26% | -59% | — | -97% | 15.32 | 2.89 | 2.69 | 6.41 | 108.65 | 3.02 | 82.21% | 37.97% | 17.59% | 19.47% | 21.04% | 8.53% | 0.51 | 21.26 | 1.46 | 1.08 | 0.54 | 1410.00% | -790.00% | -2170.00% | 6.73% | 1.19 | 16.52% | 4.63% | 71.00% | 4.63% | 7.72 | 16.20 | 2.93 | 3.17 |
| CRH | CRH plc | $119.98 | 80.29B | -34% | +13,153% | -87% | -95% | 21.12 | 3.88 | 2.49 | 14.61 | — | 15.00 | 36.13% | 14.21% | 9.96% | 18.18% | 10.76% | 7.00% | 0.87 | 6.57 | 1.74 | 1.00 | 2.16 | -657.00% | -722.00% | -1071.00% | 2.67% | 0.55 | 6.41% | 1.07% | 22.60% | 2.34% | 20.52 | 43.92 | 2.92 | 2.91 |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc. | $308.35 | 87.34B | -32% | -60% | — | -76% | 41.07 | 8.80 | 5.35 | 27.37 | — | -27.34 | 44.51% | 18.11% | 12.91% | 22.60% | 13.94% | 8.89% | 0.97 | 12.08 | 1.08 | 0.70 | 2.54 | -122.00% | 216.00% | 467.00% | 2.22% | 0.53 | 11.09% | 0.88% | 36.00% | 1.79% | 32.53 | 49.76 | 5.89 | 5.25 |
| GSM | Ferroglobe PLC | $5.11 | 953.66M | +431% | -59% | — | +75% | -5.76 | 1.42 | 0.74 | -10.03 | — | 1.80 | 3.44% | -14.89% | -12.79% | -24.17% | -24.36% | -11.80% | 0.42 | -9.57 | 1.66 | 0.92 | -1.49 | -313333.00% | -1879.00% | -11151.00% | -1.96% | 0.10 | -2.36% | 1.06% | -6.10% | 1.54% | -5.75 | -59.39 | 0.86 | 1.53 |
| NEM | Newmont Corporation | $130.00 | 141.86B | -13% | -58% | -65% | +46% | 19.87 | 4.20 | 6.28 | 9.59 | 16.00 | 4.56 | 64.33% | 60.85% | 31.62% | 22.47% | 28.14% | 12.63% | 0.01 | 60.23 | 1.72 | 1.46 | -0.51 | 12413.00% | 2216.00% | 14650.00% | 5.13% | 1.81 | 23.56% | 0.78% | 15.40% | 11.19% | 9.80 | 18.52 | 5.96 | 5.07 |
| SCCO | Southern Copper Corporati… | $218.30 | 180.33B | -45% | -45% | -82% | -41% | — | 16.62 | 13.67 | 23.17 | — | 16.81 | 56.67% | 52.17% | 32.30% | 0.00% | 34.23% | 0.00% | 0.66 | 18.95 | 3.89 | 3.23 | 0.38 | 2447.00% | 1738.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.39% | 26.55 | — | 13.85 | 12.77 |
| SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Comp… | $362.59 | 89.84B | -29% | -60% | — | -71% | 34.16 | 19.08 | 3.72 | 23.22 | — | -11.85 | 48.94% | 16.14% | 10.90% | 59.39% | 16.88% | 10.37% | 3.16 | 8.11 | 0.87 | 0.43 | 3.26 | -265.00% | 206.00% | 2740.00% | 3.02% | 0.50 | 15.31% | 0.90% | 30.70% | 0.90% | 26.83 | 38.46 | 4.33 | 3.88 |
| TECK | Teck Resources Limited | $58.89 | 28.3B | -48% | -59% | -31% | -11% | 28.19 | 1.57 | 3.67 | 10.25 | 10.72 | 1.61 | 21.84% | 16.47% | 13.03% | 5.47% | 3.89% | 3.03% | 0.41 | 2.17 | 2.54 | 1.79 | 1.23 | 26282.00% | 1856.00% | -75624.00% | -2.58% | 0.24 | -3.45% | 0.62% | 17.60% | 3.18% | 25.34 | -44.08 | 4.17 | 1.76 |
| VALE | Vale S.A. | $17.18 | 73.34B | +19% | -53% | — | -71% | 29.33 | 2.16 | 1.90 | 5.97 | — | 2.94 | 34.37% | 28.98% | 6.47% | 7.37% | 10.71% | 2.96% | 0.58 | 7.12 | 1.15 | 0.72 | 0.85 | -5766.00% | 46.00% | 610.00% | 4.22% | 0.57 | 6.68% | 4.93% | 144.60% | 6.03% | 7.61 | 27.56 | 2.21 | 1.74 |
About Rio Tinto Group
Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, and Minerals Segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting. The Copper segment engages in mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products and exploration activities. The Minerals segment is involved in mining and processing of borates, titanium dioxide feedstock, and iron concentrate and pellets; diamond mining, sorting, and marketing; and development projects for battery materials, such as lithium. It also owns and operates open pit and underground mines; and refineries, smelters, processing plants and power, and shipping facilities. Rio Tinto Group was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
- CEO
- Simon Callas Trott
- Employees
- 60K
- Beta
- 0.62
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($60.53 ÷ $100.58) − 1 = -39.82% (DCF, example).