US · VALE
Vale S.A.
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
- Headquarters
- Rio De Janeiro, RJ 22250-145
- Website
- vale.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$16.18
Market cap 73.34B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $20.52 | +26.82% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $8.15 | -49.63% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $4.93 | -69.52% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $9.28 | $40.20 | $34.29 | $10.31 | $161.46 |
| 2012 | $7.93 | $13.05 | $0.00 | $1.34 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $5.85 | $13.38 | $5.95 | $0.00 | $0.70 |
| 2014 | $2.72 | $9.61 | $1.68 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $1.89 | $12.22 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $55.16 |
| 2016 | $4.69 | $20.30 | $2.50 | $10.03 | $11.65 |
| 2017 | $6.67 | $20.46 | $5.94 | $8.92 | $32.53 |
| 2018 | $6.78 | $19.96 | $10.69 | $4.82 | $20.40 |
| 2019 | $5.27 | $21.56 | $0.83 | $5.49 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $10.62 | $25.01 | $7.03 | $1.29 | $16.66 |
| 2021 | $12.95 | $47.46 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $198.31 |
| 2022 | $12.05 | $26.58 | $0.00 | $5.95 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $10.66 | $21.86 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $6.82 |
| 2024 | $8.75 | $18.02 | $2.14 | $0.88 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $16.99 | $20.52 | $2.85 | $0.00 | $4.93 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Vale S.A.'s (VALE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $20.52
- Current price
- $16.18
- AI upside
- +26.82%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$8.15
-49.63% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$4.93
-69.52% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VALE | Vale S.A. | $16.18 | 73.34B | +27% | -50% | — | -70% | 29.33 | 2.16 | 1.90 | 5.97 | — | 2.94 | 34.37% | 28.98% | 6.47% | 7.37% | 10.71% | 2.96% | 0.58 | 7.12 | 1.15 | 0.72 | 0.85 | -5766.00% | 46.00% | 610.00% | 4.22% | 0.57 | 6.68% | 4.93% | 144.60% | 6.03% | 7.61 | 27.56 | 2.21 | 1.74 |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti Plc | $127.77 | 64.51B | -15% | +61% | — | +208% | 24.71 | 8.05 | 6.58 | 11.80 | 20.13 | 8.16 | 46.54% | 45.14% | 26.65% | 35.82% | 44.33% | 18.67% | 0.30 | 20.30 | 2.87 | 1.89 | -0.09 | 12275.00% | 7078.00% | 25364.00% | 4.77% | 2.91 | 41.52% | 2.87% | 71.00% | 4.74% | 14.48 | 20.82 | 6.54 | 10.15 |
| B | Barrick Mining Corporatio… | $50.74 | 85.01B | -5% | +108% | -59% | +119% | 17.25 | 3.24 | 5.08 | 8.01 | 12.31 | 3.69 | 51.26% | 47.78% | 29.45% | 19.64% | 26.29% | 10.07% | 0.18 | 21.82 | 2.92 | 2.23 | -0.19 | 14016.00% | 3122.00% | 18041.00% | 4.29% | 2.15 | 14.75% | 1.03% | 17.80% | 6.41% | 10.39 | 22.80 | 4.97 | 4.27 |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | $81.57 | 207.11B | -26% | -59% | — | -97% | 15.32 | 2.89 | 2.69 | 6.41 | 108.65 | 3.02 | 82.21% | 37.97% | 17.59% | 19.47% | 21.04% | 8.53% | 0.51 | 21.26 | 1.46 | 1.08 | 0.54 | 1410.00% | -790.00% | -2170.00% | 6.73% | 1.19 | 16.52% | 4.63% | 71.00% | 4.63% | 7.72 | 16.20 | 2.93 | 3.17 |
| CTVA | Corteva, Inc. | $80.12 | 53.88B | -24% | -51% | -78% | -78% | 49.05 | 2.25 | 3.11 | 17.02 | 212.56 | 10.08 | 43.59% | 15.05% | 6.29% | 4.61% | 8.21% | 2.64% | 0.11 | 14.55 | 1.43 | 0.90 | -0.63 | 2308.00% | 292.00% | 8185.00% | 5.19% | 0.28 | 12.37% | 0.88% | 43.00% | 5.69% | 19.95 | 18.56 | 3.00 | 2.51 |
| FNV | Franco-Nevada Corporation | $280.61 | 54.1B | -70% | -80% | -91% | — | 49.69 | 4.57 | 24.63 | 26.26 | — | 4.57 | 68.18% | 65.25% | 49.58% | 9.38% | 11.81% | 8.96% | 0.00 | 293.56 | 25.43 | 23.84 | -1.47 | -21811.00% | -865.00% | -1024.00% | 1.54% | 12.29 | 9.48% | 0.88% | 43.90% | 0.99% | 35.76 | 61.64 | 23.33 | 50.28 |
| GFI | Gold Fields Limited | $58.84 | 52.66B | +7% | +25% | -70% | +402% | 14.49 | 6.15 | 5.90 | 10.15 | 7.75 | 6.15 | 54.20% | 49.38% | 40.76% | 52.49% | 34.03% | 28.21% | 0.43 | 47.49 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 0.34 | 18696.00% | 6877.00% | 34014.00% | 6.02% | 2.68 | 35.59% | 1.37% | 19.80% | 1.95% | 12.38 | 17.19 | 6.11 | 6.98 |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials… | $676.57 | 40.81B | -50% | -59% | -69% | -77% | 35.29 | 4.00 | 6.13 | 21.07 | — | 6.73 | 29.98% | 23.26% | 17.37% | 11.67% | 8.21% | 6.17% | 0.53 | 6.65 | 3.57 | 0.88 | 2.44 | -4199.00% | 12.00% | 6192.00% | 2.44% | 1.99 | 6.55% | 0.49% | 17.30% | 1.61% | 29.81 | 46.40 | 6.93 | 3.54 |
| MT | ArcelorMittal S.A. | $65.16 | 49.94B | -30% | -52% | +29% | -59% | 15.61 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 9.68 | 10.90 | 1.00 | 9.63% | 5.91% | 5.14% | 6.08% | 5.59% | 3.37% | 0.25 | 12.22 | 1.36 | 0.40 | 1.34 | 14320.00% | -174.00% | 537.00% | 0.96% | 0.21 | 0.81% | 0.86% | 13.40% | 1.39% | 15.75 | 121.33 | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company | $310.00 | 40.96B | -44% | -60% | -85% | -61% | 37.47 | 4.74 | 5.09 | 17.77 | 202.12 | 12.41 | 27.30% | 20.06% | 13.63% | 12.96% | 9.31% | 6.38% | 0.63 | 3.41 | 2.69 | 1.12 | 2.03 | 1854.00% | 694.00% | 4084.00% | 2.81% | 1.90 | 8.37% | 0.64% | 24.10% | 1.84% | 28.66 | 40.19 | 5.75 | 4.35 |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals C… | $163.65 | 74.3B | -72% | -83% | -92% | -76% | 60.16 | 4.39 | 24.78 | 34.74 | — | 4.39 | 62.48% | 48.33% | 41.19% | 7.43% | 7.91% | 7.32% | 0.00 | 111.88 | 28.07 | 27.94 | -0.91 | -168.00% | 2644.00% | 39274.00% | 1.16% | 34.83 | 5.73% | 0.88% | 52.70% | 1.73% | 49.97 | 84.01 | 24.15 | 116.95 |
About Vale S.A.
Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments. The Iron Solutions segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces and extracts nickel; and its by-products, such as gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, and others, as well as copper used in the construction sector to produce pipes and electrical wires. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
- CEO
- Gustavo Duarte Pimenta
- Employees
- 64.62K
- Beta
- 0.94
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($8.15 ÷ $16.18) − 1 = -49.63% (DCF, example).