US · BHP
BHP Group Limited
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
- Headquarters
- Melbourne, VIC 3000
- Website
- bhp.com
Price · as of 2025-06-30
$79.06
Market cap 207.11B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $60.03 | -24.07% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.52 | -57.6% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $2.38 | -96.99% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $30.46 | $101.66 | $92.54 | $35.86 | $363.66 |
| 2012 | $27.48 | $72.87 | $87.41 | $18.45 | $50.20 |
| 2013 | $27.24 | $57.17 | $26.36 | $13.22 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $29.02 | $52.69 | $8.86 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $16.19 | $31.71 | $5.53 | $0.00 | $5.82 |
| 2016 | $15.61 | $12.37 | $5.69 | $0.00 | $62.84 |
| 2017 | $22.30 | $36.17 | $18.54 | $14.85 | $68.64 |
| 2018 | $24.07 | $51.61 | $31.65 | $0.00 | $37.84 |
| 2019 | $29.15 | $52.24 | $52.30 | $0.00 | $37.87 |
| 2020 | $33.83 | $34.34 | $31.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $42.71 | $81.79 | $64.19 | $0.00 | $238.06 |
| 2022 | $46.87 | $95.85 | $65.85 | $0.00 | $257.60 |
| 2023 | $49.73 | $54.34 | $38.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $48.99 | $57.78 | $24.47 | $0.00 | $35.40 |
| 2025 | $54.39 | $60.03 | $17.22 | $0.00 | $2.38 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates BHP Group Limited's (BHP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $60.03
- Current price
- $79.06
- AI upside
- -24.07%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.52
-57.6% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$2.38
-96.99% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | $79.06 | 207.11B | -24% | -58% | — | -97% | 15.32 | 2.89 | 2.69 | 6.41 | 108.65 | 3.02 | 82.21% | 37.97% | 17.59% | 19.47% | 21.04% | 8.53% | 0.51 | 21.26 | 1.46 | 1.08 | 0.54 | 1410.00% | -790.00% | -2170.00% | 6.73% | 1.19 | 16.52% | 4.63% | 71.00% | 4.63% | 7.72 | 16.20 | 2.93 | 3.17 |
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines Limite… | $251.60 | 126.06B | -31% | -59% | -75% | +77% | 28.38 | 5.12 | 10.63 | 14.81 | 21.11 | 6.15 | 58.13% | 53.14% | 37.47% | 19.58% | 19.42% | 13.84% | 0.01 | 226.89 | 2.02 | 1.25 | -0.30 | 13439.00% | 4371.00% | 10041.00% | 3.37% | 2.76 | 19.65% | 0.58% | 16.30% | 3.41% | 19.60 | 29.10 | 10.42 | 9.07 |
| B | Barrick Mining Corporatio… | $50.74 | 85.01B | -5% | +108% | -59% | +119% | 17.25 | 3.24 | 5.08 | 8.01 | 12.31 | 3.69 | 51.26% | 47.78% | 29.45% | 19.64% | 26.29% | 10.07% | 0.18 | 21.82 | 2.92 | 2.23 | -0.19 | 14016.00% | 3122.00% | 18041.00% | 4.29% | 2.15 | 14.75% | 1.03% | 17.80% | 6.41% | 10.39 | 22.80 | 4.97 | 4.27 |
| CRH | CRH plc | $119.98 | 80.29B | -34% | +13,153% | -87% | -95% | 21.12 | 3.88 | 2.49 | 14.61 | — | 15.00 | 36.13% | 14.21% | 9.96% | 18.18% | 10.76% | 7.00% | 0.87 | 6.57 | 1.74 | 1.00 | 2.16 | -657.00% | -722.00% | -1071.00% | 2.67% | 0.55 | 6.41% | 1.07% | 22.60% | 2.34% | 20.52 | 43.92 | 2.92 | 2.91 |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc. | $308.35 | 87.34B | -32% | -60% | — | -76% | 41.07 | 8.80 | 5.35 | 27.37 | — | -27.34 | 44.51% | 18.11% | 12.91% | 22.60% | 13.94% | 8.89% | 0.97 | 12.08 | 1.08 | 0.70 | 2.54 | -122.00% | 216.00% | 467.00% | 2.22% | 0.53 | 11.09% | 0.88% | 36.00% | 1.79% | 32.53 | 49.76 | 5.89 | 5.25 |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | $68.07 | 97.83B | -48% | -49% | -83% | -79% | 44.71 | 5.21 | 3.83 | 12.10 | 264.20 | 5.34 | 26.98% | 24.44% | 8.56% | 12.08% | 16.48% | 3.90% | 0.61 | 17.05 | 2.29 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 1692.00% | 112.00% | -5255.00% | 1.13% | 0.93 | 4.49% | 0.88% | 39.20% | 0.99% | 16.85 | 94.97 | 4.12 | 3.15 |
| NEM | Newmont Corporation | $130.00 | 141.86B | -13% | -58% | -65% | +46% | 19.87 | 4.20 | 6.28 | 9.59 | 16.00 | 4.56 | 64.33% | 60.85% | 31.62% | 22.47% | 28.14% | 12.63% | 0.01 | 60.23 | 1.72 | 1.46 | -0.51 | 12413.00% | 2216.00% | 14650.00% | 5.13% | 1.81 | 23.56% | 0.78% | 15.40% | 11.19% | 9.80 | 18.52 | 5.96 | 5.07 |
| RIO | Rio Tinto Group | $99.34 | 161.33B | -7% | -39% | -90% | -5% | 16.19 | 2.60 | 2.80 | 7.95 | — | 2.99 | 26.51% | 26.51% | 17.29% | 17.01% | 15.47% | 8.65% | 0.40 | 14.39 | 1.44 | 0.98 | 0.71 | -1372.00% | 767.00% | -1933.00% | 2.98% | 1.15 | 6.93% | 3.81% | 61.70% | 3.81% | 11.55 | 36.68 | 3.06 | 3.01 |
| SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Comp… | $362.59 | 89.84B | -29% | -60% | — | -71% | 34.16 | 19.08 | 3.72 | 23.22 | — | -11.85 | 48.94% | 16.14% | 10.90% | 59.39% | 16.88% | 10.37% | 3.16 | 8.11 | 0.87 | 0.43 | 3.26 | -265.00% | 206.00% | 2740.00% | 3.02% | 0.50 | 15.31% | 0.90% | 30.70% | 0.90% | 26.83 | 38.46 | 4.33 | 3.88 |
| TECK | Teck Resources Limited | $58.89 | 28.3B | -48% | -59% | -31% | -11% | 28.19 | 1.57 | 3.67 | 10.25 | 10.72 | 1.61 | 21.84% | 16.47% | 13.03% | 5.47% | 3.89% | 3.03% | 0.41 | 2.17 | 2.54 | 1.79 | 1.23 | 26282.00% | 1856.00% | -75624.00% | -2.58% | 0.24 | -3.45% | 0.62% | 17.60% | 3.18% | 25.34 | -44.08 | 4.17 | 1.76 |
| VALE | Vale S.A. | $17.18 | 73.34B | +19% | -53% | — | -71% | 29.33 | 2.16 | 1.90 | 5.97 | — | 2.94 | 34.37% | 28.98% | 6.47% | 7.37% | 10.71% | 2.96% | 0.58 | 7.12 | 1.15 | 0.72 | 0.85 | -5766.00% | 46.00% | 610.00% | 4.22% | 0.57 | 6.68% | 4.93% | 144.60% | 6.03% | 7.61 | 27.56 | 2.21 | 1.74 |
About BHP Group Limited
BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. The company is also involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activities. In addition, it provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, administrative, and other services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
- CEO
- Mike Henry
- Employees
- 38.96K
- Beta
- 0.68
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.52 ÷ $79.06) − 1 = -57.6% (DCF, example).