US · RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Irvine, CA 92606
- Website
- rivian.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$15.02
Market cap 18.96B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $19.58 | +30.36% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | — | — |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | $38.05 | ||||
| 2022 | $14.16 | $401.68 | |||
| 2023 | $12.78 | $24.39 | |||
| 2024 | $11.17 | $16.21 | |||
| 2025 | $15.01 | $19.58 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (RIVN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $19.58
- Current price
- $15.02
- AI upside
- +30.36%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
—
— upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.02 | 18.96B | +30% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | $73.54 | 15.89B | -11% | -61% | -67% | -88% | 88.39 | 1.74 | 0.78 | 9.96 | — | 6.14 | 19.11% | 5.80% | 0.81% | 2.01% | 3.00% | 0.77% | 0.88 | 3.28 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 2.80 | -8922.00% | 347.00% | -538.00% | 9.56% | 0.43 | 9.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.18% | 18.78 | 14.55 | 1.09 | 2.29 |
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | $61.97 | 13.02B | +15% | -63% | — | -73% | 13.48 | 4.45 | 0.30 | 6.77 | — | 6.91 | 22.60% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 31.63% | 22.59% | 6.23% | 1.44 | 33.75 | 1.03 | 0.33 | 1.12 | -2465.00% | -443.00% | 10622.00% | 11.14% | 0.26 | 25.61% | 6.46% | 87.10% | 10.94% | 8.70 | 10.76 | 0.36 | 4.07 |
| DKNG | DraftKings Inc. | $23.84 | 11.87B | +216% | +2,652% | — | -99% | 2382.00 | 13.99 | 1.46 | 35.30 | — | -4.76 | 41.25% | -0.26% | 0.06% | 0.45% | -0.58% | 0.08% | 3.06 | -0.79 | 1.03 | 0.97 | 1.27 | -9923.00% | 2699.00% | 5886.00% | 7.33% | 0.38 | 51.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.84% | -579.56 | 14.16 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.26 | 16.59B | -8% | -60% | — | -95% | 249.78 | 3.72 | 0.68 | 32.20 | — | -26.50 | 34.58% | 5.00% | 0.27% | 1.51% | 11.13% | 0.33% | 1.87 | 7.43 | 1.08 | 0.29 | 10.35 | -9274.00% | 346.00% | -3845.00% | 2.56% | 0.09 | 3.86% | 3.42% | 855.00% | 3.42% | 19.98 | 57.66 | 1.00 | 2.32 |
| HMC | Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $30.16 | 39.2B | +28% | -2% | +61% | +67% | 5.17 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 3.07 | — | 0.61 | 21.50% | 5.59% | 3.85% | 10.53% | 5.62% | 4.35% | 0.36 | 22.10 | 1.36 | 1.00 | -0.05 | -2079.00% | 617.00% | -50060.00% | -8.16% | 0.03 | -3.75% | 5.11% | 26.40% | 82.04% | 5.35 | -11.69 | 0.30 | 1.69 |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.59 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | $63.05 | 17.77B | -23% | -60% | -67% | -62% | 21.10 | 1.43 | 0.42 | 6.39 | — | 1.88 | 10.31% | 5.02% | 1.97% | 7.03% | 7.94% | 2.70% | 0.67 | 10.10 | 1.25 | 0.84 | 1.75 | -1506.00% | -21.00% | 2481.00% | 10.21% | 0.33 | 9.95% | 3.11% | 65.60% | 3.92% | 11.42 | 13.49 | 0.57 | 2.71 |
| NIO | NIO Inc. | $4.87 | 11.55B | -63% | -63% | — | — | -2.89 | 10.98 | 1.00 | -5.55 | — | 11.42 | 9.88% | -33.28% | -34.47% | -143.80% | -154.86% | -20.14% | 5.67 | -27.40 | 0.99 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1133.00% | 1818.00% | 807.00% | -25.93% | -0.13 | -120.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.53 | -4.55 | 1.18 | -1.12 |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd. | $3.26 | 7.63B | -57% | -29% | — | — | -2.73 | -1.28 | 4.79 | -8.00 | -8.27 | -1.27 | -57.42% | -125.85% | -175.53% | 50.25% | 259.54% | -51.03% | -0.89 | -3.54 | 0.38 | 0.14 | -3.24 | 3303.00% | 5787.00% | -4000.00% | -22.35% | -0.18 | 221.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.38 | -7.49 | 8.03 | -3.61 |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $54.91 | 19.4B | -37% | -60% | -86% | -42% | 19.13 | 3.57 | 1.63 | 11.93 | 279.78 | 5.88 | 17.28% | 12.36% | 7.87% | 18.08% | 15.21% | 9.17% | 0.69 | — | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.78 | 684.00% | 437.00% | 1765.00% | 4.37% | 0.65 | 11.99% | 1.84% | 35.20% | 7.79% | 14.78 | 25.65 | 1.83 | 4.24 |
About Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers five-passenger pickup trucks and sports utility vehicles. It provides Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform for electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com. The company sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in San Jose, California.
- CEO
- Robert Joseph Scaringe
- Employees
- 14.86K
- Beta
- 1.77
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as (— ÷ $15.02) − 1 = — (DCF, example).