US · YUMC
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Shanghai 200030
- Website
- yumchina.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$48.80
Market cap 19.4B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $34.64 | -29.02% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $22.08 | -54.75% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.71 | -84.21% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $31.93 | -34.57% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $9.01 | $6.53 | |||
| 2016 | $24.22 | $39.05 | $4.05 | $13.07 | $8.23 |
| 2017 | $38.26 | $49.04 | $21.26 | $10.54 | $23.12 |
| 2018 | $37.65 | $46.66 | $19.53 | $9.72 | $29.80 |
| 2019 | $40.12 | $38.14 | $4.51 | $9.74 | $22.98 |
| 2020 | $58.05 | $47.47 | $9.04 | $20.18 | $5.19 |
| 2021 | $35.78 | $36.81 | $8.00 | $16.16 | $62.16 |
| 2022 | $56.65 | $36.06 | $5.06 | $8.73 | $5.72 |
| 2023 | $40.16 | $32.43 | $4.95 | $12.90 | $44.31 |
| 2024 | $49.19 | $33.72 | $1.55 | $12.07 | $25.83 |
| 2025 | $53.50 | $34.64 | $1.36 | $7.71 | $31.93 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s (YUMC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $34.64
- Current price
- $48.80
- AI upside
- -29.02%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$22.08
-54.75% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.71
-84.21% upside
Graham Formula
$31.93
-34.57% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $48.80 | 19.4B | -29% | -55% | -84% | -35% | 19.13 | 3.57 | 1.63 | 11.93 | 279.78 | 5.88 | 17.28% | 12.36% | 7.87% | 18.08% | 15.21% | 9.17% | 0.69 | — | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.78 | 684.00% | 437.00% | 1765.00% | 4.37% | 0.65 | 11.99% | 1.84% | 35.20% | 7.79% | 14.78 | 25.65 | 1.83 | 4.24 |
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | $61.97 | 13.02B | +15% | -63% | — | -73% | 13.48 | 4.45 | 0.30 | 6.77 | — | 6.91 | 22.60% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 31.63% | 22.59% | 6.23% | 1.44 | 33.75 | 1.03 | 0.33 | 1.12 | -2465.00% | -443.00% | 10622.00% | 11.14% | 0.26 | 25.61% | 6.46% | 87.10% | 10.94% | 8.70 | 10.76 | 0.36 | 4.07 |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, In… | $203.63 | 16.49B | -5% | +406% | -80% | -18% | 12.62 | 4.60 | 1.09 | 8.87 | 82.18 | 5.08 | 35.90% | 10.96% | 8.67% | 40.08% | 20.42% | 11.79% | 1.40 | 27.82 | 1.76 | 0.62 | 1.42 | 1535.00% | 353.00% | -4582.00% | 3.46% | 0.43 | 9.20% | 2.46% | 31.00% | 4.25% | 11.87 | 34.36 | 1.30 | 4.09 |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza, Inc. | $402.51 | 13.54B | +14% | -58% | — | -43% | 22.68 | -3.50 | 2.76 | 17.40 | 469.38 | -3.35 | 39.95% | 19.31% | 12.18% | -15.30% | 76.59% | 34.01% | -1.34 | 4.87 | 1.65 | 1.42 | 4.53 | 483.00% | 496.00% | 3115.00% | 4.92% | 1.46 | 69.02% | 1.74% | 39.40% | 5.92% | 19.34 | 27.47 | 3.73 | 3.13 |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $213.85 | 24.87B | -28% | -63% | — | -42% | 22.43 | 10.19 | 1.95 | 15.69 | 545.36 | -33.90 | 21.88% | 11.28% | 8.69% | 46.10% | 15.29% | 8.78% | 2.70 | 7.55 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 3.18 | 411.00% | 603.00% | 524.00% | 4.40% | 0.76 | 13.12% | 2.80% | 62.70% | 4.57% | 21.68 | 28.53 | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.26 | 16.59B | -8% | -60% | — | -95% | 249.78 | 3.72 | 0.68 | 32.20 | — | -26.50 | 34.58% | 5.00% | 0.27% | 1.51% | 11.13% | 0.33% | 1.87 | 7.43 | 1.08 | 0.29 | 10.35 | -9274.00% | 346.00% | -3845.00% | 2.56% | 0.09 | 3.86% | 3.42% | 855.00% | 3.42% | 19.98 | 57.66 | 1.00 | 2.32 |
| HMC | Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $30.16 | 39.2B | +28% | -2% | +61% | +67% | 5.17 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 3.07 | — | 0.61 | 21.50% | 5.59% | 3.85% | 10.53% | 5.62% | 4.35% | 0.36 | 22.10 | 1.36 | 1.00 | -0.05 | -2079.00% | 617.00% | -50060.00% | -8.16% | 0.03 | -3.75% | 5.11% | 26.40% | 82.04% | 5.35 | -11.69 | 0.30 | 1.69 |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of … | $232.14 | 20.89B | -19% | -60% | -98% | -45% | 27.08 | 4.53 | 2.32 | 13.97 | — | 7.94 | 21.02% | 13.97% | 8.55% | 17.08% | 12.82% | 7.86% | 0.95 | 15.87 | 3.17 | 1.83 | 2.18 | -392.00% | 723.00% | 3971.00% | 3.50% | 1.53 | 9.88% | 2.16% | 58.50% | 2.89% | 19.58 | 33.74 | 2.73 | 4.43 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.33 | 18.96B | +28% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $182.87 | 12.15B | -55% | -61% | -96% | -43% | 28.84 | 8.18 | 2.03 | 19.93 | — | 9.95 | 12.42% | 8.55% | 6.90% | 29.39% | 16.72% | 12.29% | 1.29 | — | 0.50 | 0.15 | 2.55 | -572.00% | 939.00% | 8284.00% | 6.11% | 0.80 | 28.19% | 1.51% | 43.50% | 2.77% | 27.26 | 18.77 | 2.33 | 5.44 |
About Yum China Holdings, Inc.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in China. The company operates through two segments, KFC and Pizza Hut. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, Lavazza, COFFii & JOY, Taco Bell, and East Dawning brands, which specialize in chicken, pizza, hot pot cooking, simmer pot, Italian coffee, specialty coffee, Mexican-style food, and Chinese food categories. The company also operates V-Gold Mall, a mobile e-commerce platform, which sells electronics, home and kitchen accessories, and other general merchandise, as well as fried rice, steak, pasta and other ready meals, and coffee capsules. In addition, it operates franchise restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Huang Ji Huang, Taco Bell, Little Sheep, East Dawning, Lavazza, and COFFii & JOY names. As of March 31, 2022, the company operated 12,117 restaurants in approximately 1,700 cities. Yum China Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
- CEO
- Joey Wat
- Employees
- 140K
- Beta
- 0.12
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($22.08 ÷ $48.80) − 1 = -54.75% (DCF, example).