US · NIO
NIO Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Shanghai 201804
- Website
- nio.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$5.91
Market cap 11.55B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $0.30 | -94.92% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.79 | -69.71% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | $7.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||
| 2019 | $3.55 | $1.52 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $45.50 | $24.06 | $2.26 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $16.07 | $8.84 | $151,958.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $8.51 | $3.40 | $4,156.13 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $5.80 | $2.55 | $18.20 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $4.47 | $1.79 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates NIO Inc.'s (NIO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $0.30
- Current price
- $5.91
- AI upside
- -94.92%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.79
-69.71% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NIO | NIO Inc. | $5.91 | 11.55B | -70% | -70% | — | — | -2.89 | 10.98 | 1.00 | -5.55 | — | 11.42 | 9.88% | -33.28% | -34.47% | -143.80% | -154.86% | -20.14% | 5.67 | -27.40 | 0.99 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1133.00% | 1818.00% | 807.00% | -25.93% | -0.13 | -120.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.53 | -4.55 | 1.18 | -1.12 |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | $73.54 | 15.89B | -11% | -61% | -67% | -88% | 88.39 | 1.74 | 0.78 | 9.96 | — | 6.14 | 19.11% | 5.80% | 0.81% | 2.01% | 3.00% | 0.77% | 0.88 | 3.28 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 2.80 | -8922.00% | 347.00% | -538.00% | 9.56% | 0.43 | 9.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.18% | 18.78 | 14.55 | 1.09 | 2.29 |
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | $61.97 | 13.02B | +15% | -63% | — | -73% | 13.48 | 4.45 | 0.30 | 6.77 | — | 6.91 | 22.60% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 31.63% | 22.59% | 6.23% | 1.44 | 33.75 | 1.03 | 0.33 | 1.12 | -2465.00% | -443.00% | 10622.00% | 11.14% | 0.26 | 25.61% | 6.46% | 87.10% | 10.94% | 8.70 | 10.76 | 0.36 | 4.07 |
| BURL | Burlington Stores, Inc. | $306.87 | 19.31B | -35% | -69% | -80% | -56% | 30.46 | 11.19 | 1.44 | 18.81 | 61.98 | 14.13 | 43.30% | 9.78% | 4.74% | 42.55% | 14.60% | 6.11% | 3.92 | 14.95 | 1.16 | 0.48 | 4.18 | 4914.00% | 934.00% | -10814.00% | -0.19% | 0.38 | -0.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.67% | 18.98 | -689.20 | 1.86 | 3.13 |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, In… | $203.63 | 16.49B | -5% | +406% | -80% | -18% | 12.62 | 4.60 | 1.09 | 8.87 | 82.18 | 5.08 | 35.90% | 10.96% | 8.67% | 40.08% | 20.42% | 11.79% | 1.40 | 27.82 | 1.76 | 0.62 | 1.42 | 1535.00% | 353.00% | -4582.00% | 3.46% | 0.43 | 9.20% | 2.46% | 31.00% | 4.25% | 11.87 | 34.36 | 1.30 | 4.09 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.26 | 16.59B | -8% | -60% | — | -95% | 249.78 | 3.72 | 0.68 | 32.20 | — | -26.50 | 34.58% | 5.00% | 0.27% | 1.51% | 11.13% | 0.33% | 1.87 | 7.43 | 1.08 | 0.29 | 10.35 | -9274.00% | 346.00% | -3845.00% | 2.56% | 0.09 | 3.86% | 3.42% | 855.00% | 3.42% | 19.98 | 57.66 | 1.00 | 2.32 |
| HMC | Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $30.16 | 39.2B | +28% | -2% | +61% | +67% | 5.17 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 3.07 | — | 0.61 | 21.50% | 5.59% | 3.85% | 10.53% | 5.62% | 4.35% | 0.36 | 22.10 | 1.36 | 1.00 | -0.05 | -2079.00% | 617.00% | -50060.00% | -8.16% | 0.03 | -3.75% | 5.11% | 26.40% | 82.04% | 5.35 | -11.69 | 0.30 | 1.69 |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.59 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of … | $232.14 | 20.89B | -19% | -60% | -98% | -45% | 27.08 | 4.53 | 2.32 | 13.97 | — | 7.94 | 21.02% | 13.97% | 8.55% | 17.08% | 12.82% | 7.86% | 0.95 | 15.87 | 3.17 | 1.83 | 2.18 | -392.00% | 723.00% | 3971.00% | 3.50% | 1.53 | 9.88% | 2.16% | 58.50% | 2.89% | 19.58 | 33.74 | 2.73 | 4.43 |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.33 | 18.96B | +28% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $54.91 | 19.4B | -37% | -60% | -86% | -42% | 19.13 | 3.57 | 1.63 | 11.93 | 279.78 | 5.88 | 17.28% | 12.36% | 7.87% | 18.08% | 15.21% | 9.17% | 0.69 | — | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.78 | 684.00% | 437.00% | 1765.00% | 4.37% | 0.65 | 11.99% | 1.84% | 35.20% | 7.79% | 14.78 | 25.65 | 1.83 | 4.24 |
About NIO Inc.
NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for Power valet service. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, and bodywork services through its NIO service centers and authorized third-party service centers; statutory and third-party liability insurance, and vehicle damage insurance through third-party insurers; repair and routine maintenance; roadside assistance; courtesy vehicle services; data packages; and auto financing and financial leasing services. Further, the company involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; design and technology development activities; manufacture of e-powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after sales management activities. Additionally, it offers NIO Certified, a used vehicle inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and sales service. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
- CEO
- Bin Li
- Employees
- 45.64K
- Beta
- 1.12
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.79 ÷ $5.91) − 1 = -69.71% (DCF, example).