US · RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Long Beach, CA 90808
- Website
- rocketlabusa.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$78.81
Market cap 36.91B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $54.98 | -30.24% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $44.61 | -43.4% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $0.99 | -98.75% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $12.22 | $32.60 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $2.22 |
| 2021 | $8.39 | $37.48 | $125.76 | $0.15 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $3.91 | $48.22 | $46.38 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $4.42 | $27.42 | $6.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $18.80 | $41.62 | $204.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $70.97 | $54.98 | $24.58 | $0.99 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Rocket Lab USA, Inc.'s (RKLB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $54.98
- Current price
- $78.81
- AI upside
- -30.24%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$44.61
-43.4% upside
Graham-Dodd
$0.99
-98.75% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | $78.81 | 36.91B | -30% | -43% | -99% | — | -190.01 | 21.87 | 62.58 | -237.32 | — | 29.16 | 34.43% | -38.03% | -32.94% | -18.84% | -28.90% | -11.30% | 0.15 | -8.64 | 4.08 | 3.16 | 3.71 | -263.00% | 3796.00% | 17746.00% | -0.85% | -0.49 | -46.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.05% | -161.24 | -114.66 | 61.31 | 37.35 |
| EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | $724.62 | 32.44B | -42% | +277% | -76% | -7% | 26.04 | 9.02 | 1.95 | 16.53 | 84.02 | 28.76 | 19.58% | 9.84% | 7.47% | 38.50% | 43.61% | 14.97% | 0.23 | — | 1.22 | 1.10 | -0.13 | 3099.00% | 1664.00% | -1078.00% | 3.59% | 0.27 | 44.38% | 0.14% | 3.50% | 1.90% | 19.68 | 27.65 | 1.94 | 7.01 |
| ESLT | Elbit Systems Ltd. | $769.04 | 35.73B | -81% | -77% | -94% | -79% | 49.06 | 4.82 | 2.28 | 28.18 | 100.19 | 11.03 | 24.05% | 7.28% | 4.70% | 10.38% | 10.52% | 3.11% | 0.42 | 3.81 | 1.20 | 0.64 | 1.84 | 4896.00% | 1430.00% | -53579.00% | 2.02% | 0.10 | 7.46% | 0.56% | 27.60% | 1.60% | 33.46 | 52.87 | 2.44 | 2.48 |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | $1,429.37 | 50.42B | -53% | +827% | -89% | -26% | 49.72 | 20.76 | 5.59 | 35.06 | 50.83 | 54.20 | 24.13% | 14.42% | 11.23% | 49.24% | 55.85% | 18.34% | 0.32 | 145.70 | 1.21 | 1.15 | -0.14 | 9781.00% | 2952.00% | 3977.00% | 2.03% | 0.35 | 55.51% | 0.14% | 6.70% | 0.56% | 38.58 | 49.10 | 5.56 | 10.42 |
| HEI | HEICO Corporation | $319.46 | 44.46B | -37% | -30% | -92% | -63% | 65.92 | 11.41 | 10.96 | 41.92 | 196.68 | -59.37 | 39.83% | 22.72% | 15.39% | 18.77% | 14.16% | 9.27% | 0.51 | 7.85 | 2.83 | 1.17 | 1.62 | 3351.00% | 1626.00% | 4027.00% | 1.75% | 1.12 | 14.35% | 0.07% | 4.30% | 0.34% | 50.17 | 59.35 | 11.40 | 8.89 |
| OTIS | Otis Worldwide Corporatio… | $92.56 | 36.07B | -17% | -59% | — | -65% | 25.33 | -6.84 | 2.55 | 19.29 | — | -4.96 | 30.28% | 14.78% | 9.59% | -28.42% | 83.23% | 13.25% | -1.62 | 10.88 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 3.32 | -1400.00% | 119.00% | 49.00% | 3.92% | 0.21 | 74.90% | 1.76% | 44.50% | 3.95% | 20.87 | 30.82 | 3.08 | 3.22 |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings,… | $106.30 | 34.41B | -13% | -21% | -21% | +12% | — | 2.21 | 0.57 | 7.69 | — | 4.17 | 64.12% | 7.98% | 5.68% | 0.00% | 10.29% | 0.00% | 2.39 | 3.86 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 4.05 | 815.00% | 352.00% | -3324.00% | 7.58% | 0.32 | 7.17% | 0.00% | — | 1.89% | 12.30 | 22.67 | 0.98 | 1.16 |
| VRSK | Verisk Analytics, Inc. | $207.57 | 28.93B | -21% | -39% | — | -55% | 32.88 | 96.65 | 9.72 | 19.38 | — | -15.59 | 67.31% | 44.58% | 29.56% | 444.05% | 34.14% | 17.37% | 16.30 | 8.02 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.69 | -328.00% | 663.00% | 2954.00% | 3.99% | 0.62 | 38.31% | 0.84% | 27.60% | 3.25% | 23.89 | 27.46 | 10.65 | 6.13 |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Te… | $263.95 | 45.12B | -32% | -54% | -91% | -60% | 38.52 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 20.97 | 294.53 | -15.44 | 31.48% | 16.74% | 10.48% | 10.99% | 9.49% | 5.72% | 0.50 | 8.31 | 1.11 | 0.52 | 2.01 | 1308.00% | 751.00% | -787.00% | 3.33% | 0.34 | 10.25% | 0.38% | 14.80% | 0.88% | 26.60 | 33.16 | 4.45 | 3.54 |
| XYL | Xylem Inc. | $129.56 | 31.56B | -23% | -59% | -93% | -59% | 33.05 | 2.73 | 3.47 | 17.85 | 446.73 | 35.84 | 38.46% | 13.54% | 10.59% | 8.59% | 8.34% | 5.57% | 0.17 | 42.17 | 1.62 | 1.13 | 0.26 | 740.00% | 552.00% | -340.00% | 2.90% | 0.43 | 7.72% | 1.25% | 41.20% | 3.02% | 26.05 | 35.01 | 3.53 | 4.36 |
About Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc., a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft engineering and design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions; and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets. It also designs, manufactures, and sells Electron small orbital launch vehicles and the Photon satellite platforms, as well as developing the Neutron 8-ton payload class launch vehicle; conducts remote launch activities; and designs and manufactures a range of components and subsystems for the Photon family of spacecraft and broader merchant spacecraft components. The company serves commercial, aerospace prime contractors, and government customers. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.
- CEO
- Peter Beck
- Employees
- 2.1K
- Beta
- 2.17
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($44.61 ÷ $78.81) − 1 = -43.4% (DCF, example).