US · SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Retail
- Headquarters
- Indianapolis, IN 46204
- Website
- simon.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$202.44
Market cap 66.55B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $155.62 | -23.13% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $84.80 | -58.11% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $86.75 | -57.15% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $207.16 | +2.33% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $68.93 | $72.40 | $27.77 | $0.00 | $57.78 |
| 2012 | $83.08 | $96.77 | $25.47 | $0.00 | $33.04 |
| 2013 | $86.51 | $99.05 | $19.11 | $0.00 | $62.25 |
| 2014 | $107.78 | $98.85 | $19.04 | $0.00 | $68.08 |
| 2015 | $121.95 | $124.23 | $17.14 | $0.00 | $94.15 |
| 2016 | $105.43 | $117.04 | $13.14 | $0.00 | $65.81 |
| 2017 | $102.84 | $126.80 | $3.62 | $0.00 | $60.41 |
| 2018 | $119.81 | $138.11 | $1.63 | $0.00 | $80.66 |
| 2019 | $86.46 | $130.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $68.54 |
| 2020 | $90.34 | $112.79 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $104.15 | $125.48 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $127.70 |
| 2022 | $94.83 | $123.12 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $74.29 |
| 2023 | $136.67 | $146.52 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $103.58 |
| 2024 | $162.84 | $156.39 | $1.52 | $0.00 | $96.67 |
| 2025 | $203.16 | $155.62 | $6.35 | $86.75 | $207.16 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Simon Property Group, Inc.'s (SPG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $155.62
- Current price
- $202.44
- AI upside
- -23.13%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$84.80
-58.11% upside
Graham-Dodd
$86.75
-57.15% upside
Graham Formula
$207.16
+2.33% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SPG | Simon Property Group, Inc… | $202.44 | 66.55B | -23% | -58% | -57% | +2% | 14.31 | 12.72 | 10.41 | 12.04 | 15.10 | 12.72 | 85.72% | 49.89% | 72.51% | 113.56% | 10.53% | 12.68% | 5.60 | 3.26 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 3.61 | 9477.00% | 672.00% | 540.00% | 4.87% | 0.38 | 10.77% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.34% | 29.79 | 29.34 | 14.86 | 1.15 |
| ADC | Agree Realty Corporation | $80.48 | 9.66B | -40% | -60% | -77% | -45% | 43.82 | 1.43 | 12.50 | 19.97 | — | 1.70 | 87.73% | 47.38% | 28.45% | 3.48% | 3.76% | 2.24% | 0.53 | 2.53 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 5.41 | -56.00% | 1642.00% | 1671.00% | 5.61% | 2.94 | 5.62% | 3.87% | 169.80% | 3.92% | 36.20 | 24.44 | 17.15 | 1.62 |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group In… | $30.27 | 9.28B | +3% | -55% | — | -39% | 24.36 | 3.13 | 6.86 | 14.54 | 193.14 | 3.26 | 75.17% | 36.71% | 28.16% | 12.89% | 6.12% | 4.28% | 1.95 | 2.24 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 5.37 | 1261.00% | 673.00% | 437.00% | 6.93% | 1.06 | 7.93% | 3.76% | 91.70% | 3.77% | 29.63 | 22.88 | 10.88 | 1.20 |
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment… | $108.77 | 9.38B | -30% | -56% | — | -37% | 23.04 | 2.92 | 7.41 | 14.80 | 57.53 | 2.93 | 9.73% | 35.93% | 32.15% | 12.81% | 5.82% | 4.66% | 1.55 | 2.54 | 1.02 | 1.04 | 5.06 | 4006.00% | 635.00% | 99.00% | 3.49% | 1.77 | 4.20% | 4.10% | 94.40% | 4.15% | 31.32 | 43.48 | 11.26 | 1.13 |
| GTY | Getty Realty Corp. | $32.82 | 1.96B | +9% | -60% | — | -28% | 23.56 | 1.74 | 8.41 | 15.51 | 294.50 | 2.16 | 40.19% | 54.95% | 35.72% | 7.79% | 6.11% | 3.82% | 0.98 | 2.63 | 29.85 | 45.79 | 5.56 | 800.00% | 902.00% | -201.00% | 6.81% | 46.94 | 6.37% | 5.82% | 137.20% | 5.89% | 23.88 | 22.90 | 13.12 | 1.25 |
| KIM | Kimco Realty Corporation | $23.55 | 15.95B | +46% | -60% | -16% | -52% | 27.15 | 1.53 | 7.42 | 14.84 | 53.34 | 1.53 | 54.66% | 35.17% | 27.29% | 5.56% | 4.03% | 2.92% | 0.81 | 1.85 | — | — | 5.06 | 5091.00% | 506.00% | 6443.00% | 7.05% | — | 6.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32.01 | 21.51 | 11.26 | 1.30 |
| NNN | NNN REIT, Inc. | $45.32 | 8.61B | -4% | -60% | — | -34% | 22.06 | 1.95 | 9.28 | 15.59 | — | 1.97 | 38.00% | 61.53% | 42.08% | 8.89% | 6.35% | 4.27% | 1.09 | 2.82 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 5.60 | -372.00% | 655.00% | 498.00% | 7.76% | 1.72 | 7.43% | 5.15% | 113.70% | 5.15% | 23.54 | 20.11 | 14.48 | 1.17 |
| NTST | NETSTREIT Corp. | $20.77 | 1.72B | +26% | -60% | -75% | -89% | 249.61 | 1.20 | 9.55 | 20.20 | — | 1.36 | 89.96% | 30.36% | 3.80% | 0.50% | 2.29% | 0.28% | 0.78 | 1.17 | 7.06 | 5.55 | 7.88 | -15125.00% | 2091.00% | 2141.00% | 6.32% | 3.25 | 4.59% | 4.08% | 1017.40% | 4.08% | 51.56 | 25.94 | 15.66 | 0.99 |
| O | Realty Income Corporation | $67.00 | 61.51B | -28% | -60% | -34% | -71% | 57.14 | 1.55 | 10.63 | 26.34 | 294.72 | 1.78 | 89.80% | 28.30% | 18.41% | 2.73% | 2.33% | 1.51% | 0.83 | — | 0.51 | 0.51 | 9.13 | 1939.00% | 907.00% | 1180.00% | 6.54% | 1.37 | 5.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 57.49 | 23.42 | 16.27 | 1.05 |
| REG | Regency Centers Corporati… | $79.00 | 14.45B | -24% | -60% | -36% | -60% | 28.55 | 2.18 | 9.69 | 21.29 | 84.84 | 2.32 | 44.66% | 37.03% | 33.94% | 7.74% | 4.72% | 4.15% | 0.86 | 2.72 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 5.93 | 3365.00% | 339.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36.27 | — | 13.43 | 1.61 |
| SITC | SITE Centers Corp. | $6.16 | 323.17M | +387% | -29% | — | — | 1.83 | 0.97 | 2.65 | 0.87 | — | 0.97 | -5.68% | 144.40% | 144.40% | 41.78% | 36.33% | 30.68% | 0.00 | 11.62 | — | — | -0.50 | -6530.00% | -5561.00% | -6501.00% | 6.01% | — | 4.01% | 109.05% | 200.00% | 221.22% | 1.16 | 10.56 | 1.68 | -16.47 |
| SKT | Tanger Inc. | $37.06 | 4.24B | +8% | -37% | — | -50% | 35.09 | 5.94 | 7.21 | 20.54 | 257.35 | 7.04 | 17.73% | 30.15% | 19.74% | 17.59% | 6.34% | 4.74% | 3.87 | 2.66 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 8.07 | 1364.00% | 1055.00% | 8885.00% | 7.04% | 0.26 | 10.67% | 3.15% | 110.60% | 3.15% | 39.39 | 23.39 | 11.88 | 0.96 |
About Simon Property Group, Inc.
Simon is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership of premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations and an S&P 100 company (Simon Property Group, NYSE: SPG). Our properties across North America, Europe and Asia provide community gathering places for millions of people every day and generate billions in annual sales.
- CEO
- David E. Simon
- Employees
- 2.6K
- Beta
- 1.40
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($84.80 ÷ $202.44) − 1 = -58.11% (DCF, example).