US · STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Engineering & Construction
- Headquarters
- The Woodlands, TX 77380
- Website
- strlco.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$532.67
Market cap 13.15B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $283.89 | -46.7% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $2,908.94 | +446.11% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $64.63 | -87.87% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $237.17 | -55.47% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $9.65 | $44.20 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $11.59 | $27.38 | $0.76 | $9.37 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $9.80 | $169.15 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $14.03 |
| 2014 | $3.00 | $35.35 | $0.00 | $1.66 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $5.43 | $124.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $9.92 | $49.33 | $1.13 | $0.28 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $13.00 | $50.98 | $223.85 | $4.35 | $20.00 |
| 2018 | $13.81 | $25.09 | $479.81 | $7.62 | $15.13 |
| 2019 | $12.41 | $18.66 | $261.95 | $8.53 | $24.47 |
| 2020 | $23.16 | $31.04 | $74.22 | $10.29 | $25.42 |
| 2021 | $29.04 | $31.54 | $153.87 | $14.46 | $49.66 |
| 2022 | $38.87 | $42.89 | $474.21 | $24.64 | $113.64 |
| 2023 | $111.16 | $105.65 | $619.34 | $33.52 | $85.82 |
| 2024 | $118.00 | $155.39 | $366.57 | $59.38 | $125.41 |
| 2025 | $432.87 | $283.89 | $456.99 | $64.63 | $237.17 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s (STRL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $283.89
- Current price
- $532.67
- AI upside
- -46.7%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$2,908.94
+446.11% upside
Graham-Dodd
$64.63
-87.87% upside
Graham Formula
$237.17
-55.47% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| STRL | Sterling Infrastructure, … | $532.67 | 13.15B | -47% | +446% | -88% | -55% | 42.69 | 11.93 | 5.31 | 26.08 | 318.02 | -420.96 | 22.09% | 16.64% | 11.65% | 32.32% | 39.74% | 13.27% | 0.32 | 20.94 | 1.01 | 0.87 | -0.08 | 1342.00% | 1769.00% | -1285.00% | 2.74% | 0.43 | 45.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.56% | 31.82 | 36.34 | 5.29 | 7.13 |
| AYI | Acuity Brands, Inc. | $301.59 | 9.25B | +3% | -1% | -69% | -12% | 28.03 | 4.08 | 2.56 | 17.85 | — | 85.25 | 47.83% | 13.66% | 9.13% | 15.54% | 17.39% | 9.26% | 0.37 | 13.97 | 1.95 | 1.20 | 0.89 | -677.00% | 1314.00% | -400.00% | 4.79% | 0.71 | 19.69% | 0.19% | 5.20% | 1.25% | 19.71 | 21.95 | 2.69 | 6.08 |
| BLD | TopBuild Corp. | $448.30 | 12.58B | -23% | -60% | -85% | -61% | 23.50 | 5.29 | 2.27 | 14.04 | — | -5.89 | 29.01% | 14.64% | 9.65% | 23.06% | 13.55% | 9.20% | 1.36 | 3.75 | 1.94 | 1.28 | 2.74 | -996.00% | 149.00% | -139.00% | 5.68% | 0.90 | 16.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.54% | 19.23 | 21.85 | 2.81 | 3.82 |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource, Inc… | $104.29 | 11.53B | -1% | -62% | -79% | -96% | 25.45 | 2.54 | 0.73 | 12.01 | — | -11.43 | 30.39% | 5.18% | 2.86% | 10.06% | 7.30% | 3.99% | 1.30 | 2.87 | 1.86 | 1.08 | 3.97 | -5706.00% | -738.00% | -4281.00% | 7.71% | 0.77 | 9.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.74% | 21.04 | 19.38 | 1.09 | 2.71 |
| ERJ | Embraer S.A. | $64.52 | 11.85B | -17% | +318% | -59% | -15% | 26.40 | 3.04 | 1.46 | 9.63 | 22.34 | 16.35 | 18.03% | 10.44% | 5.51% | 12.10% | 11.98% | 3.14% | 0.85 | 3.14 | 1.47 | 0.75 | 1.03 | 11818.00% | 2138.00% | 11751.00% | 4.33% | 0.20 | 11.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.35% | 14.62 | 24.10 | 1.53 | 1.60 |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Indust… | $444.52 | 17.44B | -36% | -57% | -87% | -45% | 29.47 | 3.51 | 1.43 | 16.68 | 287.73 | 10.31 | 12.70% | 4.87% | 4.85% | 12.42% | 6.45% | 4.86% | 0.62 | 5.79 | 1.13 | 1.04 | 1.96 | 1024.00% | 823.00% | 295385.00% | 4.45% | 0.39 | 10.81% | 1.19% | 35.20% | 2.34% | 33.23 | 25.45 | 1.62 | 3.17 |
| MLI | Mueller Industries, Inc. | $117.96 | 13.1B | +6% | -49% | -64% | +10% | 16.98 | 5.21 | 3.11 | 10.69 | 58.65 | 5.21 | 27.38% | 21.42% | 18.31% | 29.05% | 46.79% | 24.26% | 0.02 | 8289.37 | 5.92 | 4.52 | -1.21 | 2895.00% | 1087.00% | 2138.00% | 5.29% | 1.83 | 47.36% | 0.84% | 14.30% | 5.15% | 13.01 | 16.97 | 2.79 | 18.85 |
| MTZ | MasTec, Inc. | $298.02 | 23.51B | -59% | +170% | -87% | -59% | — | 7.11 | 1.66 | 22.23 | — | 55.24 | 12.54% | 4.56% | 2.79% | 0.00% | 12.19% | 0.00% | 0.09 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 14612.00% | 1622.00% | -7063.00% | 1.20% | 0.17 | 6.52% | 0.00% | — | 8.18% | 36.78 | 84.01 | 1.68 | 3.42 |
| STN | Stantec Inc. | $92.77 | 10.58B | -20% | -34% | -94% | -47% | 30.89 | 4.57 | 1.82 | 16.16 | 95.08 | -25.72 | 39.01% | 9.19% | 5.89% | 15.49% | 10.86% | 6.43% | 0.97 | 6.40 | 1.23 | 1.19 | 2.52 | 3249.00% | 850.00% | 5679.00% | 5.34% | 0.38 | 14.77% | 0.68% | 21.10% | 0.68% | 23.45 | 22.18 | 2.15 | 3.60 |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech, Inc. | $35.84 | 9.35B | +10% | +10% | — | -67% | 17.75 | 5.06 | 1.65 | 21.05 | — | -23.02 | 17.66% | 11.09% | 4.55% | 28.10% | 15.20% | 11.97% | 0.55 | 14.85 | 1.18 | 1.07 | 1.76 | -2439.00% | 469.00% | 2892.00% | 4.88% | 0.33 | 16.84% | 0.72% | 12.80% | 3.50% | 16.28 | 22.38 | 1.81 | 4.58 |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems… | $171.34 | 13.35B | -40% | -70% | -82% | -69% | 19.64 | 5.49 | 3.06 | 11.41 | — | 19.76 | 37.68% | 22.64% | 15.50% | 31.43% | 21.16% | 13.01% | 0.89 | 7.16 | 3.33 | 2.00 | 1.14 | -1070.00% | 104.00% | -3100.00% | 4.15% | 1.46 | 15.56% | 0.56% | 11.00% | 1.35% | 15.01 | 26.78 | 3.40 | 4.84 |
About Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. engages in the transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions primarily in the Southern United States, the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States, the Rocky Mountain states, California, and Hawaii. It undertakes infrastructure and rehabilitation projects for highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, light rail, water, wastewater, and storm drainage systems for the departments of transportation in various states, regional transit authorities, airport authorities, port authorities, water authorities and railroads. The company also provides specialty site infrastructure improvement contracting services for blue-chip end users in the e-commerce, data center, distribution center and warehousing, and energy sectors. In addition, it undertakes residential and commercial concrete foundations for single-family and multi-family homes, parking structures, elevated slabs, and other concrete work for national home builders, regional and custom home builders, and developers and general contractors in commercial markets. The company was formerly known as Sterling Construction Company, Inc. and changed its name to Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. in June 2022. Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
- CEO
- Joseph A. Cutillo
- Employees
- 3.2K
- Beta
- 1.51
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($2,908.94 ÷ $532.67) − 1 = +446.11% (DCF, example).