US · WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Construction
- Headquarters
- Hilliard, OH 43026
- Website
- adspipe.com
Price · as of 2025-03-31
$147.31
Market cap 13.35B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $103.50 | -29.74% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $50.76 | -65.54% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $30.98 | -78.97% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $52.75 | -64.19% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | $4.25 | $3.33 | |||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $2.80 | |||
| 2015 | $27.52 | $30.00 | $0.00 | $4.92 | $9.16 |
| 2016 | $23.68 | $62.60 | $0.00 | $0.94 | $6.54 |
| 2017 | $18.55 | $24.69 | $0.00 | $2.53 | $3.50 |
| 2018 | $27.46 | $26.06 | $0.00 | $6.08 | $15.23 |
| 2019 | $29.32 | $28.29 | $0.00 | $6.67 | $16.31 |
| 2020 | $47.68 | $32.69 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $102.93 | $77.13 | $137.93 | $15.84 | $82.24 |
| 2022 | $94.86 | $72.19 | $1,037.69 | $17.95 | $175.14 |
| 2023 | $104.44 | $86.71 | $513.75 | $27.92 | $113.72 |
| 2024 | $160.57 | $133.93 | $111.79 | $32.39 | $13.09 |
| 2025 | $114.59 | $103.50 | $8.25 | $30.98 | $52.75 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (WMS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $103.50
- Current price
- $147.31
- AI upside
- -29.74%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$50.76
-65.54% upside
Graham-Dodd
$30.98
-78.97% upside
Graham Formula
$52.75
-64.19% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems… | $147.31 | 13.35B | -30% | -66% | -79% | -64% | 19.64 | 5.49 | 3.06 | 11.41 | — | 19.76 | 37.68% | 22.64% | 15.50% | 31.43% | 21.16% | 13.01% | 0.89 | 7.16 | 3.33 | 2.00 | 1.14 | -1070.00% | 104.00% | -3100.00% | 4.15% | 1.46 | 15.56% | 0.56% | 11.00% | 1.35% | 15.01 | 26.78 | 3.40 | 4.84 |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industrie… | $173.50 | 7.48B | -15% | -37% | -71% | -19% | 24.29 | 8.33 | 4.63 | 18.27 | 137.96 | 29.10 | 40.64% | 26.59% | 19.05% | 37.24% | 25.59% | 16.39% | 0.59 | 13.06 | 1.46 | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1761.00% | 1211.00% | 9321.00% | 4.74% | 1.33 | 27.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.35% | 18.38 | 22.27 | 4.89 | 7.37 |
| BAH | Booz Allen Hamilton Holdi… | $78.83 | 9.72B | +35% | -45% | — | +86% | 13.77 | 12.83 | 1.07 | 10.30 | 23.75 | -6.55 | 54.77% | 11.44% | 7.80% | 91.22% | 24.82% | 13.48% | 4.21 | 6.99 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 2.12 | 5795.00% | 1236.00% | 37414.00% | 7.08% | 0.55 | 21.52% | 2.08% | 28.70% | 8.39% | 11.83 | 17.79 | 1.35 | 4.31 |
| BLD | TopBuild Corp. | $448.30 | 12.58B | -23% | -60% | -85% | -61% | 23.50 | 5.29 | 2.27 | 14.04 | — | -5.89 | 29.01% | 14.64% | 9.65% | 23.06% | 13.55% | 9.20% | 1.36 | 3.75 | 1.94 | 1.28 | 2.74 | -996.00% | 149.00% | -139.00% | 5.68% | 0.90 | 16.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.54% | 19.23 | 21.85 | 2.81 | 3.82 |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource, Inc… | $104.29 | 11.53B | -1% | -62% | -79% | -96% | 25.45 | 2.54 | 0.73 | 12.01 | — | -11.43 | 30.39% | 5.18% | 2.86% | 10.06% | 7.30% | 3.99% | 1.30 | 2.87 | 1.86 | 1.08 | 3.97 | -5706.00% | -738.00% | -4281.00% | 7.71% | 0.77 | 9.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.74% | 21.04 | 19.38 | 1.09 | 2.71 |
| CLH | Clean Harbors, Inc. | $293.20 | 15.67B | -38% | -59% | -79% | -74% | 40.41 | 5.75 | 2.62 | 16.11 | — | 25.75 | 29.51% | 11.17% | 6.48% | 14.70% | 9.91% | 5.21% | 1.26 | 3.98 | 2.33 | 1.90 | 2.31 | -189.00% | 239.00% | 2786.00% | 2.80% | 0.76 | 8.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.58% | 27.17 | 41.41 | 3.03 | 3.77 |
| CNM | Core & Main, Inc. | $54.16 | 10.23B | +6% | -63% | -82% | -26% | 21.52 | 5.50 | 1.26 | 12.97 | — | -8.23 | 26.61% | 9.66% | 5.52% | 27.56% | 14.02% | 7.93% | 1.48 | 5.06 | 2.34 | 1.24 | 2.74 | -93.00% | 1103.00% | -4311.00% | 6.27% | 0.72 | 15.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.88% | 16.47 | 20.20 | 1.59 | 3.38 |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | $71.62 | 14.58B | -6% | -61% | — | -74% | 18.01 | -78.43 | 1.93 | 12.56 | 677.18 | -14.39 | 35.53% | 16.82% | 10.71% | -347.64% | 39.22% | 15.86% | -18.47 | 12.59 | 1.81 | 1.06 | 2.02 | 266.00% | -340.00% | -452.00% | 5.94% | 0.65 | 35.33% | 1.79% | 32.20% | 5.70% | 13.66 | 20.07 | 2.30 | 4.08 |
| OC | Owens Corning | $122.07 | 10.03B | -33% | -61% | — | — | -18.66 | 2.53 | 0.96 | 15.94 | — | -26.98 | 28.54% | 17.02% | -5.17% | -11.69% | 6.88% | -3.86% | 1.60 | 6.72 | 1.26 | 0.48 | 5.95 | -18505.00% | -795.00% | -2273.00% | 9.88% | 0.67 | 9.63% | 2.38% | -44.40% | 10.75% | 9.04 | 16.15 | 1.54 | 2.40 |
| PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario del P… | $260.76 | 13.18B | +28% | -56% | — | +18% | 23.64 | 10.52 | 7.27 | 12.78 | 187.08 | -7.10 | 77.06% | 54.05% | 30.75% | 44.63% | 21.55% | 11.78% | 2.08 | — | 0.91 | 0.84 | 1.70 | 1264.00% | 2145.00% | -3371.00% | 2.48% | 1.10 | 10.13% | 3.60% | 85.10% | 3.60% | 15.51 | 46.58 | 8.38 | 3.55 |
| SWK | Stanley Black & Decker, I… | $86.49 | 13.4B | — | -61% | — | -80% | 31.67 | 1.41 | 0.84 | 14.40 | — | -9.64 | 29.86% | 7.62% | 2.66% | — | — | — | 0.65 | 2.48 | 1.14 | 0.23 | 4.39 | — | — | — | 5.40% | 0.19 | — | 3.93% | 124.60% | 4.05% | 15.88 | 26.62 | 1.21 | 1.56 |
About Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products, and drainage solutions for use in the underground construction and infrastructure marketplace in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through Pipe, International, Infiltrator, and Allied Products & Other segments. It offers single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes; plastic leachfield chambers and systems, EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles, mechanical aeration wastewater solutions, septic tanks and accessories, and combined treatment and dispersal systems; and allied products, including storm retention/detention and septic chambers, polyvinyl chloride drainage structures, fittings, and water quality filters and separators. The company also purchases and distributes construction fabrics and other geosynthetic products for soil stabilization, reinforcement, filtration, separation, erosion control, and sub-surface drainage, as well as drainage grates and other products. It offers its products for non-residential, residential, agriculture, and infrastructure applications through a network of approximately 38 distribution centers. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Hilliard, Ohio.
- CEO
- Donald Scott Barbour
- Employees
- 5.71K
- Beta
- 1.29
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($50.76 ÷ $147.31) − 1 = -65.54% (DCF, example).