US · STWD
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Greenwich, CT 06830
- Website
- starwoodpropertytrust.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$18.30
Market cap 6.6B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $38.29 | +109.23% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.89 | -56.89% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $25.50 | +39.37% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $0.82 | -95.53% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.77 | $45.71 | $0.00 | $2.51 | $166.22 |
| 2012 | $6.80 | $27.83 | $0.00 | $8.21 | $93.92 |
| 2013 | $7.91 | $52.97 | $15.39 | $6.93 | $153.46 |
| 2014 | $8.51 | $36.19 | $10.33 | $0.79 | $62.78 |
| 2015 | $7.31 | $27.87 | $12.03 | $0.00 | $26.78 |
| 2016 | $9.58 | $26.30 | $13.71 | $0.00 | $18.01 |
| 2017 | $9.79 | $30.66 | $11.04 | $0.00 | $30.27 |
| 2018 | $11.35 | $35.70 | $10.32 | $0.00 | $48.55 |
| 2019 | $12.41 | $10.07 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $46.95 |
| 2020 | $15.33 | $353.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $15.59 | $6.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $19.32 |
| 2022 | $13.55 | $17.40 | $0.00 | $5.98 | $115.97 |
| 2023 | $16.74 | $12.39 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $42.63 |
| 2024 | $18.60 | $15.54 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8.50 |
| 2025 | $18.00 | $38.29 | $1.38 | $25.50 | $0.82 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Starwood Property Trust, Inc.'s (STWD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $38.29
- Current price
- $18.30
- AI upside
- +109.23%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.89
-56.89% upside
Graham-Dodd
$25.50
+39.37% upside
Graham Formula
$0.82
-95.53% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust, … | $18.30 | 6.6B | +109% | -57% | +39% | -96% | 13.69 | 0.89 | 3.23 | 14.96 | 153.30 | 0.99 | 80.51% | 76.20% | 21.89% | 6.70% | 6.13% | 0.70% | 3.27 | 1.12 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 11.82 | 893.00% | -788.00% | 5806.00% | 16.12% | 0.36 | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.17 | 28.08 | 14.61 | 0.14 |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $7.93 | 1.55B | +413% | +119% | +122% | — | 10.50 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 1.36 | — | 0.58 | -58.87% | 19.47% | 98.00% | 5.28% | 0.28% | 1.13% | 0.00 | 0.03 | — | — | -0.56 | -5254.00% | -8253.00% | -1931.00% | 22.47% | — | 4.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 604.87% | 55.02 | 3.15 | 10.72 | 0.13 |
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT, Inc. | $40.62 | 7.85B | +14% | -60% | -79% | +335% | 26.00 | 2.06 | 17.47 | 19.53 | 27.01 | 2.09 | 59.13% | 67.17% | 67.26% | 9.23% | 8.06% | 7.46% | 0.22 | 7.32 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.51 | 9625.00% | 10879.00% | 6047.00% | 4.55% | 2.02 | 9.69% | 3.11% | 81.00% | 3.15% | 28.19 | 23.81 | 18.93 | 4.77 |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust, Inc… | $177.20 | 60.89B | -25% | -60% | — | -62% | 46.90 | 2.68 | 10.04 | 22.89 | 38.33 | 5.54 | 55.39% | 10.77% | 21.41% | 5.91% | 1.62% | 2.76% | 1.05 | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.19 | 5.78 | 12236.00% | 1004.00% | -52299.00% | 3.93% | 2.10 | 6.10% | 2.82% | 132.10% | 2.82% | 124.69 | 34.04 | 13.43 | 1.57 |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Real… | $33.94 | 7.12B | -2% | -59% | -71% | +19% | 27.25 | 1.65 | 12.31 | 18.07 | 241.07 | 1.69 | 84.05% | 64.51% | 45.03% | 6.54% | 5.87% | 4.01% | 0.60 | 3.14 | 6.13 | 6.50 | 4.74 | 1130.00% | 2497.00% | 2353.00% | 5.51% | 3.58 | 6.19% | 3.38% | 92.20% | 3.38% | 25.87 | 24.61 | 16.69 | 1.89 |
| FR | First Industrial Realty T… | $63.14 | 8.37B | -30% | -60% | -95% | -52% | 31.85 | 3.15 | 11.57 | 19.17 | — | 3.19 | 22.60% | 42.32% | 34.03% | 9.90% | 5.81% | 4.82% | 0.96 | 3.42 | 1.14 | 1.12 | 4.39 | -1382.00% | 858.00% | -1481.00% | 1.37% | 1.91 | 2.29% | 2.75% | 87.60% | 2.77% | 35.44 | 94.92 | 15.00 | 2.09 |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp. | $10.05 | 5.59B | +275% | +3,965% | +78% | +227% | 45.27 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 32.11 | — | 0.87 | 90.48% | 44.56% | 11.98% | 1.55% | 5.97% | 0.25% | 4.70 | 5.76 | 0.46 | 1.41 | 27.90 | -3772.00% | 1999.00% | -6708.00% | -13.38% | -0.19 | -2.02% | 2.01% | 90.80% | 2.88% | 17.16 | -57.01 | 7.65 | 0.29 |
| STAG | STAG Industrial, Inc. | $39.22 | 7.49B | -13% | -59% | -90% | -34% | 26.71 | 2.07 | 8.83 | 14.95 | 66.15 | 2.33 | 61.34% | 37.67% | 32.36% | 7.92% | 4.77% | 3.98% | 0.92 | 2.32 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 4.56 | 4038.00% | 1014.00% | 713.00% | 5.39% | 1.10 | 6.02% | 3.81% | 101.70% | 3.81% | 33.73 | 26.72 | 12.70 | 1.29 |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty Corporatio… | $66.06 | 6.85B | -27% | -60% | -54% | +89% | 16.88 | 1.64 | 14.28 | 13.85 | 16.20 | 1.73 | 75.84% | 40.39% | 84.59% | 10.32% | 4.04% | 7.93% | 0.23 | 5.86 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1.65 | 10417.00% | 2451.00% | 1192.00% | 3.06% | 0.82 | 4.37% | 3.00% | 50.60% | 3.00% | 40.12 | 37.03 | 16.20 | 3.50 |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | $27.58 | 5.26B | +12% | -60% | +41% | +59% | 5.60 | 0.88 | 2.90 | 6.96 | 0.05 | 0.89 | 100.00% | 15.03% | 49.99% | 16.82% | 2.03% | 5.95% | 1.32 | 0.77 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 3.99 | 1040000.00% | 127.00% | 13402.00% | 23.97% | 1.15 | 9.52% | 3.87% | 21.70% | 27.97% | 45.18 | 9.77 | 6.79 | 0.29 |
About Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
Starwood Property Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States, Europe, and Australia. It operates through four segments: Commercial and Residential Lending, Infrastructure Lending, Property, and Investing and Servicing segments. The Commercial and Residential Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial first mortgages, non-agency residential mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and residential mortgage-backed securities, as well as other real estate and real estate-related debt investments, including distressed or non-performing loans. The Infrastructure lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages infrastructure debt investments. The Property segment engages primarily in acquiring and managing equity interests in stabilized commercial real estate properties, such as multifamily properties and commercial properties subject to net leases, that are held for investment. The Investing and Servicing segment manages and works out problem assets; acquires and manages unrated, investment grade, and non-investment grade rated CMBS comprising subordinated interests of securitization and re-securitization transactions; originates conduit loans for the primary purpose of selling these loans into securitization transactions; and acquires commercial real estate assets that include properties acquired from CMBS trusts. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes, if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
- CEO
- Barry Stuart Sternlicht
- Employees
- 286
- Beta
- 1.13
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.89 ÷ $18.30) − 1 = -56.89% (DCF, example).