US · TKR
The Timken Company
- Sector
- Industrials · Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
- Headquarters
- North Canton, OH 44720-5450
- Website
- timken.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$109.00
Market cap 7.54B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $76.61 | -29.72% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $44.00 | -59.63% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $23.88 | -78.1% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $34.40 | -68.44% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $27.89 | $54.45 | $0.00 | $29.27 | $160.08 |
| 2012 | $31.00 | $52.52 | $0.15 | $31.40 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $33.67 | $40.37 | $2.90 | $24.12 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $32.95 | $34.69 | $1.52 | $9.03 | $17.90 |
| 2015 | $25.50 | $23.54 | $0.13 | $7.66 | $4.05 |
| 2016 | $37.31 | $38.16 | $0.00 | $5.06 | $2.57 |
| 2017 | $40.05 | $33.87 | $0.00 | $8.98 | $52.81 |
| 2018 | $37.50 | $37.02 | $0.00 | $10.99 | $104.03 |
| 2019 | $37.11 | $39.54 | $0.00 | $18.63 | $65.38 |
| 2020 | $75.62 | $52.34 | $0.00 | $16.23 | $3.97 |
| 2021 | $57.25 | $51.58 | $0.00 | $22.86 | $121.43 |
| 2022 | $78.15 | $62.95 | $0.00 | $24.88 | $91.59 |
| 2023 | $83.45 | $63.68 | $104.20 | $24.84 | $76.58 |
| 2024 | $75.76 | $70.71 | $0.00 | $25.15 | $20.66 |
| 2025 | $109.99 | $76.61 | $0.00 | $23.88 | $34.40 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates The Timken Company's (TKR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $76.61
- Current price
- $109.00
- AI upside
- -29.72%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$44.00
-59.63% upside
Graham-Dodd
$23.88
-78.1% upside
Graham Formula
$34.40
-68.44% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TKR | The Timken Company | $109.00 | 7.54B | -30% | -60% | -78% | -68% | 26.61 | 2.41 | 1.67 | 12.66 | — | 11.03 | 28.68% | 12.35% | 6.29% | 9.60% | 8.94% | 4.41% | 0.68 | 5.13 | 2.82 | 1.32 | 2.40 | -1764.00% | 19.00% | 3284.00% | 5.29% | 0.60 | 8.41% | 1.28% | 34.10% | 3.30% | 16.69 | 23.25 | 2.06 | 3.21 |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | $138.61 | 5.72B | +35% | +94% | -62% | +52% | 8.11 | 1.96 | 1.51 | 5.63 | 68.20 | 2.04 | 31.65% | 22.64% | 18.56% | 26.09% | 19.77% | 10.90% | 0.92 | 8.32 | 1.23 | 1.07 | 1.84 | 1189.00% | 498.00% | -953.00% | 5.66% | 0.78 | 8.59% | 4.88% | 39.60% | 5.04% | 8.15 | 21.66 | 1.84 | 2.48 |
| FCN | FTI Consulting, Inc. | $164.42 | 5.32B | +12% | -60% | -64% | -45% | 19.06 | 2.98 | 1.36 | 12.43 | 215.78 | 10.82 | 32.13% | 10.27% | 7.15% | 13.57% | 14.57% | 7.64% | 0.34 | 18.18 | 1.56 | 1.43 | 0.73 | 883.00% | 244.00% | -6063.00% | 3.03% | 0.16 | 8.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.63% | 14.11 | 35.05 | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | $184.17 | 6.57B | -17% | -47% | -55% | -12% | 20.26 | 2.41 | 3.82 | 14.66 | 117.60 | 2.53 | 48.58% | 30.69% | 19.15% | 12.63% | 4.27% | 2.14% | 4.66 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 7.93 | 1722.00% | 977.00% | -3625.00% | -10.30% | 0.16 | -6.51% | 1.35% | 27.40% | 5.09% | 27.07 | -21.15 | 8.31 | 0.80 |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporat… | $27.57 | 7.12B | +39% | -60% | -65% | -68% | 28.75 | 2.17 | 2.10 | 12.03 | 96.70 | 67.93 | 40.49% | 15.34% | 7.30% | 7.91% | 8.74% | 3.61% | 0.75 | 3.55 | 3.37 | 2.12 | 2.29 | 2973.00% | 103.00% | 3656.00% | 5.60% | 0.65 | 8.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.01% | 16.89 | 22.04 | 2.59 | 2.59 |
| KBR | KBR, Inc. | $42.23 | 5.36B | -7% | -55% | — | -34% | 13.30 | 3.57 | 0.69 | 8.17 | 90.83 | -2.82 | 14.77% | 7.30% | 5.33% | 27.27% | 10.71% | 6.08% | 1.88 | 3.59 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 2.48 | 1464.00% | 57.00% | 3377.00% | 9.61% | 0.33 | 13.02% | 1.57% | 20.80% | 13.15% | 13.54 | 14.94 | 0.99 | 2.53 |
| KEX | Kirby Corporation | $129.80 | 7.04B | -23% | -59% | -35% | -46% | 20.84 | 2.19 | 2.20 | 11.04 | 72.05 | 2.54 | 26.26% | 14.61% | 10.54% | 10.56% | 8.29% | 5.98% | 0.39 | 10.61 | 1.53 | 0.88 | 1.57 | 2892.00% | 301.00% | -196.00% | 5.48% | 0.95 | 9.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.78% | 17.56 | 21.27 | 2.57 | 3.35 |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | $195.41 | 7.65B | -19% | -57% | -90% | -58% | 27.86 | 5.69 | 4.15 | 17.39 | — | 23.11 | 46.46% | 21.44% | 14.88% | 22.22% | 18.21% | 11.72% | 0.46 | 12.64 | 3.01 | 1.63 | 0.98 | -166.00% | 369.00% | 2197.00% | 3.80% | 1.26 | 17.58% | 1.06% | 29.50% | 2.22% | 20.48 | 27.87 | 4.39 | 6.30 |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del C… | $122.16 | 5.9B | +11% | -42% | — | -31% | 19.81 | 9.40 | 6.63 | 11.85 | 236.25 | -11.64 | 75.58% | 56.01% | 33.46% | 49.36% | 29.98% | 18.37% | 1.21 | — | 1.32 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 839.00% | 591.00% | 2535.00% | 6.96% | 1.59 | 35.12% | 4.22% | 83.70% | 4.23% | 13.01 | 15.79 | 7.29 | 5.28 |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp. | $45.89 | 5.18B | -19% | -55% | — | — | -4.31 | 3.23 | 2.55 | -5.71 | — | -6.33 | 50.29% | 12.45% | -58.50% | -45.30% | 8.14% | -28.63% | 0.70 | 7.98 | 0.84 | 0.52 | -0.78 | -50224.00% | -399.00% | -1471.00% | 6.80% | 0.34 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.68 | 17.02 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
About The Timken Company
The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide. It operates in two segments, Mobile Industries and Process Industries. The Mobile Industries segment offers a portfolio of bearings, seals, and lubrication devices and systems, as well as power transmission components, engineered chains, augers, belts, couplings, clutches, brakes, and related products and maintenance services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users of off-highway equipment for the agricultural, construction, mining, outdoor power equipment, and power sports markets; and on-highway vehicles, including passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks, as well as rail cars and locomotives. It also provides power transmission systems and flight-critical components for civil and military aircraft, which include bearings, rotor-head assemblies, helicopter transmission systems, turbine engine components, gears, and housings. This segment sells its parts through a network of authorized automotive and heavy-truck distributors to individual end-users, equipment owners, operators, and maintenance shops. The Process Industries segment provides industrial bearings and assemblies; power transmission components, such as gears and gearboxes; and linear motion products, couplings, seals, lubricants, chains, belts, and related products and services to OEMs and end-users in various industries. It also offers aftermarket sales and service needs through a network of authorized industrial distributors; and repair and service for bearings and gearboxes, as well as electric motor rewind, repair, and services to end-users. The company offers its products under the Timken, Philadelphia Gear, Drives, Cone Drive, Rollon, Lovejoy, Diamond, BEKA, and Groeneveld brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.
- CEO
- Lucian Boldea
- Employees
- 19K
- Beta
- 1.21
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($44.00 ÷ $109.00) − 1 = -59.63% (DCF, example).