US · TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Austin, TX 78725
- Website
- tesla.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$390.82
Market cap 1.51T
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $219.27 | -43.89% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $169.46 | -56.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $31.21 | -92.01% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $6.18 | -98.42% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $2.32 | $35.39 | $28.10 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $2.56 | $38.02 | $242.72 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $16.41 | $67.23 | $277,418.35 | $0.17 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $12.58 | $35.52 | $41,959.27 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $13.83 | $28.40 | $931.91 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $16.25 | $32.86 | $1,262.84 | $0.64 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $21.81 | $31.57 | $984.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $18.94 | $38.35 | $6,268.91 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $46.90 | $38.52 | $973.81 | $0.80 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $231.24 | $173.38 | $952.08 | $9.15 | $9.09 |
| 2021 | $265.12 | $208.66 | $2,664.78 | $19.47 | $141.25 |
| 2022 | $173.44 | $165.17 | $5,607.59 | $34.32 | $230.34 |
| 2023 | $175.34 | $146.13 | $1,704.19 | $43.29 | $123.42 |
| 2024 | $262.67 | $163.44 | $317.99 | $33.88 | $20.27 |
| 2025 | $403.32 | $219.27 | $13.30 | $31.21 | $6.18 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $219.27
- Current price
- $390.82
- AI upside
- -43.89%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$169.46
-56.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$31.21
-92.01% upside
Graham Formula
$6.18
-98.42% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TSLA | Tesla, Inc. | $390.82 | 1.51T | -44% | -57% | -92% | -98% | 343.47 | 15.87 | 13.74 | 107.74 | — | 15.94 | 18.03% | 4.59% | 4.00% | 4.89% | 6.60% | 2.92% | 0.10 | 12.88 | 2.16 | 1.53 | -0.69 | -4701.00% | -293.00% | 7369.00% | 0.48% | 0.46 | 12.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.43% | 291.03 | 203.77 | 13.37 | 15.74 |
| CJET | Chijet Motor Company, Inc… | $2.08 | 675.74K | +503,025% | +2,342% | — | +736,982% | -0.10 | -0.04 | 0.99 | -12.52 | — | -0.02 | -359.02% | -828.34% | -678.16% | 44.22% | -27.96% | -13.70% | -2.03 | -3.46 | 0.11 | 0.08 | -12.28 | -3287.00% | -2708.00% | -4146.00% | -386.26% | -0.04 | -12.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.72% | -6.40 | -13.81 | 53.04 | -2.76 |
| F | Ford Motor Company | $14.10 | 55.23B | -37% | -62% | — | — | -6.53 | 1.48 | 0.28 | 21.39 | — | 1.50 | 12.18% | 1.35% | -4.37% | -20.21% | 1.05% | -2.84% | 4.66 | 2.02 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 16.91 | -24110.00% | 123.00% | 8500.00% | 23.40% | 0.19 | 7.50% | 5.61% | -36.60% | 5.61% | 72.02 | 14.63 | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| GM | General Motors Company | $78.71 | 73.43B | -18% | -42% | -11% | -74% | 25.72 | 1.17 | 0.39 | 11.00 | — | 1.26 | 6.27% | 1.57% | 1.46% | 4.48% | 1.57% | 0.99% | 2.13 | 4.00 | 1.17 | 0.44 | 6.91 | -4867.00% | -129.00% | -28518.00% | 15.49% | 0.29 | 6.70% | 0.92% | 23.60% | 11.45% | 59.85 | 15.72 | 0.94 | 1.21 |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.59 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| NIO | NIO Inc. | $4.87 | 11.55B | -63% | -63% | — | — | -2.89 | 10.98 | 1.00 | -5.55 | — | 11.42 | 9.88% | -33.28% | -34.47% | -143.80% | -154.86% | -20.14% | 5.67 | -27.40 | 0.99 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1133.00% | 1818.00% | 807.00% | -25.93% | -0.13 | -120.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.53 | -4.55 | 1.18 | -1.12 |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | $379.92 | 67.35B | -25% | -47% | — | -59% | 19.64 | 14.17 | 7.75 | 23.71 | 332.33 | 37.32 | 51.68% | 29.53% | 22.35% | 75.74% | 31.51% | 29.47% | 0.74 | 51.25 | 2.02 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 591.00% | 703.00% | 18350.00% | 4.80% | 1.75 | 51.19% | 1.92% | 37.80% | 4.69% | 26.87 | 21.33 | 7.93 | 7.58 |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.33 | 18.96B | +28% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| TM | Toyota Motor Corporation | $242.38 | 315.9B | -3% | +123% | -10% | +45% | 7.58 | 1.01 | 0.76 | 6.76 | — | 1.05 | 19.94% | 9.98% | 9.92% | 13.66% | 6.20% | 5.21% | 1.08 | 57.02 | 1.26 | 1.06 | 3.41 | -174.00% | 652.00% | 8539.00% | -4.30% | 0.13 | -2.70% | 3.12% | 23.60% | 6.37% | 12.34 | -37.91 | 1.23 | 1.70 |
| ZK | ZEEKR Intelligent Technol… | $26.73 | 6.85B | -48% | +12,580% | — | — | -9.09 | -4.48 | 0.69 | -13.14 | — | -4.16 | 16.40% | -8.51% | -8.46% | 54.19% | 146.19% | -19.37% | -1.33 | -92.42 | 0.63 | 0.45 | -1.70 | -3458.00% | 4691.00% | 30997.00% | 2.82% | 0.08 | -33.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.35% | -9.36 | 40.74 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
About Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
- CEO
- Elon R. Musk
- Employees
- 125.67K
- Beta
- 1.89
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($169.46 ÷ $390.82) − 1 = -56.64% (DCF, example).