US · XP
XP Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets
- Headquarters
- São Paulo, SP 04551-065
- Website
- xpinc.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$19.06
Market cap 11.35B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $5.80 | -69.57% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $11.03 | -42.13% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $14.00 | -26.55% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $0.50 | -97.38% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $21.60 | |||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $3.70 | |||
| 2016 | $0.00 | $4.90 | |||
| 2017 | $0.00 | $10.90 | |||
| 2018 | $0.00 | $10.50 | |||
| 2019 | $27.62 | $16.82 | $1,250.70 | $1.60 | $26.40 |
| 2020 | $36.25 | $25.91 | $3,110.73 | $7.10 | $50.80 |
| 2021 | $26.36 | $16.98 | $2,760.93 | $10.90 | $71.00 |
| 2022 | $10.09 | $12.98 | $279.96 | $11.80 | $21.10 |
| 2023 | $23.84 | $33.04 | $18.77 | $0.00 | $16.30 |
| 2024 | $15.28 | $43.24 | $18.79 | $4.60 | $71.80 |
| 2025 | $21.71 | $31.14 | $3.85 | $14.00 | $0.50 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates XP Inc.'s (XP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $5.80
- Current price
- $19.06
- AI upside
- -69.57%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$11.03
-42.13% upside
Graham-Dodd
$14.00
-26.55% upside
Graham Formula
$0.50
-97.38% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| XP | XP Inc. | $19.06 | 11.35B | +63% | -42% | -27% | -97% | 11.85 | 2.60 | 3.36 | 11.49 | 65.43 | 2.95 | 67.36% | 32.42% | 27.79% | 23.72% | 11.88% | 1.39% | 0.89 | 9.65 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 1.70 | 1810.00% | -821.00% | 910.00% | 19.33% | 0.15 | 25.07% | 0.81% | 9.60% | 165.43% | 12.15 | 6.07 | 3.94 | 0.09 |
| CIFR | Cipher Mining Inc. | $15.60 | 6.32B | +80% | -60% | — | — | -7.31 | 7.47 | 26.86 | 188.53 | -0.51 | 8.26 | -60.45% | -76.70% | -367.17% | -110.55% | -35.44% | -31.95% | 0.07 | -4.70 | 3.79 | 0.90 | -19.85 | 143571.00% | 4804.00% | 20654.00% | -11.57% | -0.30 | -144.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.86% | -31.68 | -7.82 | 24.30 | 1.18 |
| CMA | Comerica Incorporated | $88.67 | 11.35B | -57% | -40% | -71% | -80% | 10.64 | 1.14 | 1.49 | -0.08 | — | 1.30 | 63.99% | 17.78% | 13.98% | 10.78% | -12.08% | 0.85% | 1.02 | 0.51 | 0.23 | 0.23 | -0.13 | -2181.00% | -495.00% | -5920.00% | 6.03% | 0.01 | -7.75% | 5.39% | 57.30% | 12.31% | -0.09 | -0.18 | -0.02 | -0.37 |
| FHN | First Horizon Corporation | $23.79 | 11.71B | +134% | +2% | -36% | -24% | 12.07 | 1.34 | 2.38 | 8.84 | 31.56 | 1.64 | 67.32% | 25.70% | 19.72% | 11.13% | 15.06% | 1.18% | 0.52 | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 2.70 | 3824.00% | 97.00% | -4869.00% | 5.29% | 0.01 | 9.46% | 2.65% | 31.90% | 10.39% | 9.22 | 18.81 | 2.37 | 0.25 |
| FRHC | Freedom Holding Corp. | $120.17 | 7.35B | +56% | +256% | -78% | -64% | 109.57 | 7.63 | 4.55 | 11.45 | — | 8.34 | 52.61% | 31.07% | 4.16% | 7.11% | -148.64% | 0.93% | 1.61 | 1.18 | 1.32 | 1.19 | 1.68 | -7788.00% | 2274.00% | -24310.00% | 17.12% | 0.23 | -498.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.20% | 12.07 | 4.81 | 3.75 | 1.48 |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia … | $44.85 | 7.2B | +34% | +3,752% | -48% | — | 15.92 | 1.96 | 1.12 | 4.29 | 13.31 | 2.06 | 62.71% | 20.81% | 15.29% | 18.49% | 65.59% | 3.50% | 0.36 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.50 | -0.08 | 11955.00% | -2352.00% | -28307.00% | -24.53% | -0.14 | -117.76% | 5.17% | 82.30% | 5.18% | 4.66 | -3.53 | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| JEF | Jefferies Financial Group… | $44.40 | 9.18B | +27% | -36% | -30% | -18% | 18.47 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 20.98 | — | 1.48 | 59.67% | 6.34% | 6.56% | 6.58% | 2.80% | 0.97% | 2.25 | 0.20 | 2.43 | 1.36 | 9.14 | -535.00% | 293.00% | 27121.00% | -13.55% | -0.08 | -8.83% | 2.97% | 54.90% | 3.44% | 32.50 | -13.07 | 2.06 | 0.85 |
| ORI | Old Republic Internationa… | $42.87 | 10.61B | -36% | -18% | -35% | +62% | 11.21 | 1.78 | 1.16 | 9.57 | 74.11 | 1.78 | 50.35% | 13.02% | 10.30% | 16.25% | 16.51% | 3.24% | 0.27 | 16.88 | — | — | 1.07 | 1512.00% | 1041.00% | -10011.00% | -0.01% | — | -0.02% | 2.38% | 26.70% | 4.13% | 10.00 | -8448.89 | 1.30 | 1.08 |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | $81.32 | 9.96B | -9% | -44% | -65% | +15% | — | 4.11 | 4.38 | 11.22 | — | 5.83 | 59.21% | 27.31% | 31.14% | 0.00% | 28.58% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1625.16 | 3.29 | 3.12 | -0.46 | 2766.00% | 810.00% | 340.00% | 5.81% | 1.57 | 34.04% | 1.23% | — | 7.48% | 15.36 | 16.47 | 4.19 | 12.86 |
| SF | Stifel Financial Corp. | $74.05 | 11.46B | -1% | +57% | +4% | +33% | 11.36 | 1.30 | 1.23 | 5.12 | — | 1.76 | 86.56% | 13.83% | 10.86% | 11.72% | 16.19% | 1.68% | 0.14 | 1.07 | 4.49 | 6.49 | -1.50 | -592.00% | 694.00% | 15320.00% | 13.58% | 1.31 | 24.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.25% | 5.48 | 4.53 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| WBS | Webster Financial Corpora… | $72.13 | 11.63B | -51% | -9% | -37% | +22% | 11.41 | 1.21 | 2.59 | -2.06 | 32.38 | 1.82 | 60.80% | 28.49% | 22.67% | 10.77% | 34.14% | 1.23% | 0.45 | 0.83 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 3.13 | 3524.00% | 613.00% | -3839.00% | 7.37% | 0.02 | 28.70% | 2.33% | 26.60% | 7.52% | -2.06 | -3.07 | -0.59 | -0.18 |
About XP Inc.
XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. It offers securities brokerage, private pension plans, commercial, and investment banking products, such as loan operations and transactions in the foreign exchange markets and deposits; product structuring and capital markets services for corporate clients and issuers of fixed income products; advisory services for mass-affluent and institutional clients; and wealth management services for high-net-worth customers and institutional clients. The company also offers Xpeed, an online financial education portal that offers seminars, classes, and learning tools to help teach individuals on topics, such as basics of investing, techniques, and investment strategies, as well as insurance brokerage services. In addition, it operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market, including equity and fixed income securities, mutual and hedge funds, private equity, structured products, credit cards, loan operations, life insurance, pension plans, real-estate investment funds, and others. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
- CEO
- Thiago Maffra
- Employees
- 6.83K
- Beta
- 1.23
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($11.03 ÷ $19.06) − 1 = -42.13% (DCF, example).