US · ADT
ADT Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Security & Protection Services
- Headquarters
- Boca Raton, FL 33431
- Website
- adt.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$7.55
Market cap 6.14B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $39.74 | +426.36% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3.90 | -48.34% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.29 | -3.51% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2017 | $8.18 | $28.57 | $145.40 | $0.00 | $23.94 |
| 2018 | $5.83 | $26.31 | $82.67 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $5.17 | $24.17 | $7.13 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $7.42 | $25.72 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $6.92 | $34.83 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $6.77 | $62.45 | $1.83 | $0.00 | $0.88 |
| 2023 | $6.14 | $37.32 | $1.46 | $0.00 | $0.26 |
| 2024 | $7.59 | $39.74 | $1.46 | $0.00 | $7.29 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates ADT Inc.'s (ADT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $39.74
- Current price
- $7.55
- AI upside
- +426.36%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3.90
-48.34% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$7.29
-3.51% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ADT | ADT Inc. | $7.55 | 6.14B | +426% | -48% | — | -4% | 13.65 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5.15 | 163.83 | -1.15 | 50.71% | 25.15% | 10.23% | 13.20% | 8.14% | 3.13% | 2.05 | 2.79 | 0.80 | 0.49 | 2.71 | 833.00% | 528.00% | 10228.00% | 25.16% | 1.49 | 14.95% | 2.66% | 36.40% | 9.34% | 11.72 | 8.39 | 2.95 | 0.58 |
| ACHR | Archer Aviation Inc. | $7.12 | 5.22B | — | — | — | — | -5.28 | 3.76 | — | -4.17 | — | 3.77 | 0.00% | — | — | -95.88% | 1320.47% | -69.02% | 0.10 | — | 12.07 | 11.74 | 1.52 | -1598.00% | — | 4264.00% | -15.91% | -5.18 | 1167.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.09% | -4.08 | -4.61 | — | 3.74 |
| AL | Air Lease Corporation | $64.84 | 7.26B | +25% | -46% | +63% | +172% | 6.64 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 9.64 | 3.71 | 0.85 | 59.43% | 50.53% | 36.09% | 13.60% | 4.40% | 3.34% | 2.33 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 7.01 | 17898.00% | 1032.00% | -4247.00% | -22.96% | 0.73 | -6.03% | 1.97% | 13.10% | 8.53% | 17.38 | -15.97 | 8.78 | 0.63 |
| MIDD | The Middleby Corporation | $168.86 | 8.51B | +9% | -61% | -64% | -80% | 20.18 | 2.38 | 2.23 | 13.15 | 305.14 | -17.61 | 37.94% | 16.93% | 11.06% | 12.44% | 8.84% | 6.04% | 0.69 | 7.11 | 2.81 | 1.61 | 2.30 | 661.00% | -400.00% | 1766.00% | 7.37% | 0.83 | 11.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.72% | 15.97 | 16.43 | 2.70 | 3.33 |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | $195.41 | 7.65B | -19% | -57% | -90% | -58% | 27.86 | 5.69 | 4.15 | 17.39 | — | 23.11 | 46.46% | 21.44% | 14.88% | 22.22% | 18.21% | 11.72% | 0.46 | 12.64 | 3.01 | 1.63 | 0.98 | -166.00% | 369.00% | 2197.00% | 3.80% | 1.26 | 17.58% | 1.06% | 29.50% | 2.22% | 20.48 | 27.87 | 4.39 | 6.30 |
| PONY | Pony AI Inc. American Dep… | $14.34 | 5.05B | +80% | -43% | — | — | -6.34 | 1.83 | 23.16 | -3.63 | -8.87 | 1.82 | 15.20% | -380.57% | -365.37% | -33.55% | -177.48% | -30.51% | 0.01 | — | 11.77 | 11.03 | 1.88 | 7143.00% | 435.00% | 150.00% | -7.03% | -1.56 | -75.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.96% | -3.52 | -8.23 | 13.41 | 11.03 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $221.56 | 8.74B | +9% | -60% | -76% | -55% | 18.47 | 3.03 | 0.73 | 5.33 | 219.71 | 6.22 | 19.77% | 8.57% | 3.94% | 16.24% | 6.79% | 3.03% | 2.84 | 2.69 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 841.00% | 23.00% | -20981.00% | 4.96% | 0.93 | 3.93% | 1.57% | 28.90% | 9.86% | 16.33 | 38.64 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| REZI | Resideo Technologies, Inc… | $38.70 | 5.79B | -12% | -60% | — | — | -10.83 | 1.96 | 0.76 | -64.66 | — | -4.48 | 29.39% | 8.12% | -7.05% | -16.93% | 12.05% | -6.34% | 1.09 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 0.99 | -19.73 | -71803.00% | 1052.00% | -44423.00% | -21.96% | -0.65 | -24.88% | 0.61% | -6.60% | 1.12% | 13.53 | -6.55 | 1.10 | 2.03 |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings plc | $67.49 | 35.43B | -29% | +1,067% | -73% | -40% | 16.44 | 3.76 | 1.90 | 8.23 | — | 3.84 | 19.00% | 11.17% | 11.55% | 22.00% | 23.44% | 9.29% | 0.38 | 23.43 | 0.74 | 0.50 | -0.39 | -1284.00% | 375.00% | 14324.00% | 7.03% | 0.42 | 31.04% | 1.65% | 27.20% | 7.43% | 16.18 | 13.53 | 1.81 | 2.91 |
About ADT Inc.
ADT Inc. provides security, automation, and smart home solutions to consumer and business customers in the United States. It provides a range of fire detection, fire suppression, video surveillance, and access control systems to residential, commercial, and multi-site customers. The company primarily offers monitored security and automation solutions, including the installation and monitoring of security and premises automation systems designed to detect intrusion, control access, sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, flooding, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal emergencies, such as injuries, medical emergencies, or incapacitation. It also provides interactive and smart home solutions that allow customers to use their smart phones, tablets, and laptops to arm and disarm their security systems, adjust lighting or thermostat levels, and view real-time video of their premises; and creates customized and automated schedules for managing lights, thermostats, appliances, garage doors, cameras, and other connected devices, as well as offers monitoring and maintenance services. The company offers its products under the ADT, ADT Pulse, Protection 1, ADT Commercial, and Blue by ADT names. It operates through a network of approximately 250 sales and service offices, as well as three regional distribution centers, which are supported by 17 multi-use sales, customer, and field support locations housing its nine UL-listed monitoring centers and four national sales centers. The company was formerly known as Prime Security Services Parent, Inc. and changed its name to ADT Inc. in September 2017. ADT Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
- CEO
- James David DeVries
- Employees
- 12.8K
- Beta
- 1.01
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3.90 ÷ $7.55) − 1 = -48.34% (DCF, example).