US · PONY
Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
- Sector
- Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
- Headquarters
- Guangzhou 511458
- Website
- pony.ai
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$9.89
Market cap 5.05B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $25.80 | +160.87% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $8.16 | -17.49% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
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| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | |||||
| 2022 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2023 | $0.17 | $0.00 | |||
| 2024 | $15.20 | $25.80 | $3.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares's (PONY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $25.80
- Current price
- $9.89
- AI upside
- +160.87%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$8.16
-17.49% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PONY | Pony AI Inc. American Dep… | $9.89 | 5.05B | +161% | -17% | — | — | -6.34 | 1.83 | 23.16 | -3.63 | -8.87 | 1.82 | 15.20% | -380.57% | -365.37% | -33.55% | -177.48% | -30.51% | 0.01 | — | 11.77 | 11.03 | 1.88 | 7143.00% | 435.00% | 150.00% | -7.03% | -1.56 | -75.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.96% | -3.52 | -8.23 | 13.41 | 11.03 |
| AAL | American Airlines Group I… | $13.07 | 8.63B | +103% | -62% | — | -89% | 74.50 | -2.22 | 0.15 | 9.71 | — | -0.84 | 28.42% | 2.91% | 0.20% | -2.88% | 3.58% | 0.18% | -9.65 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 8.84 | -8629.00% | 78.00% | -15231.00% | -8.22% | 0.13 | -2.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.74% | 23.68 | -55.39 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| AL | Air Lease Corporation | $64.84 | 7.26B | +25% | -46% | +63% | +172% | 6.64 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 9.64 | 3.71 | 0.85 | 59.43% | 50.53% | 36.09% | 13.60% | 4.40% | 3.34% | 2.33 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 7.01 | 17898.00% | 1032.00% | -4247.00% | -22.96% | 0.73 | -6.03% | 1.97% | 13.10% | 8.53% | 17.38 | -15.97 | 8.78 | 0.63 |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | $52.31 | 7.67B | -9% | -51% | -66% | — | -168.93 | 2.66 | 0.56 | -24.13 | — | 2.66 | -0.77% | -2.34% | -0.33% | -1.42% | -11.02% | -0.59% | 0.33 | -8.64 | 1.91 | 1.77 | 4.35 | -10252.00% | -497.00% | -16581.00% | -5.07% | -0.11 | -33.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.75% | -16.29 | -13.53 | 0.38 | 3.75 |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | $184.17 | 6.57B | -17% | -47% | -55% | -12% | 20.26 | 2.41 | 3.82 | 14.66 | 117.60 | 2.53 | 48.58% | 30.69% | 19.15% | 12.63% | 4.27% | 2.14% | 4.66 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 7.93 | 1722.00% | 977.00% | -3625.00% | -10.30% | 0.16 | -6.51% | 1.35% | 27.40% | 5.09% | 27.07 | -21.15 | 8.31 | 0.80 |
| IESC | IES Holdings, Inc. | $495.35 | 9.87B | -46% | +100% | -77% | -25% | 27.38 | 9.66 | 2.53 | 19.14 | 52.78 | 11.62 | 25.49% | 11.38% | 9.08% | 41.72% | 43.44% | 21.96% | 0.18 | 211.43 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 0.07 | 5187.00% | 1689.00% | 1564.00% | 2.56% | 0.45 | 32.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 22.07 | 38.67 | 2.51 | 11.19 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $221.56 | 8.74B | +9% | -60% | -76% | -55% | 18.47 | 3.03 | 0.73 | 5.33 | 219.71 | 6.22 | 19.77% | 8.57% | 3.94% | 16.24% | 6.79% | 3.03% | 2.84 | 2.69 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 841.00% | 23.00% | -20981.00% | 4.96% | 0.93 | 3.93% | 1.57% | 28.90% | 9.86% | 16.33 | 38.64 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| SAIA | Saia, Inc. | $405.39 | 10.8B | -35% | -60% | -64% | -79% | 42.75 | 4.23 | 3.37 | 18.76 | — | 4.23 | 23.66% | 10.89% | 7.89% | 10.43% | 9.52% | 7.67% | 0.16 | 21.42 | 1.64 | 1.33 | 0.66 | -2959.00% | 79.00% | -10594.00% | 0.25% | 2.24 | 0.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 32.09 | 413.47 | 3.49 | 9.47 |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | $50.66 | 9.62B | +27% | -42% | -13% | -61% | 37.16 | 1.64 | 2.12 | 10.19 | — | 1.64 | 85.86% | 12.29% | 5.69% | 4.52% | 4.50% | 1.68% | 0.97 | 2.42 | 1.45 | 1.14 | 3.56 | -4449.00% | 361.00% | 2973.00% | -16.21% | 0.84 | -16.33% | 0.29% | 10.60% | 0.29% | 24.95 | -8.94 | 3.07 | 1.56 |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | $459.93 | 9.06B | -40% | -60% | -82% | -66% | 27.13 | 5.56 | 2.21 | 19.65 | — | 13.83 | 30.21% | 12.73% | 8.53% | 21.09% | 20.62% | 9.99% | 0.65 | 12.88 | 2.35 | 1.43 | 1.71 | -233.00% | 71.00% | -3685.00% | 3.43% | 0.62 | 13.12% | 0.58% | 15.70% | 2.76% | 19.06 | 31.96 | 2.43 | 5.24 |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solution… | $50.98 | 8.53B | -7% | -45% | -90% | -63% | 43.41 | 5.36 | 5.07 | 23.75 | 199.68 | -321.90 | 41.64% | 17.01% | 11.68% | 12.41% | 11.33% | 7.43% | 0.36 | 10.09 | 3.13 | 1.92 | 0.75 | 2174.00% | 826.00% | 1653.00% | 3.68% | 1.34 | 16.56% | 0.74% | 32.30% | 3.46% | 30.76 | 28.03 | 5.23 | 5.44 |
About Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
Pony AI Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the autonomous mobility in the People's Republic of China and the United States. The company provides robotruck services, such as transportation services to the logistics platforms. It also offers robotaxi services, including a suite of AV engineering solutions comprising AV software deployment and maintenance, vehicle integration and engineering, and road testing; and fare-charging robotaxi services. In addition, the company offers personally-owned vehicle intelligent solutions, including intelligent driving software solutions, proprietary vehicle domain controller products, and data analytics tools; vehicle integration services, software development, and licensing services; and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) products and services to enhance road safety. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
- CEO
- Jun Peng
- Employees
- 1.46K
- Beta
- 6.35
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($8.16 ÷ $9.89) − 1 = -17.49% (DCF, example).