US · AVB
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Residential
- Headquarters
- Arlington, VA 22203
- Website
- avalonbay.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$183.45
Market cap 25.09B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $143.05 | -22.02% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $76.33 | -58.39% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.71 | -91.44% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $90.80 | -50.51% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $87.12 | $67.91 | $3.86 | $20.31 | $71.87 |
| 2012 | $80.71 | $58.16 | $26.64 | $35.60 | $81.99 |
| 2013 | $86.26 | $56.44 | $10.75 | $19.44 | $145.65 |
| 2014 | $118.60 | $84.39 | $0.03 | $27.20 | $118.40 |
| 2015 | $131.06 | $93.25 | $0.00 | $27.75 | $99.14 |
| 2016 | $131.06 | $102.86 | $0.00 | $32.30 | $134.73 |
| 2017 | $122.76 | $102.78 | $0.00 | $23.03 | $85.76 |
| 2018 | $154.67 | $116.35 | $0.00 | $24.79 | $96.42 |
| 2019 | $169.54 | $100.27 | $0.00 | $16.67 | $55.54 |
| 2020 | $160.99 | $98.75 | $11.55 | $11.72 | $42.38 |
| 2021 | $209.89 | $122.42 | $12.46 | $18.86 | $57.20 |
| 2022 | $148.89 | $100.81 | $11.36 | $25.73 | $167.42 |
| 2023 | $174.58 | $108.92 | $0.00 | $18.31 | $96.20 |
| 2024 | $210.85 | $127.04 | $0.00 | $20.58 | $99.85 |
| 2025 | $179.01 | $143.05 | $6.93 | $15.71 | $90.80 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates AvalonBay Communities, Inc.'s (AVB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $143.05
- Current price
- $183.45
- AI upside
- -22.02%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$76.33
-58.39% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.71
-91.44% upside
Graham Formula
$90.80
-50.51% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities, In… | $183.45 | 25.09B | -22% | -58% | -91% | -51% | 23.86 | 2.13 | 8.30 | 15.42 | — | 2.13 | 66.99% | 30.07% | 34.64% | 8.89% | 4.45% | 4.89% | 0.79 | 3.53 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 4.10 | -276.00% | 429.00% | 1853.00% | 6.63% | 2.26 | 8.14% | 3.94% | 93.90% | 5.87% | 37.59 | 20.56 | 11.30 | 1.70 |
| AMH | American Homes 4 Rent | $30.00 | 11.11B | -6% | -60% | -80% | -36% | 25.12 | 1.57 | 5.91 | 13.34 | 271.28 | 1.60 | 3.37% | 24.21% | 24.27% | 6.19% | 3.76% | 3.30% | 0.73 | 2.44 | 62.90 | 34.83 | 4.17 | 926.00% | 795.00% | 2530.00% | 7.84% | 198.56 | 7.19% | 4.17% | 104.80% | 5.64% | 35.51 | 18.56 | 8.60 | 1.43 |
| ELS | Equity LifeStyle Properti… | $67.16 | 13.02B | -16% | -32% | -73% | -58% | 35.39 | 7.79 | 8.93 | 28.00 | — | 8.04 | 37.63% | 33.82% | 25.24% | 22.11% | 10.32% | 6.79% | 1.92 | 3.87 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 5.49 | -153.00% | 684.00% | 6069.00% | 4.18% | 8.01 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32.86 | 29.79 | 11.11 | 2.61 |
| EQR | Equity Residential | $63.21 | 23.86B | -29% | -59% | -96% | -44% | 21.37 | 2.17 | 7.72 | 13.97 | 305.90 | 2.17 | 46.32% | 36.33% | 36.12% | 10.14% | 5.72% | 5.39% | 0.80 | 4.75 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 3.73 | 699.00% | 406.00% | 277.00% | 5.39% | 1.39 | 6.58% | 4.38% | 93.50% | 5.55% | 28.99 | 25.33 | 10.53 | 1.88 |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc… | $255.11 | 16.45B | -14% | -53% | — | -39% | 24.64 | 2.98 | 8.68 | 14.86 | — | 2.98 | 68.82% | 43.88% | 35.38% | 12.09% | 6.86% | 5.13% | 1.25 | 3.24 | 2.30 | 3.29 | 4.36 | -979.00% | 711.00% | 1529.00% | 6.51% | 10.87 | 8.84% | 3.96% | 97.70% | 4.01% | 27.84 | 21.61 | 12.22 | 1.58 |
| EXR | Extra Space Storage Inc. | $151.03 | 31.89B | -26% | -60% | — | -72% | 31.63 | 2.41 | 9.57 | 19.54 | 227.60 | 2.44 | 28.43% | 44.09% | 28.84% | 7.47% | 5.19% | 3.52% | 1.11 | 2.34 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 6.14 | 1390.00% | 119.00% | -203.00% | 5.66% | 1.33 | 6.64% | 4.25% | 134.40% | 4.71% | 31.68 | 25.79 | 13.97 | 1.53 |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | $26.34 | 16.15B | +28% | -59% | -23% | -56% | 27.26 | 1.68 | 5.87 | 16.34 | 91.70 | 1.73 | 3.69% | 27.15% | 21.54% | 6.10% | 4.19% | 3.15% | 0.88 | 2.10 | — | — | 5.45 | 2973.00% | 421.00% | 3987.00% | 7.53% | — | 6.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.02% | 32.46 | 19.94 | 8.81 | 1.23 |
| MAA | Mid-America Apartment Com… | $133.86 | 15.65B | -39% | -54% | — | -75% | 34.36 | 2.76 | 7.10 | 15.92 | — | 2.76 | 31.83% | 28.04% | 20.23% | 7.84% | 5.60% | 3.84% | 0.95 | 3.34 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 4.05 | -1581.00% | 83.00% | -747.00% | 4.58% | 1.48 | 6.55% | 4.54% | 156.10% | 4.72% | 33.88 | 29.23 | 9.50 | 1.63 |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corpor… | $201.16 | 21.44B | -31% | -56% | — | -37% | 20.80 | -4.39 | 7.58 | 12.69 | 50.46 | -2.76 | 47.94% | 54.91% | 37.43% | -20.59% | 27.81% | 8.92% | -0.90 | 3.30 | 0.29 | 0.16 | 2.04 | 4121.00% | 506.00% | -363.00% | 5.00% | 0.48 | 22.60% | 2.25% | 46.70% | 58.39% | 16.44 | 23.83 | 9.03 | 0.39 |
| SUI | Sun Communities, Inc. | $136.46 | 16.84B | -17% | -50% | -18% | — | 12.59 | 2.42 | 7.43 | 26.80 | 0.88 | -3.98 | 9.26% | 20.91% | 59.57% | 19.23% | 1.70% | 9.36% | 0.26 | 2.15 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 1.75 | 142676.00% | -2794.00% | -909.00% | 4.72% | 0.27 | 7.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.82% | 38.01 | 22.68 | 7.95 | 1.76 |
About AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado (the Expansion Markets).
- CEO
- Benjamin W. Schall
- Employees
- 2.93K
- Beta
- 0.75
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($76.33 ÷ $183.45) − 1 = -58.39% (DCF, example).